MPAT TE-3 Scenario January 2002

Republic of Parang Do Island nation located 110 nautical miles southwest of ROK, with area of 6,555 square miles Rugged coastlines, with central mountainous region Capital/economic center: Dong Nam Po Population: 1,800,000.

Republic of Parang Do (continued) Economy: based primarily on fishing, followed by furniture and yacht manufacturing Government: democratic republic Military: small constabulary, coastal navy, and air guard Mutual economic and security cooperation agreements with ROK

ROAD TO CRISIS: 4 August-Super Typhoon Dawn Strikes 4 August-Super Typhoon Dawn Strikes Super Typhoon Dawn strikes Parang Do – Infrastructure damage – Thousands homeless – Relief efforts commence

Road to Crisis (Continued) 25 August-Major earthquake devastates Parang Do – – More infrastructure damage – – Shelters destroyed – – Breakdown in Parang Do public safety and welfare services – – Parang Do citizens start boat exodus to ROK 10 September-Parang Do refugee population in southwest ROK now up to 100,000 – – 25 refugee camps established vicinity of Mokpo, Kunsan, and on Cheju-Do 12 September-Parang Do requests international assistance – – Parang Do requests ROK lead – – Supplies, shelter, medical care, security needed

Road to Crisis (Continued) 14 September-UN issues appeal for funds and supplies – – To be used for Parang Do and Parang Do refugees in ROK 22 September-Weather forecasters predict new Super Typhoon Nari to hit Parang Do and Korea September 24 September-ROK requests international assistance in anticipation of Super Typhoon Nari damage – – ROK expects major damage to southeast portion of ROK – – UN designates ROK as lead nation for Parang Do relief efforts – – ROK-led multinational task force to support ROK relief efforts

ROAD TO CRISIS (continued): 27 September-Super Typhoon Nari Strikes Super Typhoon Nari strikes Parang Do and southwest Korea – Infrastructure damaged; 100,000 homeless in ROK, plus Parang Do refugees – Parang Do refugee camps in ROK severely damaged; 100,000 refugees without shelter – Heavy infrastructure damage; 200,000 homeless in Parang Do – Relief supplies damaged – Infrastructure damage – Thousands homeless – Relief efforts commence

Road to Crisis (Continued) 1 October-ROK-led multinational TASK FORCE HUI MANG (Hope) stood up. – – Headquarters initially co-located with Second ROK Army (SROKA) Headquarters, Taegu – – U.S. forces stationed in Korea (US Forces Korea-USFK) not available for MNF – – USFK facilities (ports and airfields) will be made available to MNF – – USFK will provide staff augmentation (chopped to MNF) and liaison officers

Preliminary Damage Assessment: 1 October Korea (southwestern portion) – – Persons (excluding Parang Do refugees) › ›Killed 46 › ›Injured 327 › ›Missing 278 › ›Without shelter 100,035 – – Structures destroyed/severely damaged › ›Residences 24,002 › ›Commercial buildings 354 › ›Public buildings (including schools) 76 – – Infrastructure damage › ›Roads: 80% capacity. Bridges: 50% capacity. › ›Normal power generation/distribution suffered minor damage. Power distribution lines to refugee camps destroyed. › ›Cheju airport incapable of handling fixed wing aircraft. Expected to be fully operational 8 October. › ›Parang Do refugee camps destroyed/severely damaged.

Preliminary Damage Assessment: 1 October Parang Do (statistics are approximate) – – Persons › ›Killed 450 › ›Injured 1,500 › ›Missing 1,500 › ›Without shelter/food 200,000 – – Structures destroyed/severely damaged › ›Residences 85,000 › ›Commercial buildings 375 › ›Public buildings (including schools)125 – – Infrastructure damage › ›Dong Nam Po port: one pier undamged (350 ft. vessel capacity) › ›Buk Jin port: all piers damaged. Lighterage only › ›Dong Nam Po airport incapable of handling fixed wing aircraft. Expected to be fully operational 13 October › ›Power generation plants damaged. Transmission lines down › ›Water mains destroyed. No power for water distribution

Status of Relief Supplies: 1 October Warehouses in Pusan – – 10 days of food supplies for 300,000 (100,000 in refugee camps; 200,000 in Parang Do) Parang Do – – 3 days of food supplies in warehouses in Parang Do Ship en route – – Expected arrival in Pusan: 15 October – – 50,000 metric tons of food and other relief supplies

Medical Issues: 1 October Cholera outbreak – – Southwestern portion of Korea – – Cheju-dokl – – Parang Do Illnesses/deaths due to exposure – – Vulnerable population: elderly, children, infants Measles outbreak – – Children in Dong Nam Po, Parang Do