BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY East Central Indiana’s Economy June 8,

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Presentation transcript:

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY East Central Indiana’s Economy June 8, 2011 Michael Hicks

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY How bad has it really been?

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY 2010 Forecast 2010 : Q12010 : Q22010 : Q32010 : Q4 Employment 0.03%0.24%0.39%0.60% Labor Force -0.14%-0.10%-0.07%0.01% Personal Income 1.22%1.38%1.47%0.81% Manufacturing Income 1.24%1.96%2.41%1.76% Utilities Income 0.39%0.21%0.10%0.48% Construction Income 1.43%2.05%2.42%1.66% Wholesale Income 1.14%1.46%1.65%1.27% Retail Income 0.71%0.90%1.02%0.61% Finance & Insurance Income 1.04%1.25%1.36%0.51% Health Care Income 0.90%0.91%0.68%0.59% Information Income 1.20%1.52%1.72%1.14% Transportation Income 1.42%1.89%2.17%1.85%

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY 2010 : Q12010 : Q22010 : Q32010 : Q4Annual Employment 0.54%0.34%0.20%0.15% 1.23% Labor Force 0.01%-0.10%-0.19%-0.21% -0.49% Personal Income 0.75%1.14%1.45%1.39% 4.81% Manufacturing Income 1.55%1.73%1.91%1.71% 7.07% Utilities Income 0.53%0.33%0.16%0.20% 1.22% Construction Income 1.48%1.77%2.02%1.84% 7.29% Wholesale Income 1.17%1.31%1.43%1.34% 5.34% Retail Income 0.55%0.77%0.95%0.89% 3.19% Finance & Insurance Income 0.41%0.92%1.33%1.24% 3.96% Health Care Income 0.79%0.84%0.71%0.65% 3.02% Information Income 1.00%1.27%1.50%1.40% 5.27% Transportation Income 1.70%1.72%1.77%1.63% 6.99%

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY US Federal Deficit,

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY US Federal Deficit, Adjusted for Inflation

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Why my wife won’t let me buy a Hummer

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY What I see in the Fall of 2011 and beyond The recession is over, this is the recovery Manufacturing is returning to trend US Consumers will spend again, but at a lower share of income States continue to see weak fiscal performance High productivity means significant lag in job growth and Structural unemployment will remain high for several years Business very tentative on investment Inflation looms on this economy

BUREAU OF BUSINESS RESEARCH BALL STATE UNIVERSITY Center for Business and Economic Research BALL STATE UNIVERSITY

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