Or, “Twenty Cent”. Findings Without Explanation? Babbie  Ma’s Diner Example What to make of funky polling results (A Ma’s diner poll has predicted the.

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Presentation transcript:

Or, “Twenty Cent”

Findings Without Explanation? Babbie  Ma’s Diner Example What to make of funky polling results (A Ma’s diner poll has predicted the last 10 presidential elections). The Problem? No explanation, theory, or logic for why that happens Could just as easily be a random process

Logical, Theoretical Explanations: The WHY Allow us to predict future events with more certainty Shed light on solutions to problems Every theory has a policy implication Shape/direct future research Inspire new research questions Provide a framework to examine a new area of inquiry

What is a “Paradigm” A Fundamental model, or frame of reference for looking at the world Assumed, implicit, often unconscious The paradigm is often “not seen” until it changes (in retrospect we may recognize it). Non-science example: The Auto Industry Babbie’s Social Science Examples An “objective reality” versus postmodernism Sanctity of the individual versus community Physical Science Examples Darwin’s Evolution, Newtonian Mechanics…

Benefits of Recognizing a Social Science Paradigm We can better understand views and actions that otherwise make no sense By “stepping outside” the paradigm, new and interesting possibilities may emerge

Paradigms in Social Science Early Positivism Conflict Paradigm Ethnomethodolgoy Structural Functionalism Feminist Paradigms

Is “Rational Objectivity” Attainable? Humans often portrayed as “rational” in economics and criminology But….are we really all that rational? The Asch Experiment Note: Asch did manage to study “irrational behavior” in a scientific (rational) manner Can humans (scientists) be “objective?” The Sherif’s “flashlight” study

Macro/Micro A way to classify theories that “cuts across” various paradigms Macro  Aggregates (“rates”) Micro  Individuals

Positivists v. Postmodernists: The Dual Irony Positivists believe that there is a “real, objective” reality This must, in the end, be based on faith. Postmodernist insistence that “nothing is objectively so,” In other words, a lack of objectivity is really the way things are. Regardless of whether some concept “exists,” we can still do research because people agree that it exits.

Implications of All of this for Science Recognize that Scientists are Human Rationality? Objectivity? Steven Hawkins Quote

A Traditional Model of Science A DEDUCTIVE model Theory  Operationalization  Formulate Hypothesis  Observation/Test Operational Definition Hypothesis Observation

An alternative to the “traditional” model Inductive Model Start with findings of some sort Exploratory survey, weird research findings that don’t correspond to the theory in the original (deductive) test. Make sense out of the pattern in the findings by extending an existing theory, or creating a new theory. BE CAREFUL: These conclusions must be tentative—the original observations should not be used as a “test” of the theory.

The “Wheel of Science” Induction and Deduction can (and often are) part of the same scientific process

Constructing Theory Specify the topic & scope Identify major concepts/variables Find out what is known about your concepts/variables Reason logically from that body of research to your specific topic

Theory and the “REAL WORLD” EVERY theory (scientific and non-scientific) has a policy implication EVERY policy implication is derived from some (scientific or not) theory.

Citation of Sources What’s the big deal? Plagiarism Intellectual Property Knowledge Building/Research

Citation Formats APA Style In-text citation Reference page p