RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana1.

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Presentation transcript:

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana1

2 RC LACE highlights 2005  Operations & maintenance  Networking  Research & development  Plans for

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana3 Operations & maintenance all 6 members - individual operational applications almost the same domains mesh size (  x 12.2km -  x 6.5 km) vertical resolutions (L37 - L45) 00 and 12 UTC runs per day 06 and 18 UTC runs on demand envelope - no envelope orography dyn. adapt; blending; 3DVar (e-suite) maintenance and porting of SW

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana4 Networking in 2004/2005 (Who? Why? When?) AAAA settings and definitions Intermediate ALADIN WP for 2005 Opened subjects Cost/efficient of new physics Interfacing internal and external Data formats Mobility of scientist ALADIN- HIRLAM Partnership

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana5 A proposal for planning and supervision of the HIRLAM- AROME-ALARO common work HIRLAM CouncilALADIN Assembly Management GroupUpdated CSSI: 2 RC LACE 2 Météo-France 2 ALADIN-n-n 1 joint session/year => scientific plan for common actions All staff meeting ALADIN Workshop Common maintenance (GMAP/D) Work plans HAC (1 M-F, 1 ALADIN-n) LACE-SC (1 M-F, 1 ALADIN-n-n, 1 HIRLAM) ‘Consistency check’ HIRLAM-PL/GMAP-D/ALADIN2-C Observer

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana6 Scientific Plan 2004/2005 4nd RC LACE Steering Committee meeting Opened to no-LACE partners 2004 Plans from year 2004 were fulfilled 100 person/months person/months to adjust R&D to AAAA plans

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana7 Scientific Plan toward AAAA compatibility Dynamics NH ALADIN is numerical core interfacing dynamics vs. physics is in focus Physics Fast development ALARO prototype as target Data Assimilation more meso-scale

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana8 Working Group for Dynamics and Coupling . Non-hydrostatic dynamics Interative schemes Choice of additional NH variables Bottom boundary condition Diabatism in NH Vertical discretization in high resolution . Dynamics – other topics Horizontal diffusion (SLHD) – Documentation issued! Radiative UBC Physics/dynamics interface

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana9 Results from WG for Dynamics and Coupling Interative scheme (overview)  2TL SL P/C (ICI) scheme has been developed  3TL Eulerian scheme is phased into the CY29T2 -test with DFI (to do: SHLD tests )  3TL semi-­Lagrangian part is still missing Stability tests: Alphia 2TL SL 3TL (ICI) Eul ∆ t 80 sec ∆ t 40 sec

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana10 Results from WG for Dynamics and Coupling Bottom Boundary Condition tests  Residual problems of ALADIN-NH dynamics on resolution (10-100m) - HD Chimney problem  Cure: –To treat exactly the current BBC formulation –To replace spectral HD by SLHD. 2D Tests: Bell shape Exact treatment vis. SLHD

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana11 Working Group for Physics Development is not frozen  AR/AL physics development  ALARO physics  AROME physics

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana12 Working Group for Physics . PBL cloudiness (Xu-Randall &Seidl-Kann ) . Prognostic cloud water  II. Param. schemes, diagnostic tools - 1D TKE prognostic - radiation scheme - convection scheme - DDH diagnostics for ALARO and AROME  V. Externalized surface- diffusion in ISBA V. Validation, case and sensitivity studies

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana13 Results from WG for Physics PBL cloudiness development -Problem: Too strong 2m temperature diurnal cycle in winter anticyclonic conditions; Large errors in 2m temperature forecasts. -Convergence Xu-Randall and Seidl-Kann scheme -Critical Humidity Profile computation modified -Lower values for PBL, and ∆T/ ∆ Z

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana14 PBL cloudiness

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana15 Results from WG for Physics AROME Prototype road-map: Target - Feb 2006 Gravity wave drag parmetrization Radiation LW and SW LS precipitation TKE Convection Shallow non-precipitable convection PBL cloudiness Interfacing Sampling; Testing; Porting; Verification AROME Prototype road-map: Target - Feb 2006 Gravity wave drag parmetrization Radiation LW and SW LS precipitation TKE Convection Shallow non-precipitable convection PBL cloudiness Interfacing Sampling; Testing; Porting; Verification

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana16 Working Group for Data Assimilation & Predictability . Methods - Algorithmic aspects Multivariate humidity formulation in the B matrix L-H versus NMC variances Ensemble B matrix computation . Observations MSG/AMV -Atmospheric Motion Velocities data AMDAR data Wind profiler data and 10m wind data (SYNOP) Radar data

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana17 Working Group for Data Assimilation & Predictability III.LAMEPS ALADIN EPS based on ARPEGE SV perturbations Breeding ETKF -Ensemble Transformed Kalman Filter ALADIN EPS based on the ECMWF EPS system EPS post-processing

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana18 Results from WG for Data Assimilation Assimilatin of 10m wind data from SYNOP - to improve surface wind assimilation over land - to see the impact of „black-lists“ on asimilation Set-up, surface wind just from SYNOPs: - ALADIN 3D Var Hu, LACE domain, 12km - „envelope orography“ Results: - mostly neutral - „black list“ QC could be replaced by screening 10m RMS orog. vis. real alt

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana19 Results from WG for Data Assimilation Downscalling of ECMWF EPS - Meso-scale clustering approach on ECMWF EPS - Several clustering parameters W 700: UV ;Q ;RT1000/500, T850,500 - Representatives of clusters as LBC for ALADIN - Set of coupling files from ECMWF EPS /3h freq - ALADIN +5 D forecast - Tests on meso-scale severe weather events

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana20

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana21 EPS clusters +48;60;72 ECMWF ALADIN

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana22 Plans for WG for Data Assimilation LACE need for more effort on meso-scale DA at MS (teams, HW, SW, data) Workshop On Code Maintenance and Data Assimilation (14-18 November, 2005 Budapest, Hungary) ALADIN Meso-scale Predictability Workshop (Jan/Feb/Mar 2006, ?LACE)

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana23 Plans for General  Relations with ALADIN 2 project new MoU (Nov. 2005)- structured ALADIN fresh funds for R&D ALADIN and LACE share the co-ordination mid-term WP ( )  Active in ALADIN-HIRLAM co-operation  AROME prototype at MS (spring 2006)  Toward AROME model (2008) 1 st AROME WS November 2005, Romania

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana24 ALADIN 2 models (AAAA) MF plans, status June 2005

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana25 Plans for (LACE) 5 th LSC, September 2005 :  Better coordination and more funds for predictability (proposed 4 th WG)  Proposed extension of current MoU ( )  RC LACE Independent Review in 2006 toward the new goals and structure

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana26 Austria Croatia Czech Republic Hungary Slovenia Slovakia

RC LACE 27th EWGLAM Meeting 3-5 October 2005, Ljubljana27 Verification project ALADIN Project organized by Slovenia started 2002 aims: to unify the verification on synoptic scale to impose the international standards to reduce duplication of work to compare different ALADIN at the same domain environment toward meso-scale verification