Is the economy (de)materializing? A comparison of Germany, China and Spain Vincent Moreau Gregor Meerganz von Medeazza.

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Presentation transcript:

Is the economy (de)materializing? A comparison of Germany, China and Spain Vincent Moreau Gregor Meerganz von Medeazza

Reduction in the amount of materials needed for the economic process, or a reduction in the quantity of material used per unit of economic output - also called “intensity of material use” Dematerialization debate mainly onset by Limits to Growth (Meadows and Club of Rome, 1972) concerns about the exhaustion of both material and energy supply the assimilative capacity of the environment (sinks) DEMATERIALIZATION

Economic and material/energy growth can be delinked vs. Economic and material growth are two sides of the same coin Hypothesis

Measures of economic growth Economic growth as measured conventionally with GDP at constant prices is problematic in several ways. GDP GDP excludes non monetary transactions and negative externalities Hedonist psychology shows that correlation between GDP and happiness in the western world no longer holds → societal happiness has been declining for the past thirty years

ALTERNATIVE measures of economic growth ALTERNATIVES: Index of Sustainable Economic Welfare (Daly et al. 1989) Genuine Progress Indicator (Redefining Progress 1995) Green GDP (El Serafy et al. 1989) SI = GDP – 2Ca – 1Cu + 1Bu HAPPINESS Bhutan’s “Gross National Happiness” I = (HLY) / (GHG) (Common, 2005)

PHYSICAL measures of the economic process ALTERNATIVES - Intensity of material use : Ecological Footprint Ecological Rucksack Material Input per Unit Service (MIPS) Material and Energy Flow Analysis (MEFA) Domestic Material Consumption (DMC) Life Cycle Inventory (LCI) How calculated ? Boundaries ? Minimization of such indicators always equivalent to environmental improvement ?

Dematerialization: an Industrial Ecology’s dream “conservation” principle replaces “throw-away” culture: durable products treated as capital assets rather than consumables Doing more with Less: Factor 4 Factor 10 Reasonable… but daunting Gospel of efficiency & Jevons’ paradox

RESULTS: evidence from Germany and China

Absolute vs. Relative Dematerialization Dematerialization should be differentiated in two ways. DMC (%) GDP (% constant 1995 prices) PTB (% to 2005) Spain ( ) Materialization China Relative dematerialization Germany Absolute dematerialization

Basic needs and material wants Basic needs are shared by everyone and are finite and few (Max-Neef et al. 1991) The good news ecologically: seems possible to actually have more satisfaction with less stuff Quality of life and happiness tricky to measure and still have no political value compared to GDP growth “conspicuous consumption” (Veblen 1899) “Positional goods” (Hirsch 1976)

CONCLUSION clear distinction between absolute and relative dematerialization

CONCLUSION clear distinction between absolute and relative dematerialization improvements in ratios of materials to GDP (or energy to GDP) really not relevant since nature sets absolute limits

CONCLUSION clear distinction between absolute and relative dematerialization improvements in ratios of materials to GDP (or energy to GDP) really not relevant since nature sets absolute limits absolute dematerialization of the economy is largely a red herring

CONCLUSION clear distinction between absolute and relative dematerialization improvements in ratios of materials to GDP (or energy to GDP) really not relevant since nature sets absolute limits absolute dematerialization of the economy is largely a red herring physical numeraires such as calories and kilograms not less reductionist than GDP

CONCLUSION clear distinction between absolute and relative dematerialization improvements in ratios of materials to GDP (or energy to GDP) really not relevant since nature sets absolute limits absolute dematerialization of the economy is largely a red herring physical numeraires such as calories and kilograms not less reductionist than GDP new satisfactors of needs must be less material and energy intensive.

CONCLUSION to generate “environmental space” for the South, the North must embark on a socially sustainable degrowth path…

CONCLUSION to generate “environmental space” for the South, the North must embark on a socially sustainable degrowth path… …meaning less use of materials and energy while sustaining and maintaining happiness.

CONCLUSION to generate “environmental space” for the South, the North must embark on a socially sustainable degrowth path… …meaning less use of materials and energy while sustaining and maintaining happiness. economic degrowth remains, however, a political taboo