Mark N. Mauriello NJAFM Past Chair. COASTAL STORM HAZARD VULNERABILITY FACTORS SEA LEVEL RISE EXPANDING FLOOD HAZARD AREAS INCREASING FLOOD HEIGHTS NEGATIVE.

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Presentation transcript:

Mark N. Mauriello NJAFM Past Chair

COASTAL STORM HAZARD VULNERABILITY FACTORS SEA LEVEL RISE EXPANDING FLOOD HAZARD AREAS INCREASING FLOOD HEIGHTS NEGATIVE SEDIMENT BUDGETS DEVELOPMENT DENSITY…LARGE NUMBER OF PEOPLE AND PROPERTIES AT RISK NATURAL RESOURCE IMPAIRMENTS EXTREME WEATHER

NJ MEAN SEA LEVEL TRENDS 1.3 FOOT RISE/100 YEARS

SEA LEVEL RISE SCENARIOS USACE 2011: Sea-Level Change Considerations for Civil Works Programs NOAA 2012: Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the United States National Climate Assessment

INCREASING FLOOD HAZARDS

NEGATIVE SEDIMENT BUDGETS CHRONIC SHORELINE EROSION & RETREAT SEA ISLE CITY MONMOUTH BEACH

VULNERABLE COMMUNITIES NJ LANDSATLAND USE/LAND COVER

USACE COMPREHENSIVE STUDY

OCTOBER 26, 2012

SANDY DYNAMICS

OCTOBER 29, 2012

STORM TRACK (NOAA, 2012)

ANATOMY OF A STORM TIDE

SANDY…BY THE NUMBERS Record Low Barometric Pressure: 940 Millibars (1, Normal)/27.76 Inches (29.92 Normal) Record Storm Surge: 13.9 Feet in Lower Manhattan; >13.5 Feet at Sandy Hook (1,000-year storm/0.001%) Record Wave Height in NY Harbor: 32.5 feet Landfall Coincided With High Tide and Full Moon Wind Field Diameter: 1,000 Miles Damage Estimate: > $71 Billion Second Costliest US Hurricane (Katrina #1)

INUNDATION LEVELS (USGS, 2012)

SURGE AND WAVE DAMAGES

COASTAL A ZONE DAMAGES

BAY FLOODING

BEACH AND DUNE EROSION

ROADWAY DAMAGES

DEBRIS MANAGEMENT

POWER DISTRIBUTION INFRASTRUCTURE

POWER OUTAGE: 7.2M CUSTOMERS

THE MORNING AFTER…