African Downstream Market Presented at UNCTAD’s Africa – OGTF Conference Nairobi, Kenya 23-25 May, 2007 NOT AN OFFICIAL UNCTAD RECORD.

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African Downstream Market Presented at UNCTAD’s Africa – OGTF Conference Nairobi, Kenya May, 2007 NOT AN OFFICIAL UNCTAD RECORD

Refineries in Africa

1. African Market Growth

Oil Products Demand in Africa Oil products demand in Africa accounted for 3.5% of global demand in 2006 Data difficult to collect, big delays in data availability; only annual data (except South Africa) Total oil products demand in SSA in 2005 = 120 million MT (2.6 million b/d), growing by 5.3% y/y ( )

Oil Products Demand in Africa

2. Refining Margins

Refining Margins from a Conversion Refinery: Europe

Refining Margins: Europe, Cracking

Refining Margins on Crude Distillation: Europe

Refining Margins: Europe, Hydroskimming

3. Necessity for Investment

Refineries in Africa

Possible African Refining Developments: Sonangol’s Lobito refinery project (200,000 b/d); TOR in Ghana planning second topping and RFCC units; SIR Abidjan, 1 million mt/yr debottlenecking; SoNaRa announced refinery expansion; Possibilities of new refineries in Nigeria; Possible new refinery in Port Sudan; Plans for expansions and new refineries in Algeria, Libya, Tunisia, Egypt.

THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION CITAC Africa LLP Belgrave House 76 Buckingham Palace Road London SW1W 9TQ UK Tel.: +44(0) Fax: +44(0) Website: