Current Conditions in Northern Hemisphere Crop NDVI Anomaly, August 13th, 2012 -0.4 0 0.4 Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly.

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Presentation transcript:

Current Conditions in Northern Hemisphere Crop NDVI Anomaly, August 13th, Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly USA Russia Kazakhstan Ukraine China India Canada anomaly Russia, Orenburg anomaly Spring Wheat Winter Wheat/ Corn Corn/ Soy Current season crop development (2012) Average season development ( ) Non Cropland Not shown NDVI

Time series depicting crop conditions in Northern Hemisphere, Summer 2012 Crop conditions are depicted through MODIS NDVI anomalies on 1 st day and 15 th day of each month (May- August) Crops in development stages sensitive to drought conditions are highlighted in red text within each region

Northern Hemisphere Crop Condition Anomaly, May 1st, Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly Crop stage sensitive to moisture and temperature Crop stages largely based on USDA/NOAA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF Europe: Wheat & Corn Black Sea Region (Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan): wheat China: Wheat, Corn & Soy USA: Wheat Non Cropland Not shown Observed highlights : -Drought in southern Ukraine affecting winter wheat -Drought in Spain affecting winter wheat

Northern Hemisphere Crop Condition Anomaly, May 15th, Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly Crop stage sensitive to moisture and temperature Crop stages largely based on USDA/NOAA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF Observed highlights : -US drought developing -Drought conditions in Ukraine affecting winter wheat -Drought conditions in Spain affecting winter wheat -Drought conditions in Russia, Kazakhstan developing Europe: Wheat & Corn Black Sea Region (Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan): wheat China: Wheat USA: Wheat Non Cropland Not shown

Northern Hemisphere Crop Condition Anomaly, June 1st, Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly Crop stage sensitive to moisture and temperature Crop stages largely based on USDA/NOAA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF Observed highlights: -US drought developing -Drought conditions in Ukraine affecting winter wheat -Drought conditions in Spain affecting winter wheat -Drought conditions in Russia, Kazakhstan during planting -Better than average conditions in China Europe: Wheat & Corn Black Sea Region (Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan): wheat China: Wheat, Corn & Soy USA: Wheat Non Cropland Not shown

Northern Hemisphere NDVI Crop Anomaly, June 15th, 2012 Observed highlights: -US drought spreading and intensifying -Drought conditions in Ukraine intensifying in the south -Drought conditions in Russia, Kazakhstan intensifying -Dry conditions spread in India Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly Crop stage sensitive to moisture and temperature Crop stages largely based on USDA/NOAA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF Europe: Wheat & Corn Black Sea Region (Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan): wheat China: Wheat, Corn & Soy USA: Wheat Non Cropland Not shown

Northern Hemisphere NDVI Crop Anomaly, July 1st, 2012 Canada: Wheat USA: Corn & Soy Europe: Corn Black Sea Region (Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan): Wheat & Corn China: Corn, soy, rice Observed highlights : -US drought continues to spread and intensify affecting soy and corn -Drought in Ukraine intensifying in the south -Drought in Russia, Kazakhstan intensifying, -Dry conditions continue in India -Dry conditions develop in eastern China Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly Crop stage sensitive to moisture and temperature Crop stages largely based on USDA/NOAA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF Non Cropland Not shown

Northern Hemisphere NDVI Crop Anomaly, July 15th, 2012 Observed highlights : -US drought continues to spread and intensify Drought in Ukraine continues and spreading north -Drought in Russia, Kazakhstan intensifying -Dry conditions developing in Bulgaria and Romania -Dry conditions in Manitoba/Ontario Canada, affecting corn -Dry conditions starting to mitigate in India Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly Crop stage sensitive to moisture and temperature Crop stages largely based on USDA/NOAA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF Canada: Wheat USA: Corn & Soy Europe: Corn Black Sea Region (Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan): Wheat & Corn China: Corn, soy, rice Non Cropland Not shown

Northern Hemisphere NDVI Crop Anomaly, August 1st, 2012 Canada: Corn & wheat USA: Corn & Soy Europe: Corn Black Sea Region (Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan): Wheat & Corn China: Corn & soy India: oilseeds, rice Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly Observed highlights : -US drought continues to spread and intensify -Drought in Ukraine continues to intensify in south east, dry conditions in Romania and Bulgaria intensify -Drought in Russia, Kazakhstan intensifying, affecting spring wheat and corn -Rains in India start to mitigate dry conditions -Rains mitigate dry conditions in Ontario, better than average conditions in the western Canada -Better than average conditions in north eastern China, -Small area of below average conditions in the east. Crop stage sensitive to moisture and temperature Crop stages largely based on USDA/NOAA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF Non Cropland Not shown

Northern Hemisphere NDVI Crop Anomaly, August 13th, Worse than normal normal Better than normal Crop NDVI Anomaly Observed highlights: -Drought conditions persist in US, south eastern Ukraine, Russia, and Kazakhstan, with slight improvement in some areas in northern Kazakhstan -Rains in India mitigate dry conditions -Conditions continue to improve in Manitoba/Ontario, better than average conditions in the western Canada -Better than average conditions in majority of croplands in China Canada: Corn & wheat USA: Corn & Soy Europe: Corn Black Sea Region (Ukraine, Russia, Kazakhstan): Wheat & Corn China: Corn & soy India: oilseeds, rice Crop stage sensitive to moisture and temperature Crop stages largely based on USDA/NOAA Joint Agricultural Weather Facility (JAWF Non Cropland Not shown

Comparison of 2012 Drought with Conditions in Previous Years USA and Russia

Comparing the 2012 Black Sea Region Drought to the 2010 Drought Crop NDVI Anomaly During the 2010 Russian Drought: (July ) Current drought affecting crop production in Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Bulgaria and Romania Vegetation Anomaly during the 2010 Russian drought, when grain production decreased by 30% Crop NDVI Anomaly July 17, 2012

2012 drought primarily affecting corn and soy crops Vegetation Anomaly from last year (July 2011) depicting the Texas drought which was the most severe one year drought on record USA NDVI Crop Anomaly July 17, 2012 USA NDVI Crop Anomaly July 17, 2011

Sources Images were created using the daily surface reflectance, Climate Modeling Grid (CMG) dataset from NASA MODIS sensor on board the Aqua and Terra satellites. Cultivated areas are depicted using a combination of the following products: US- NLCD, Europe- CORINE, rest of world- MODIS UMD Landcover Maps created by University of Maryland Department of Geographical Sciences (Inbal Becker-Reshef, Eric Vermote, and Chris Justice)