International Society for Child Indicators (ISCI) Inaugural Conference June Chicago, Illinois USA Sponsored by: Annie E. Casey Foundation Chapin Hall Center for Children at the University of Chicago Childwatch International Foundation for Child Development Institute for Family and Neighborhood Life, Clemson University Paul Baerwald School of Social Work and Social Welfare, The Hebrew University of Jerusalem Springer Academic Publishers

Chicago Children and Youth : Changing Population Trends

Goals To provide Chicago leaders with accurate annual estimates of early childhood program target population size in the 77 Chicago Community Areas To forecast population size changes through 2010 To understand changing characteristics of children in Chicago To better understand possible mismatches between the size of target populations and the number of program slots

Data sources used in the study 1990 and 2000 Census, U.S. Census Bureau; Cook County population estimates, U.S. Census Bureau; U.S. Census Bureau age 5-17 poverty estimates for the Chicago Public Schools; Chicago Public Schools enrollment data; Illinois Workforce Information Center Cook County unemployment data for ; Aggregate food stamp population

Major Points - I Fewer around the loop More in southwest and northwest Southeast side is growing More Hispanic children is driving change Poor children spread across Chicago

Major Points - II More services in some communities compared to others Schools are being opened close to where the population is growing Head Start has good coverage in the poorest communities in Chicago State Pre-K has better coverage on the northwest and southeast sides Child care resources and After School programs reflect the way the population was in the mid 1990’s.

losing about 6 percent of their population every year since 1990 Grand Boulevard Washington Park Douglas New West Side West Town Uptown Riverside

growing at an average rate of 6 percent every year since 1990 West Lawn Archer Heights Brighton Park

10 percent per year from 1990 to 1995, but then about 3 percent per year since Belmont-Cragin Montclare Avondale Loop West Elson Gage Park

about 2 percent per year since 1990 Northwest Southwest Southeast

Did not grow or decline

Hispanic child population Of the 29 communities that have large growth over the past 15 years, 27 have had increases in their Hispanic 0-17 population. Those community areas with the largest overall growth have seen the largest growth in the Hispanic population We project that late in this decade that Hispanic 0-17 year olds will be the largest group in the city, surpassing African-American children.

Next steps Expand estimates and forecasts to region Understand the multiple program use in early childhood Available at