Capital Markets Capital markets are the channels through which firms obtain financial resources to buy physical factors of production that economists call.

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Presentation transcript:

Capital Markets Capital markets are the channels through which firms obtain financial resources to buy physical factors of production that economists call capital. The available financial resources come from savings. The real interest rate is the return on capital and is the “price” determined in the capital market.

Capital Markets Since 1960 the quantity of capital has increased by 166 percent. The real interest rate has fluctuated but has shown no trend.

Capital Markets Figure 14.5(b) shows the changes in the demand for and supply of capital that have changed the equilibrium quantity and real interest rate over the last four decades.

Capital Markets The Demand for Capital A firm’s demand for financial capital stems from its demand for physical capital. The firm employs the quantity of physical capital that makes the marginal revenue product of capital equal to the price of the capital. The returns to capital come in the future, but capital must be paid for in the present. So the firm must convert the future marginal revenue product of capital to a present value.

Capital Markets Discounting and Present Value Discounting is converting a future amount of money into a present value. The present value of a future amount of money is the amount that, if invested today, will grow to be as large as that future amount when the interest that it will earn is taken into account. The easiest way to understand discounting is to begin with the relationship between an amount invested today, the interest that it earns, and the amount it grows to in the future.

Capital Markets If the interest rate for one period is r, then the amount of money a person has one year in the future is: Future amount = Present value + (r  Present value) Future amount = Present value  (1 + r) So the present value of the future amount is: Present value = Future amount/(1 + r)

Capital Markets Similarly, the amount of money that a person has n years in the future is: Amount n years in future = Present value  (1 + r) n So the present value is: Present value = Amount n years in future/(1 + r) n Because the return a firm earns from investing in capital accrues over a number of future years, the firm must calculate the present value of each year’s returns and then sum them.

Capital Markets The net present value of an investment subtracts the cost of the capital good from the present value of its marginal revenue product. If the net present value is positive, buying the capital is profitable for the firm, and the firm buys the capital.

Capital Markets A rise in the interest rate lowers the net present value of the marginal revenue product of capital, which in turn lowers the net present value of the capital. As the interest rate rises, fewer projects have positive net present value, other things remaining the same, and the quantity of capital demanded decreases.

Capital Markets The Demand Curve for Capital The quantity of capital demanded by a firm depends on the marginal revenue product of capital and the interest rate. The demand curve for capital shows the relationship between the quantity of capital demanded by the firm and the interest rate, other things remaining the same.

Capital Markets Two main factors that change the MRP of capital and the demand for capital are:  Population growth  Technological change

Capital Markets The Supply of Capital The quantity of capital supplied results from people’s savings decisions. The main factors that determine savings are:  Income  Expected future income  The interest rate

Capital Markets Supply Curve of Capital The supply curve of capital shows the relationship between the interest rate and the quantity of capital supplied, other things remaining the same. A rise in the interest rate brings an increase in the quantity of capital supplied and a movement along the saving supply curve.

Capital Markets The main influences on the supply of capital are:  The size and age distribution of the population  The level of income

Capital Markets The Interest Rate The savings plans of households and the investment plans of firms are coordinated through the capital markets. Adjustments in the real rate of interest make these plans compatible.

Capital Markets Figure 14.6 shows capital market equilibrium and changes in equilibrium. Population growth and technological advances have increased the demand for capital. Population growth and income growth have increased the supply of capital.

Natural Resource Markets Natural resources, or what economists call land, falls into two categories: Renewable natural resources are resources that can be used repeatedly, such as land (in its everyday sense), rivers, lakes, rain, and sunshine. Nonrenewable natural resources are natural resources that can be used only once and that cannot be replaced once they have been used, such as coal, oil, and natural gas.

Natural Resource Markets The Supply of Renewable Resources The demand for natural resources as inputs into production is based on the same principle of marginal revenue product as the demand for capital. But the supply of natural resources is special.

Natural Resource Markets The quantity of land (and other renewable natural resources) at any given time is fixed, which means the supply of land is perfectly inelastic. Figure 14.7 illustrates this case.

Natural Resource Markets The quantity of land (and other renewable natural resources) at any given time is fixed, which means the supply of land is perfectly inelastic. Figure 14.7 illustrates this case.

Natural Resource Markets The price (rent) for land and other renewable natural resources is determined solely by market demand. The market supply curve for land is perfectly inelastic, but the supply curve facing any one firm in a competitive land market is perfectly elastic. Each firm can rent as much land as it wants at the going market price.

Natural Resource Markets The Supply of a Nonrenewable Natural Resources For a nonrenewable natural resource, there are three supply concepts: The stock of a nonrenewable natural resource is the quantity in existence at any given time. This quantity (like the quantity of land) is fixed and is independent of the price of the resource.

Natural Resource Markets The known stock of a nonrenewable natural resource is the quantity that has been discovered. This quantity increases over time because advances in technology enable ever less accessible sources to be discovered. The flow supply of a nonrenewable natural resource is the rate at which the resource is supplied for use in production during a given time period. This supply is perfectly elastic at the price that equals the present value of the expected price of the resource next period.

Natural Resource Markets Figure 14.8 illustrates the flow supply of a nonrenewable natural resource. The opportunity cost of selling a resource this year is the present value of the resource next year.

Natural Resource Markets If this year’s price exceeds the present value of next year’s price, owners sell this year. If this year’s price is less than the present value of next year’s price, owners hold on to their stock this year and plan to sell next year.

Natural Resource Markets These actions make the flow supply perfectly elastic at the present value of next year’s expected price.

Natural Resource Markets Price and the Hotelling Principle The Hotelling principle states that, other things remaining the same, the price of a nonrenewable natural resource is expected to rise at a rate equal to the interest rate. The Hotelling principle follows directly from the definition of a present value.

Natural Resource Markets The current price equals the present value of the expected future price, which means that the current price equals the expected future price divided by one plus the interest rate. It follows that the expected future price equals the current price multiplied by one plus the interest rate. The price is expected to rise at a rate equal to the interest rate.

Natural Resource Markets The unexpected happens. Advances in technology beyond expectations, have led to the discovery of previously unknown stocks, lowered the cost of extracting previously known but inaccessible stocks, and decreased the demand for resources by making their use more efficient.

Natural Resource Markets Figure 14.9 shows how the average prices for the nine most used minerals in production have fallen over the last 30 years, rather than increased at a rate equal to the interest rate.

Income, Economic Rent, and Opportunity Cost Large and Small Incomes Demand and supply in factor markets determine the equilibrium price and quantity of each factor of production and determine who receives a large income and who receives a small income. Large incomes are earned by factors of production that have a high marginal revenue product and a small supply. National news anchors are an example.

Income, Economic Rent, and Opportunity Cost Small incomes are earned by factors of production that have a low marginal revenue product and a large supply. Fast-food workers are an example.

Income, Economic Rent, and Opportunity Cost Economic Rent and Opportunity Cost The total income received by an owner of a factor of production is made up of its economic rent and its opportunity cost. Economic rent is the income received by the owner of a factor of production over and above the amount required to induce that owner to offer the factor for use. The opportunity cost of using a factor is the income required to induce its owner to offer the resource for use, which is the value of the factor in its next best use.

Income, Economic Rent, and Opportunity Cost Figure illustrates the division of a factor income into economic rent and opportunity cost.

Income, Economic Rent, and Opportunity Cost The portion of income comprised of economic rent depends upon the elasticity of supply for the factor. The less elastic is the supply for a factor, the greater is the share of income that is comprised by economic rent.

Income, Economic Rent, and Opportunity Cost When the supply is perfectly inelastic, then all of the income is economic rent. The more elastic is the supply for a factor, the smaller is the share of income that is economic rent.

Income, Economic Rent, and Opportunity Cost When the supply is perfectly inelastic, then none of the income is economic rent.

Market Power in the Labor Market Just as a monopoly firm can restrict output and raise price, so can a monopoly owner of a resource restrict supply and raise price. The main source of market power in labor markets is a labor union, which is an organized group of workers that aims to increase wages and influence other job conditions.

Market Power in the Labor Market There are two types of unions: A craft union is a group of workers who have a similar range of skills but work for many different industries and regions. Examples include the carpenters’ union or electrical workers’ union. An industrial union is a group of workers who have a variety of skills and job types but work for the same firm or industry. Examples include the United Auto Workers and the Steelworkers Union.

Market Power in the Labor Market Union organization in the United States peaked in market strength in the 1950s when 35 percent of the non-agricultural workforce belonged to unions. Today that number has declined to 12 percent.

Market Power in the Labor Market There are three forms of union organization. In an open shop, workers have the right to be employed by the firm without joining the union. There is no union restriction over who can work in the “shop,” or firm. In a closed shop, workers must be union members in order to be employed by the company. The Taft–Hartley Act of 1947 made closed shop union arrangements illegal.

Market Power in the Labor Market In a union shop the firm may hire nonunion workers but the workers must join the union within a brief period of time after being hired. Twenty states have made union shops illegal by passing right-to-work laws, which give individuals the right to work for a firm without joining a union. Unions and employers negotiate wages, benefits, and working conditions through a process called collective bargaining.

Market Power in the Labor Market The union and the employer use different methods to strengthen their respective positions in the bargaining process: The union can call a strike where all union members are to refuse to work. The employer can call a lockout where the firm refuses to operate its plant and allow its employees to work, depriving them of a paycheck.

Market Power in the Labor Market The employer and the union engage in binding arbitration to resolve a lengthy dispute--an independent third party enters the collective bargaining process to determine the wage rates to be paid and resolve any other issues being negotiated.

Market Power in the Labor Market Unions’ Objectives and Constraints A union has three objectives:  Raise compensation  Improve working conditions  Expand job opportunities for its members

Market Power in the Labor Market Unions are constrained in their pursuit of these goals by: The ability to restrict non-union labor from replacing union labor, which depends upon having a large fraction of the relevant labor force. The ability to retain union jobs in the face of higher wages and benefits, which depends upon the elasticity of demand for the union labor.

Market Power in the Labor Market A Union in a Competitive Labor Market Unions try to restrict the supply for union labor and raise the wage rate. But this action also decreases the quantity of labor demanded.

Market Power in the Labor Market How Unions Try to Change the Demand for Labor In order to retain the number of jobs offered by the firm, unions also try to increase the demand for union labor, as well as make the demand for labor less elastic (which decreases the reduction in quantity of labor demanded for any given wage increase).

Market Power in the Labor Market Increasing the marginal revenue product (MRP) of labor: Unions try to increase the marginal product of union labor, to make the firm’s demand for labor less elastic. Encouraging import restrictions: Unions seek government assistance to reduce availability of substitute goods and services that are produced by non-union labor. Supporting minimum wage laws: Unions seek to increase the cost of employing unskilled labor to replace higher- skilled union labor. Unions try to increase the demand for union labor by:

Market Power in the Labor Market Supporting immigration restrictions: Unions seek to raise the wage rates of unskilled workers by restricting the supply of low-skilled, immigrant workers that can substitute for union labor. Increasing the demand for the good or service produced by union labor: Unions realize that demand for labor is a derived demand based on the value of the goods and services that union labor produces. The unions attempt to influence consumer behavior by persuading them to buy only union-made goods and services. Unions try to increase the demand for union labor by:

Market Power in the Labor Market Figure A14.1 shows the combined effect of restricting supply and increasing demand. The wage rate might rise, and employment opportunities for union members might increase.

Market Power in the Labor Market The Scale of Union-Nonunion Wage Differentials The average effect of union activity on wage rates in the United States has been a 30 percent increase in wages compared to non-union labor markets. But not all unionized industries have achieved higher wages. In mining and financial services, union wages are no different than non-union wages. Union wages are 65 percent higher in the construction industry.