The Markets Now Risks and Opportunities Before the ‘Sweet Spot’ Ends David Fuller – 8th September 2014 fullertreacymoney.com East India Club – 16 St. James.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Global Development Finance 2006 The Development Potential of Surging Capital Flows By Mr. Hans Timmer June 2006.
Advertisements

David Smith The Sunday Times. The Boustead Annual Globalisation Lecture The global financial crisis and the changing world economy.
1 The International FDI Challenge: Can West Midlands Compete? Courtney Fingar -- June 2013.
The winning and losing nations (or Sunrise, Sunset and Serendipity – time to start dropping BRICs) Sixth Gresham Lecture Douglas McWilliams Mercers School.
The Markets Now Opportunities and Risks for Financial Markets In 2015’s Changing Environment David Fuller – 12 th January 2015 fullertreacymoney.com East.
THERE ARE NO WARRANTIES, EXPRESSED OR IMPLIED, AS TO ACCURACY, COMPLETENESS, OR RESULTS OBTAINED FROM ANY INFORMATION DISCUSSED DURING HAWKTRADE MEETINGS.
AAII San Francisco Meeting Saturday March 20, 2010 Presented by: Tom Kopas Since 2000 a “Lost Decade” For Investors… Are you Prepared.
The Markets Now Investment Strategies Before the ‘Sweet Spot’ Ends David Fuller – 7th July 2014 fullertreacymoney.com East India Club – 16 St. James Square.
Perspectives on U.S. and Global Economy Houston Region Economic Outlook Houston Economics Club and Greater Houston Partnership Omni Houston Hotel December.
Talib.pk is the biggest community for students and professionals where you can find and download lot of Lectures, Projects, sample Papers, thesis and many.
The Markets Now Risks Versus Rewards for Financial Markets Through Yearend and to mid-2015 David Fuller – 10 th November 2014 fullertreacymoney.com East.
Black-Scholes Energy, Inc. Eunice Chin, Cecilia Shi, Namgu Kim, Sebastian Sotelo FINC Fall 2013: Derivatives & Financial Markets Final Project.
Copyright © 2011 CIL Ltd. All rights reserved. David Smith Sunday Times September 2011 David Smith.
What’s on an investor’s mind? Stephen Blackman, RBS Group Economics.
The Markets Now ●US T-Bonds have ended their secular bull market ● Global stock markets are experiencing a corrective phase due to seasonal factors, ‘Grexit’
FEBRUARY Global economic growth: no decoupling (Real GDP, % change) World U.S Japan
The Dawn of a New Economic Era? Russia Economic Report April 2015 | Edition No. 33.
The Markets Now Stock Market Uptrends Reaffirmed for Most of EU, Japan & USA, but Valuations are Rising David Fuller – 23 rd February 2015 fullertreacymoney.com.
Economic Overview Laurence Sanders. World Economic Growth n Sustained recovery n USA 4.7% n Japan 4.2% n UK 3.7% n Eurozone 2.0% ( second quarter GDP.
Globalisation – the Future Where the wind blows. A Global Re-think For 150+ years, globalisation has had the West at its Centre – colonisation, imperialism.
Global Development Finance 2007 The Globalization of Corporate Finance in Developing Countries May, 2007 T H E W O R L D B A N K.
After the Recession: How Hot? David Wyss Chief Economist TVB New York September 8, 2004.
The Markets Now Stock markets are edgy and commencing temporary consolidations, but cushioned by QE in Japan, EU, & China’s stimulus. However, valuations.
Investment Strategy in Economic Slowdown M S Narasimhan
World Electronics Forum Setting the Scene – Economic Considerations Mark Beatson Director, Innovation Economics, DTI.
Where are we in the long-term global market cycle, and what can we look forward to? David Fuller Chairman, FT Money The Caledonian Club Seminar November.
Perspectives on Emerging Economies Growth Vincenzo D’Apice Observatory on Emerging Economies, Luiss 22-Feb-2011.
1 GLOBALOxford Economic Forecasting VANESSA ROSSI, OXFORD ECONOMICS THE GLOBAL ECONOMY IN 2007.
Powerful Thinking for the global energy industry Outlook for 2011 Oil Markets: Why Oil Prices Will Stay in the Double Digits David Knapp, Chief Energy.
PBCTPBCT Connecticut Economic Overview “Recovery Underway?” May 2002 Todd P. Martin 1st VP & Chief Economist People’s Bank
1 Different crisis solutions and common future challenges for the Baltic Economies Jekaterina Rojaka DNB Chief Economist | Baltics November 24, 2011 Economic.
The Markets Now For Stock Markets, Have Risks That the ‘Sweet Spot’ Is Ending Increased? David Fuller – 6 th October 2014 fullertreacymoney.com East India.
Economic and Social Update April 2008 William E. Wallace, Lead Economist World Bank, Indonesia April 1, 2008.
Globoil 29 September Jonathan Grange.
Europe Faces a Post-Western World Hamish McRae Five great medium-term global shifts and … … their implications for the world of finance Three big questions.
AAII Silicon Valley Meeting Saturday November 13, 2010 Presented by: Tom Kopas Since 2000 a “Lost Decade” For Investors… Are you Prepared.
NS4054 Fall Term 2015 Nuclear Rebound?. Overview Oxford Analytica, “Nuclear Industry Will Rebound,” November 13, 2013 Nuclear power seems to be making.
GIRA Meat Club 2003 Far East: Beef Marie-Pierre Boudet.
ACTUAL DEVELOPMENT OF FINANCIAL MARKETS Assoc. Prof. Dr. Petr Budinský University of Finance and Administration Prague, Czech Republic
World Economy Heading for Another Period of Weakness DR. HOWARD NICHOLAS SENIOR LECTURER IN ECONOMICS, ERASMUS UNIVERSITY OF ROTTERDAM, THE NETHERLANDS.
1 Mexico: Challenges and Opportunities in a Time of Turmoil October 1, 2015 Gautam Mukunda Assistant Professor Organizational Behavior Unit Harvard Business.
Welcome to The Markets Now November 9 th 2015 David Fuller fullertreacymoney.com East India Club – 16 St. James Square London SW1Y 4LH, UK.
The Markets Now “Buy on the cannons, sell on the trumpets” Attributed to Nathan Mayer Rothschild ( ) in 1810 “Buy when there’s blood in the streets,
1 JANA’s Quarterly Capital Markets & Asset Allocation Update – September 2014.
2015 Investment Outlook Yuntaek Pae, PhD, CFA Associate Professor of Finance, Lewis University.
Global economic forecast December 14th The recovery is softening, with the weakness of private-sector jobs creation giving particular cause for.
NOTE: To change the image on this slide, select the picture and delete it. Then click the Pictures icon in the placeholder to insert your own image. Broad.
2016 – What’s Ahead? Jonathan Basile
Global economic forecast November 1st The housing market has stabilised recently but a sustained recovery is unlikely until 2011 Factors putting.
ECONOMIC MISERY AND PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS 0. Some Key Economic Indicators Indicators – Unemployment Rate: The percentage of people in the labor force.
A2 GCE Geography Unit 3 Geographical Superpowers © Geography Department, London Academy.
A year for caution but also opportunity January 26th 2016 Eoin Treacy FullerTreacyMoney.com.
US President Election 2016 “Never get into fight with ugly people, they have nothing to lose” Copenhagen, October 2016.
© 2016 Global Market Insights, Inc. USA. All Rights Reserved High Temperature Insulation Market Price, Trends, Industry Outlook & Forecast.
© 2016 Global Market Insights, Inc. USA. All Rights Reserved Polyurea Market Price, Trends, Industry Outlook & Forecast
Current Yields April 21st, 2017
A More Challenging Environment For Global Investors But Not
The Donald Trump Bull Market Extension How long will it last?
Increasing Risk of Medium-Term Correction Within Ongoing Bull Market
The Donald Trump Rally! Can you believe it? How long will it last?
Oxford Institute for Energy Studies and New College, Oxford University
Continued Risk of Medium-Term Correction Within Ongoing Bull Market
Edmonton’s Economic Outlook
Europe Faces a Post-Western World Hamish McRae
World Supply, Demand and Price Outlook for Oilseeds and Oilmeals
ECONOMIC MISERY AND PRESIDENTIAL ELECTIONS
The Economic Impacts of Tourism
NS4960 Spring Term 2018 Nuclear Rebound?
MTBPS and macroeconomic assessment (Nov 2003)
Lecture 26. World Economic Outlook
Presentation transcript:

The Markets Now Risks and Opportunities Before the ‘Sweet Spot’ Ends David Fuller – 8th September 2014 fullertreacymoney.com East India Club – 16 St. James Square London SW1Y 4LH, UK

Political Risks (not forecasts) Celebs see more of their nude ‘selfies’ posted by hackers Scotland votes for independence on 18 th Sept “Minds are like parachutes. They only function when they are open.” James Dewar Islamic State creates more turmoil Putin’s ambition is to expand Novorossiya (New Russia) China’s arriviste military strength risks territorial aggression Labour wins the UK General Election in 2015

Economic/Market Risks US public offerings are about to surge with Alibaba EU risks Japan-style deflation, despite Mario Draghi Leverage – there is plenty of it in the performing markets Some stock market indices will accelerate sharply higher Bond market yields will rise with GDP growth and less QE Crude oil prices, if they spike higher

At this stage of the stock market cycle, I favour previous laggards as they show relative strength

Biggest risk? China

First consolidation of recovery to date

Usually a lead indicator for Japan’s big-cap indices

Frequent accelerations at the latter stages of bull market cycles

Is Wall Street’s next secular bull market Underway? If so, it will be led by 1)Accelerated technological innovation 2)Lower energy costs in real terms 3)Worldwide acceptance of capitalism 4)Globalisation 5)An increasing global population 6)A rapidly growing global middleclass

Watch for an eventual loss of uptrend consistency in this step sequence of similar sized consolidations and higher reaction lows

Upside leader and acceleration candidate

Most likely to give eventual downside lead among major US indices

Not a problem at the moment, but global fracking is needed, plus more ‘new nuclear’ power and more solar power

Warning levels for stock markets

Watch for an eventual break down below 1900

What about precious metals? Still struggling, palladium excepted, but future hedges.

Many thanks for your interest! Any more questions? Please visit our site:

Feedback: Privacy Policy Feedback
Do Not Sell My Personal Information
About project: SlidePlayer Terms of Service

© 2024 SlidePlayer.com Inc. All rights reserved.