INDIA - RUSSIA COOPERATION FOR ENSURING ENERGY SECURITY By T L Sankar Administrative Staff College of India Institute of Public Enterprise Hyderabad February.

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INDIA - RUSSIA COOPERATION FOR ENSURING ENERGY SECURITY By T L Sankar Administrative Staff College of India Institute of Public Enterprise Hyderabad February 2009

Period TPES – Total Primary Energy Elasticity Electricity Elasticity 1981 to to to Elasticity of Energy Consumption with GDP – India

Year Total PCES In Mtoe Coal Mtoe Oil Mtoe NG Mtoe Primary Electricity Mtoe Imports Mtoe As % of TPCES Total Elec. Gen. BkWhr / Mtoe (59.7) 34.0 (34.7) 1.3 (1.3) 4.2 (4.3) 23.7 (24.2) (10.2) (59.7) 59.7 (31.2) 10.9 (5.7) 6.5 (3.4) 32.1 (16.8) (24.9) (55.8) (34.2) 23.9 (7.6) 7.6 (2.4) 93.6 (29.8) (48.2) (57.0) (33.3) 26.5 (7.5) 7.8 (2.2) (31.0) (54.5) (59.1) (31.4) 26.8 (6.9) 9.8 (2.6) (62.8) Growth Rate % per year Energy Consumption Trends ( to )

Period TPCES Elasticity Electricity Elasticity – Elasticity TPCES & Electricity with GDP - India

YearTPCES MTOE Electricity BkWhr Forecast of Energy & Electricity Demand - India :

Year Total Thermal Electricity (BkWhr) Coal Based Generation (BkWhr) Gas Based (BkWhr) Coal Requirement (MMT) Gas Requirement (BCM) Fuel Demand for Power Generation (Gas based generation at about 12%, coal based at about 88%)

Year Hydro MTOE Nuclear MTOE Coal MTOE Oil MTOE Natural Gas MTOE TPES MTOE Growth Rates % Per capita consumption 2030 KGOE Total Energy Requirements as per IEP

Year Hydro BkWhr Nuclear BkWhr Coal Million Tonnes Oil Million Tonnes Natural Gas B.Cum Growth Rates % Per capita consumption 2030 KGOE Total Energy Requirements as per IEP in Physical Units

ResourcesUnitProved Production in R/P Ration Yrs of Life Coal (Reserve)Billion tonnes Over 200 yrs Coal Extractable Billion tonnes Lignite Extractable Billion tonnes OilMillion tonnes GasBillion Cubic Meters Reserve Production Ratio of Available Fuel Resources - India

Fuel Range of Requirement in Scenarios Assumed Domestic Production Range of Imports Import Dependency % Oil (Mt) Natural Gas (Mtoe) including CBM Coal (Mtoe) TCPES Range of Import Dependency of Fuels in India

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