1 Statistics South Africa Work Programme: 2012/13

2 Content Introduction Strategic Plan: Work programme: 2012/13 o Economic statistics subsystem o Social statistics subsystem Future expansion: 2013/14 – 2014/15 Conclusion

3 Introduction South Africa suffers triple challenge of unemployment, inequality and poverty Modern states require systems of evidence to bring about desired change o System of planning – roadmap to achieve long-term goals o System of statistics – provides evidence to:  Inform planning  Monitor progress  Evaluate performance Platform for a planning, monitoring and evaluation environment is adequately anticipated in the Stats Act o Section 14 introduces statistical coordination within the South African National Statistics System (SANSS)

4 Strategic Plan: Overarching strategic goal: Expanding the statistical information base by increasing the supply of official statistics to inform evidence based decisions Strategic shift o Addressing the statistical information gap o Addressing the quality gap o Addressing the skills gap Key deliverables of the strategy o Broadening the role and reach of official statistics o Growth through coordination o Enhanced quality o Sustained capacity o Doing more with the same

5 Strategic Plan: Strategy Implementation Phases PhaseYearStrategic focusEnablers 12010/11 – 2011/12 Built social statistics capability – national footprint established Census 2011 Built governance and administrative capability – expanded corporate services at HO and PO Adequate funding received to build capacity to deliver on census and other household surveys 22012/13Deliver Census 2011 results Improved price statistics Maintain and consolidate the social statistics surveys Initiate future expansion Internal reprioritisation not sufficient to sustain strategy beyond 2012/ /14 – 2014/15 Expansion of Economic statistics Expansion of registers and frames Coordination of statistics and building statistical capacity Expansion – additional funding must be secured through MTEF

6 Key breakthroughs: Conducted Census 2011 Improved methodologies and surveys Price statistics (CPI, PPI, IES), life circumstances, service delivery and poverty (LCS, QLFS, VOC) Expansion and coordination of quality statistics through South African Statistical Quality Assessment Framework (SASQAF) Improved survey operations Established corporate data processing (scanning technology, warehouse) Established statistical infrastructure in the provinces (56 regional collections points) Improved governance and administration 5 consecutive unqualified audit opinions Phase 1: Statistical development in Stats SA

7 Development outcomesStatistical themes (Universe of statistics) System of Statistics Decent employment through inclusive economic growth Environmental assets and natural resources that are well protected and continually enhanced Economic growth Economic statistics subsystem Prices Sustainable resource management Employment, job creation and decent work Sustainable human settlements and improved quality of household life An efficient, competitive and responsive economic infrastructure network Life circumstances, service delivery and poverty Social statistics subsystem All people in SA are and feel safeSafety and security A long and healthy life for all SAHealth Improved quality of basic educationEducation Vibrant, equitable and sustainable rural communities with food security for all Rural development, food security and land reform All development outcomesPopulation dynamics Phase 2: Work programme 2012/13 Addressing the priorities

8 Phase 2: Work programme 2012/13 Stats SA response (partial) System of Statistics Statistical themePlans for 2012/13 Economic statistics subsystem Economic growthPublish monthly, quarterly, annual and periodic industry statistics PricesPublish re-engineered PPI and updated CPI Publish IES Sustainable resource management Compile discussion documents on environment and sustainable resource management Employment, job creation and decent work Publish quarterly labour statistics

9 Phase 2: Work programme 2012/13 Stats SA response (partial) System of Statistics Statistical themePlans for 2012/13 Social statistics subsystem Life circumstances, service delivery and poverty Publish results of annual GHS Publish results of IES Population dynamicsPublish census results by November 2012 Publish monthly and annual vital statistics Administrative sources - Statistical coordination and support (Civil Registration and Vital Statistics) Safety and securityPublish results of Victims of Crime Survey Administrative sources - Statistical coordination and support HealthAdministrative sources - Statistical coordination and support EducationAdministrative sources - Statistical coordination and support Rural development, food security and land reform Publish annual GHS results

Funding of key priorities up to 2012/13

11 Release Census 2011 Improved price statistics Release re-engineered PPI Release re-weighted and rebased CPI Maintain and consolidate the social statistics surveys Life circumstances, service delivery and poverty (GHS, IES, DTS, LCS, QLFS, VOC) Key priorities: 2012/13 Building and expanding the SANSS

12 Successfully concluded field operations and data processing started 14 million questionnaires being processed in a 24/7 operation at completed per day 1200 staff deployed at the processing centre Processing of an independent post enumeration survey (PES) ongoing Five percent firewall processing completed Council has appointed a team of national and international experts to evaluate the census Massive operation for dissemination of results in print and electronic media to the public Key priorities: 2012/13 Release of Census 2011 Results: End September 2012

13 Initiate future expansion Create an enabling regulatory environment for statistical production and coordination Build and maintain spatial information frame Business registration reform Integrate communication, marketing and stakeholder relations Integrate survey operations Participate in statistical development in Africa Build statistical capacity Key priorities: 2012/13 Building and expanding the SANSS

14 The future: 2013/14 – 2014/15

15 Phase 3: Expansion 2013/14 – 2014/15 Expand and improve economic statistics o National Accounts o International Standard Industrial Classification o Agriculture statistics o Environmental Economic Accounts Expand and improve registers and frames o Business registration reform o Spatial information frame o Administrative sources Coordinate statistical production and build capacity o SAPS o Education o Civil registration and vital statistics o ISIbalo training institute

16 Phase 3: Risks and constraints Phase 3: Lack of funding impacts on the implementation of the strategy Implementation of statistical benchmarks constrained Quality of macroeconomic and social indicators will deteriorate over time o SNA2008 and ISIC4 international standards affects statistical information on economic growth, price stability, and employment and job creation o If current status continues – statistics will become inaccurate and irrelevant Impact: International trade, competitiveness, economic growth, policy development Implementation of statistical coordination (Section 14 of Stats Act) hampered State planning, monitoring and decision-making will continue to be based on poor statistical information o More than 400 external data sources – potential official statistics  Statistical support and advice to organs of state on administrative records  Designate statistics as official to certify quality is required Building statistical capacity in the SANSS limited

17 Phase 3: Risks and constraints (2) Phase 3: Lack of funding impacts on the implementation of the strategy Reverse gains achieved in establishing statistical infrastructure Statistical infrastructure (national footprint) cannot be sustained o Provincial, district and satellite offices cannot be sustained o Master sample cannot be maintained o Decentralisation initiatives to be discontinued o IEC/LCS cycle and methodology cannot be sustained Impact: Household survey programme and CPI basket

Phase 3: Risks and constraints (2) Funding Request

19 Delivery of the strategy Stats SA has built the engine to deliver on the strategy ito o Broadening the role and reach of official statistics o Growth through coordination o Enhanced quality o Sustained capacity Stats SA has demonstrated delivery o Delivered Census 2011 o Consistent delivery of quality statistical products Stats SA has improved its governance and administration – evident through improving opinion of Auditor General – 5 unqualified opinions Stats SA is recognised as a lead agency on the continent and globally in statistical development

20 Conclusion Stats SA has consistently delivered on its mandate over the past five years However inadequate funding – threatens growth and expansion to implement the strategy o Non-delivery on statistical information, quality and skills gap o The engine will have to be dismantled o Move back towards pre-2005

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