PRIVATE ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY A KEY TO PROFITABILITY.

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Presentation transcript:

PRIVATE ECONOMIC EFFICIENCY A KEY TO PROFITABILITY

PHYSICAL EFFICIENCY FIRST Before we can discuss private economic efficiency, we must define another measure of efficiency known as PHYSICAL EFFICIENCY (TECHNICAL EFFICIENCY, OR PRODUCTIVITY).

Simple ratio of: Units of Output / Units of Input For example, Feed Efficiency = lbs. of gain / lb. of feed Fertilizer Efficiency = lbs. of corn / lb. of fertilizer

Simple ratio of: units of output / units of input Irrigation Efficiency = lbs. of tobacco / inch of water Labor Efficiency = acres mowed / hour of labor

Let's examine the physical efficiency of corn production with respect to energy over time Define PE labor as bushels of corn produced / hour of labor. Define PE fuel as bushels of corn produced / gallon of fuel. produced / gallon of fuel.

Some Data: corn yields (bu/ac) price of corn ($/bu) price of labor ($/hr) price of fuel ($/gal) hours labor per acre gallons fuel per acre

Analysis: PElabor PEfuel

What does this data tell us ? PE labor and PE fuel have gone up. The real price of labor has increased. The real price of fuel has decreased The real price of corn has decreased

How do you know the real price of corn decreased? Turn to page 276 of your Notebooks. There you will find a time-series of the Consumer Price Index (update)

Analysis: CPI for 1945 is 18.0 CPI for 1988 is We find the INFLATION that occurred over this time period by calculating the percentage change in the CPI from 1945 to 1988

Analysis: % Change in CPI = ((CPI CPI 1945 ) / CPI 1945 ) X 100 (( ) / 18.0) X 100 = %

Analysis: % Change in Nominal Price of Corn = ((P P 1945 ) / P 1945 ) X 100 (($ $1.23) / $1.23) X 100 = %

Analysis: Did Corn Prices increase as much as the inflation rate? Inflation = % Increase in Corn Price = %

Analysis: What has the nominal price of labor done between 1945 and 1988? Gone up % What has the nominal price of fuel done between 1945 and 1988? Gone up 265%

Analysis: What has the REAL price of labor done between 1945 and 1988? ???????????? What has the REAL price of fuel done between 1945 and 1988? ?????????????

How many acres does it take to get 100 bushels of corn? 1945: 100 bu. / 33 bu./ac. = 3.02 acres 1971: 100 / 88.8 = 1.14 acres 1987: 100 / =.84 acres 1988: 100 / 84.6 = 1.18 acres

Private Economic Efficiency Value of output / Value of input. Where, Value of output = (units of output) * (price of output) Value of input = (units of input) * (price of input)

What can we say about economic efficiency of corn producers over time? Economic efficiency of labor in 1945, value of output= 33.1 X $1.23 = $40.71 value of labor= 19.2 X $.43 = $ 8.26 EElabor= $40.71 / $8.26 = 4.93

What can we say about economic efficiency of corn producers over time? Economic efficiency of labor in 1971, value of output= $95.15 value of labor= $ 8.36 EElabor= 11.38

What can we say about economic efficiency of corn producers over time? Economic efficiency of fuel in 1971, value of output= value of fuel= $ 3.90 EEfuel= 24.40

What can we say about economic efficiency of corn producers over time? Economic efficiency of energy in 1971, value of output= $95.15 value of energy= $ $3.90 = $12.26 EEenergy= 7.76

What can we say about economic efficiency of corn producers over time? Economic efficiency of labor in 1987, value of output= X $1.94 = $ value of labor= 1.90 X $5.00 = $ 9.50 EElabor = $ / $9.50 = 24.38

What can we say about economic efficiency of corn producers over time? Economic efficiency of fuel in 1987, value of output= $ value of fuel= 12.0 X $.71 = $8.52 EEfuel= $ / $8.52 = 27.19

What can we say about economic efficiency of corn producers over time? Economic efficiency of energy in 1987, value of output= $ value of energy= $ $8.52 = $18.02 EEenergy = $ / $18.02 = 12.85

Analysis: What conclusions can we come to ? EElabor EEfuel EEenergy

Analysis: Why did producers shift from human energy to fossil fuel energy ? Labor Fuel Labor Fuel 1945$.43/hour$.20/gallon 1971$ 1.64/hour$.26/gallon 1987$ 5.00/hour$.71/gallon

Analysis: 1.% change in price = ( (P1 - P0) / P0 ) * % change in price of labor, from 1945 to 1971= 281.4% ((P P 1945 ) / P 1945 ) * 100

Analysis: 3. % change in price of fuel, from 1945 to 1971 = ((P P1945 ) / P1945 ) * 100 = (($.26 - $.20) / $.20) * 100 = 30%

Analysis: 4.% change in price of labor, from 1971 to 1987 = ((P P1971 ) / P1971) * 100 = (($ $1.64) / $1.64) * 100 = 204.9%

Analysis: 5.% change in price of fuel, from 1971 to 1987 = ((P P1971 ) / P1971) * 100 = (($.71 - $.26) / $.26) * 100 = 173.1% (($.71 - $.26) / $.26) * 100 = 173.1%

Analysis: If you were the producer, how would you have responded to these price changes with respect to the mix of energy inputs used ? Use more fuel and less labor?

Analysis: Why did tobacco producers use so much migrant Hispanic labor? Why is there use of migrant Hispanic labor decreasing? Why is there use of migrant Hispanic labor decreasing? Why has the price of tobacco harvesters increased so much since 1986?

Annual Ownership Costs: We estimate annual ownership costs for budgeting: Depreciation = (cost - salvage) / useful life = $ 7,101.46/yr Interest = ((cost + salvage) / 2) *.08 = $6,017.92/yr Insurance = ((cost + salvage) / 2) *.008 = $ /yr Prop. taxes = ((cost + salvage) / 2) * = $ /yr Total annual ownership cost $14,055.92/yr

Ownership and Operating Costs If producing 500 acres, Total annual ownership cost/acre = $28.11/acre Operating Costs per acre: (1987) (12 gallons fuel / acre) * ($.71 / gallon) = $ 8.52/acre (1.9 hours / acre) * ($5.00 / hour) = $ 9.50/acre Total $46.13/acre

If we use only human labor, (19.2 hours / acre) * ($5.00 / hour) = $96.00/acre And look, we have not accounted for the mules or the feed they eat. What would you do ?

References: N.c.State university-College of Agriculture and Life science –Dr. herman_sampson