General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people General Register Office for Scotland “Information about Scotland’s people” Vital events statistics Census Population estimates and projections Household estimates and projections Other statistics (eg drug deaths, dwellings) NHS Central Register General demographic advice

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Population and Migration team Mid-year estimates Population projections for sub-national areas Small area population estimates Life tables Marital status estimates

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Estimated population 5,094,800 at 30 June ,400 up during the year Increase for the third year running 2002, 5,054,800 Change in previous trend of slow decline

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Scotland's Population

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Household estimates & projections branch - responsibilities 1.Household estimates 2.Dwelling estimates 3.Household projections By household type, age group and area Used to help plan future housing and service need

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Summary of trends ( ) Little overall change in population. But large projected increase in number of households. More people living alone. Ageing population  more households with elderly people and fewer households with children. Geographic differences – more people live alone in the cities, and more families in areas outside the cities.

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Research on Alternative Sources The long-term vision in the production of population statistics was put forward by Office for National Statistics in 2003: Integrated Population Statistics System: census, administrative and survey data linked at an individual record level to create a single comprehensive population statistics database which is updated overtime. General Register Office for SCOTLAND information about Scotland’s people

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people As part of this research program GROS: Undertakes studies of administrative sources and surveys, currently not used in the production of population estimates, to assess the potential for these sources in the production or quality assurance of population estimates Works to develop in house capability to match data sources at record level Aims to learn from research projects linking census records with other administrative registers: Health and Ethnicity, Scottish Longitudinal Study. General Register Office for SCOTLAND information about Scotland’s people

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Example 1: SE Education Department Comparison of Mid-Year Population Estimate and School Population, 2003 General Register Office for SCOTLAND information about Scotland’s people

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Example 1: SE Education Department General Register Office for SCOTLAND information about Scotland’s people Mid-year Pop’n Estimate School Population School Census

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Example 1: SE Education Department School Population as a Percentage of Mid-year Population Estimate, by Area, Age Group, 2003 General Register Office for SCOTLAND information about Scotland’s people

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Example 2: Matching Community Health Index and 2001 Census Percent of Census records linked to health data by age and sex General Register Office for SCOTLAND information about Scotland’s people

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Example 2: Matching CHI and 2001 Census Percent of Census records linked to health data by ethnicity General Register Office for SCOTLAND information about Scotland’s people

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Example 3: Creating the Scottish Longitudinal Study from Census, Vital Events and Health registrations General Register Office for SCOTLAND information about Scotland’s people

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people General Register Office for Scotland Vital Events Branch Vital Events – births, marriages, deaths, divorces, adoptions, civil partnerships

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Vital Events - sources Primarily information collected through the civil registration process Civil registration is managed by GROS in partnership with local authorities Other minor sources include Scottish Courts Service (SCS) for data on divorces

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Vital events - processing Information from registration process is checked and edited Occupation coding (SOC2000) Cause of death coding (WHO, ICD10) – using automated coding software from USA Wide range of geographical area codes are assigned using postcodes e.g. wards, council areas, constituencies, NHS board areas

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Vital Events – outputs Key data for population estimates Wide range of standard tabular output for ‘publications’ and dissemination on www Substantial number of ad hoc analyses for other departments, parliamentary questions, researchers, general public, etc. Regular record based output to NHSCR, ISD, NHS boards More specific record based output for researchers (subject to confidentiality constraints)

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Dissemination & 2001 Census Analysis Dissemination of the statistics publications of GROS. Answering enquiries on all areas of statistics. Providing advice on the use of 2001 (and earlier years’) Census data. Co-ordination work for the Division including GROS website.

General Register Office for S C O T L A N D information about Scotland's people Dissemination & 2001 Census Output The Registrar General’s Annual Report Census reports and occasional papers including recent reports on migration, travel and Gaelic language. Census data on website and on CDs/DVDs. Handled around 1,700 requests for data in 2005/06. Statistics section of GROS website will have a new look soon, with topic pages for each demographic area.