National Center for Higher Education Management Systems 3035 Center Green Drive, Suite 150 Boulder, Colorado Connecting Higher Education with the Future of Louisiana Postsecondary Education Review Commission Baton Rouge, Louisiana August 10, 2009

Educational Attainment & Rank Among States Louisiana 2007 (percent) slide 2 Rank 47 Rank 50 Rank 48 Rank 45 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2007 American Community Survey.

Relationship Between Educational Attainment, Personal Income, and Economic Strength slide 3 AL AZ AR CA CO CT DE IL IN IA KY LA MD MA MS NJ NY ND OK OR SC SD UT VA WA MN NH TN TX WV WI WY $15,000 $20,000 $25,000 $30,000 15%20%25%30%35%40% Personal Income Per Capita, 2000 Percent of Adults Age with a Bachelor’s Degree or Higher MT HI AK GA KS ME NE NV NC OH PA VT ID MI MO NM RI FL US Low Income, High Educational Attainment Low Income, Low Educational Attainment High Income, High Educational Attainment High Income, Low Educational Attainment State New Economy Index (2002) Top Tier Middle Tier Low Tier

AK AR DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NVNJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD VT VA WA US AL CA CO CT FL ID KY MI MN MS MO NH NM TN TX UT WV WI WY $15,000 $22,000 $29,000 $36,000 $43,000 $50, AZ Personal Income Per Capita Percent of Adults Age with Bachelor’s Degrees 1980 Correlation = 0.64 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey Educational Attainment and Income slide 4

Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey AK AR DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD VT VA WA US AL CA CO CT FL ID KY MI MN MS MO NH NM TN TX UT WV WIWY $15,000 $22,000 $29,000 $36,000 $43,000 $50, AZ 1990 Personal Income Per Capita Percent of Adults Age with Bachelor’s Degrees Correlation = 0.76 slide 5

Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey PA AK AR DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NV NJ NY NC ND OH OK OR RI SC SD VT VA WA US AL CA CO CT FL ID KY MI MN MS MO NH NM TN TX UT WV WI $15,000 $22,000 $29,000 $36,000 $43,000 $50, AZ 2000 Personal Income Per Capita Percent of Adults Age with Bachelor’s Degrees Correlation = 0.80 WY slide 6

Educational Attainment and Income Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Decennial Census’ and American Community Survey NM NC AK AZ AR DE GA HI IL IN IA KS LA ME MD MA MT NE NV NJ NY ND OH OK OR PA RI SC SD VT VA WA US AL CA CO CT FL ID KY MI MN MS MO NH TN TX UT WV WI WY $15,000 $22,000 $29,000 $36,000 $43,000 $50, Personal Income Per Capita Percent of Adults Age with Bachelor’s Degrees Correlation = 0.83 slide 7

Increasing Levels of Education Attainment Leads to Improved Societal Outcomes Increased levels of workforce participation Decreased rates of incarceration Improved health outcomes Reduced participation in Medicaid and other social service programs Greater participation in artistic, cultural, and civic pursuits Higher levels of volunteerism and social engagement slide 8

Percent of Civilians Age Not Participating in the Workforce by Education Attainment, 2005 slide 9 U.S.Louisiana Less than High School High School Some College Associate Degree Bachelor’s Degree Graduate/Prof. Degree

Source: U.S. Census Bureau Percent of Adult Population with at Least a Baccalaureate Degree, 2000 slide 10

Louisiana Per Capita Personal Income, 2004 Source: US Bureau of Economic Analysis Census, 2004 slide 11 $18,248 - $21,176 $21,177 - $24,104 $24,105 - $27,032 $27,033 - $29,960 $29,961 - $32,886

Percent of Total Gross State Product by Industry and Comparison to U.S. Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, U.S. Department of Commerce

Employment in High-Technology Establishments as Share of Total Employment by State, 2004 Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, Corporation for Enterprise Development (CFED) slide 13

Projected Change in Louisiana Population by Age and Race/Ethnicity, (in Thousands) 253,287 Source: U.S. Census Bureau 102,927

Difference in Education Attainment Between Whites and African Americans (2006, Percent) slide 15

If all racial/ethnic groups had same educational attainment, annual personal income in Louisiana would be $10 BILLION higher! Source: Measuring Up 2008: The National Center for Public Policy in Higher Education Louisiana Population With Bachelor’s Degree slide 16

Louisiana in a National & International Context slide 17

Percent of Adults with an Associate Degree or Higher by Age Group - Louisiana, U.S. & Leading OECD Countries Source: OECD, Education at a Glance 2008 slide 18

Educational Needs Index

State Scores on the Overall Educational Needs Index slide 20 Ohio Colorado Delaware Kansas Washington District of Columbia Virginia New York Wisconsin Rhode Island Pennsylvania Maryland Montana Wyoming New Jersey Nebraska South Dakota Maine Vermont Iowa Hawaii Minnesota Connecticut Massachusetts New Hampshire North Dakota Most Critical Critical Less Critical Least Critical

Educational Needs Index - Louisiana

Percent of Population Age with an Associate Degree or Higher, 2006 slide 22 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

For Every th Graders in Louisiana Source: NCHEMS

BBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBBB 57 Students Graduate from High School BBBBbBBBBb Source: NCHEMS

38 Students Enter College Within 2 Years BBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBB Source: NCHEMS

14 Students Earn a Degree in 6 Years Source: NCHEMS BBBBBBBBBB BBBBBBBBBB

Student Pipeline, 2006 Sources: (1) Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity; Chance for College by Age 19. (2) NCES, IPEDS 2006 Retention Rate File and 2006 Graduation Rate File. (3) U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 American Community Survey. Of 100 9th Graders, How Many… slide 27

High School Graduation Rates - Public High School Graduates as a Percent of 9th Graders Four Years Earlier, 2006 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity slide 28

Percent Source: STS Public and Private HS, September of Graduation Year From 2003 to 2006, number of high school graduates reported in STS: declined by 4,245 or 9.4% those completing the core increased by 941 or 3.7% High School Students Graduating With CORE slide 29

College-Going Rates—First-Time Freshmen Directly Out of High School as a Percent of Recent High School Graduates, 2006 Source: Tom Mortenson, Postsecondary Opportunity slide 30

Louisiana = 56.5 Sources: Louisiana Board of Regents. Louisiana Dept. of Education. Note: High school graduates not available for High school graduates for Orleans Parish for 2007 only (2006 affected by hurricane). Public 4Yr Public 2Yr, CC LTC Louisiana Public Sector – First-Time Undergraduates Directly Out of High School as a Percent of High School Graduates, Annual Average

Louisiana = 42.1 Sources: Louisiana Board of Regents. Louisiana Dept. of Education. Note: High school graduates not available for High school graduates for Orleans Parish for 2007 only (2006 affected by hurricane). Louisiana Public 4-Year Sector – First-Time Undergraduates Directly Out of High School as a Percent of High School Graduates, Annual Average

Louisiana = 12.1 Sources: Louisiana Board of Regents. Louisiana Dept. of Education. Note: High school graduates not available for High school graduates for Orleans Parish for 2007 only (2006 affected by hurricane). Louisiana Public 2-Year/CC Sector – First-Time Undergraduates Directly Out of High School as a Percent of High School Graduates, Annual Average

Louisiana = 2.3 Sources: Louisiana Board of Regents. Louisiana Dept. of Education. Note: High school graduates not available for High school graduates for Orleans Parish for 2007 only (2006 affected by hurricane). Louisiana Technical College Sector – First-Time Undergraduates Directly Out of High School as a Percent of High School Graduates, Annual Average

First Time Freshmen Enrollment Trends in Louisiana Public Postsecondary Education slide 35

Undergraduate FTE Enrollment by Sector ( )

Average ACT Scores of First-Time Freshmen Source: Board of Regents slide 37

Percent of First Time Freshmen enrolled in Developmental Education courses at 4-year institutions. Developmental Education, Four-Year Institutions Source: Board of Regents slide 38

Undergraduate Credentials & Degrees Awarded at All Colleges per 1,000 Adults Age with No College Degree, 2006 slide 39 Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey ; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS United States Louisiana 33.5

Bachelor’s Degrees Awarded at All Colleges per 1,000 Adults Age with No College Degree, 2006 slide 40 Source:NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey ; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

Associate Degrees Awarded at All Colleges per 1,000 Adults Age with No College Degree, 2006 slide 41 Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey ; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

Certificates & Diplomas Awarded at All Colleges per 1,000 Adults Age with No College Degree, 2006 slide 42 Source: NCES, IPEDS Completions Survey ; U.S. Census Bureau, 2006 ACS

Degrees Awarded (Public Institutions) Source: Board of Regents Return on Investment Change Associate2,8823,74930% Baccalaureate15,37517,64215% Master’s4,3064,5065% Doctorate % Professional % Change Certificate/Diploma2,6753,39727% slide 43

Adult Education & Literacy Target Populations as a Percentage of All Adults Age 18-64, 2005 Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2005 ACS; PUMS Note: Incarcerated population not separated out. slide 44

Enrollment of Residents Age as a Percentage of those Residents with a High School Diploma but No College, 2005 Source: NCES, IPEDS Enrollment Survey; U.S. Census Bureau 2005 ACS 40.1 slide 45

For Louisiana To Reach International Competitiveness by % of Population Age with College Degrees slide 46

Educational Attainment in Louisiana (Percent) Current, in 2025 with current degree production, and best- performing countries in 2025 slide 47

Reaching Top Performance by 2025 (55%) Louisiana 1,259,349Number of Individuals to Match Best-Performing Countries (55%) 340,337Number of Individuals (Age 25-44) Who Already Have Degrees 919,012Additional Degree Production Needed (2005 to 2025) 544,560Degrees Produced at Current Annual Rate of Production -101,097Additional Residents with College Degrees from Net Migration 475,549Additional Degrees Needed 23,777Additional Degrees Needed per Year (currently produce 27,228 in all Sectors) 108.5%Increase in Annual Associate and Bachelor’s Degree Production Needed (in Public Sector Only) slide 48

How Can Louisiana Reach International Competitiveness? Current Degree Production Combined with Population Growth and Migration and Improved Performance on the Student Pipeline Measures Degrees Produced with Current Rate of Production Additional Degrees from Population Growth Additional Degrees from Net Migration of College-Educated Residents Reaching Best Performance in High School Graduation Rates by 2025 Reaching Best Performance in College-Going Rates by 2025 Reaching Best Performance in Rates of Degree Production per FTE Student Total Degrees Produced If All of the Above Degrees Needed to Meet Best Performance (55%) Source: 2005 ACS, PUMS Pipeline is cumulative slide 49

Even Best Performance with Traditional College-Age Students at Each Stage of the Educational Pipeline Will Leave Gaps in More than 30 States 1,333, ,504 In order to reach international competitiveness by 2025, the U.S. and 32 states cannot close the gap with even best performance with traditional college students. They must rely on the re-entry pipeline—getting older adults back into the education system and on track to attaining college degrees. slide 50

Collective Cost to Louisiana, Assuming Tuition Stays the Same $1.1 Billion=Annual Costs of Additional Students at Current $ per Student $ 1.6 Billion =Current State Contribution 69% =Percent Increase in Annual State Support Needed slide 51 *Based on figures from

Average Cost to Students, Assuming No Additional State Investment $ 3,371 =Additional Annual Costs to Students at Public Four- Year Institutions 95% Increase in Tuition and Fees (Currently $ 3,559) $ 2,114 =Additional Annual Costs to Students at Public Two- Year Institutions 192% Increase in Tuition and Fees (Currently $ 1,102) slide 52

Productivity: Total Funding per Degree/Certificate (Weighted*, ) slide 53 *Adjusted for value of degrees in the state employment market (median earnings by degree type and level)

Degrees & Certificates awarded per FTE vs. Total Funding per FTE ( ) slide 54 Source: SHEEO State Higher Education Finance Survey 2008: NCES IPEDS Completions Survey

Total Funding per FTE ( ) Performance ( ) Performance Relative to Funding: Bachelors Degrees Awarded per 100 FTE Undergraduates (Public Research Institutions) Source: NCES, IPEDS slide 55

Total Funding per FTE ( ) Performance ( ) Performance Relative to Funding: Bachelors Degrees Awarded per 100 FTE Undergraduates (Public Bachelors and Masters) Source: NCES, IPEDS slide 56

Total Funding per FTE ( ) Performance ( ) Performance Relative to Funding: All Credentials Awarded per 100 FTE Undergraduates (Public Two-Year Institutions) Source: NCES, IPEDS slide 57