QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Strategy Analysis Prepared for: Envision Utah Prepared by:

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Presentation transcript:

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Strategy Analysis Prepared for: Envision Utah Prepared by: Quality Growth Efficiency Tools (QGET) Technical Committee

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Overview Contributors Limitations Context Motivations Challenges Strategy Analysis

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Contributors 88 Cities 10 Counties 2 Metropolitan Planning Organizations 5 State Agencies Psomas Engineering Fregonese Calthorpe Associates

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Limitations Work in progress Conservative estimate of benefits Prepared at the regional scale –Site or project specific inferences should not be made Limited scope –Transportation, air quality, land use, water, and infrastructure costs

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Quality Growth Strategy Insert FREGOs last slide - 3D QGS Layers: Constrained Lands Critical Lands Infrastructure Centers and Corridors New Developed Lands Re-Developed Lands

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Baseline Salient Characteristics –Refinement of past work (2nd revision) –Includes the addition of approximately one million more people by 2020 –Snapshot of the future based on state and regional plans –Based on trends of the past years Depicts how the region is likely to develop based on recent plans

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Strategy Salient Characteristics –Includes addition of approximately one million more people –Depicts impacts of voluntary, interjurisdictional cooperation –Reflects market-based housing mix –Requires additional water conservation and telework –Consistent with previously expected population and employment trends at the county-level –Requires incremental changes from current development patterns Depicts how the region is likely to develop based on adherence to Envision Utah’s goals and strategies

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 The pursuit of this strategy is motivated by the common and regional nature of many of our challenges. We share the same roads, airshed, water resources, and natural assets. We have an enviable quality of life, but we have major challenges.

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Challenge #1: Congestion Seattle 34% San Diego 58% Portland 33% Las Vegas 64% Salt Lake City 59% Denver 27% Los Angeles 29% San Francisco 32% Dallas 32% Boston 21% New York 17% Chicago 31% St. Louis 27% Atlanta 36% Miami 28% Minneapolis 47% Percent Increase in Roadway Congestion: *Congestion levels are estimated based on cars per road space Source: Texas Transportation Institute. Urban Roadway Congestion: 1998

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Challenge #2: Air Quality SLC-Ogden Metro Area

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Challenge #3: Housing Prices Housing Price Index for Repeat-Sales of Existing Homes Source: Office of Federal Housing Enterprise Oversight

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Challenge #4: Loss of Farm Land Source: 1982 & 1997 Census of Agriculture

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Challenge #5: Infrastructure Costs Infrastructure Costs Collector$6 Million/Mile Arterial$16 Million/Mile Light Rail$20 Million/Mile Water Transmission$690 Thou/Mile Sewer Transmission$70 per Foot State of Utah appropriated $955 Million in FY 2000 for Transportation and Water Projects

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Strategy Analysis Land Use -- Conserves More Land Housing -- Provides More Choice, Market Driven Transportation -- More Efficient, Less Congestion Air Quality -- Lower Emissions Water Demand -- Reduces Consumption Infrastructure Cost -- Requires Less Money

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Land Consumption

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Agricultural Land Converted to Urban Use

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Housing Mix: Current and 2020

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Vehicle Miles of Travel Per Day: Current and 2020

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Transportation Investment:

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Population Within 1/2 Mile of Rail Transit: 2020

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Transportation Comparison Percent Difference Between Strategy and Baseline: 2020

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Total Emissions: Current and 2020

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Emissions Comparison Percent Difference Between Strategy and Baseline: 2020

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Water Demand: Current and 2020

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Per Capita Water Use: Current and 2020

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Total Infrastructure Costs:

QGET -- Scenarios Analysis Quality Growth Efficiency ToolsNovember 14, 1998 November 15, 1999 Quality Growth Commission and Envision Utah Dedicated to preserving quality of life present in Utah Jointly funded six quality growth demonstration projects Envision Utah will benefit from Commission’s work in the coming months to define quality growth Continued collaboration is essential