U.S. Energy Information Administration Independent Statistics & Analysis The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus for Flame 2012 April 17, 2012 | Amsterdam, The Netherlands by Howard Gruenspecht, Acting Administrator Current and Projected Supply and Demand Conditions
U.S. natural gas storage has reached an unprecedented high for this time of year Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17, Billion Cubic Meters Billion Cubic Feet
U.S. natural gas spot prices are very low compared to prices in other regions and oil prices Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17, 2012 Sources: EIA, Bloomberg, as of April 10,
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Foreign joint venture investment in U.S. shale gas and tight oil plays 8 ForeignDomesticAmount PartnerCountryPartnerShale Play($B)Year British PetroleumUKChesapeakeWoodford British GasUKEXCOMarcellus StatoilHydroNorwayChesapeakeMarcellus RelianceIndiaPioneerEagle Ford RelianceIndiaAtlasMarcellus RelianceIndiaCarrizoMarcellus TotalFranceChesapeakeBarnett CNOOCChinaChesapeakeNiobrara British GasUKEXCOHaynesville MitsuiJapanAnadarkoMarcellus CNOOCChinaChesapeakeEagle Ford KNOCKoreaAnadarkoEagle Ford MarubeniJapanMarathonNiobrara MitsuiJapanSM EnergyEagle Ford GAILIndiaCarrizoEagle Ford TotalFranceChesapeake/EnerVestUtica SinopecChinaDevonTMS, Niobrara,Utica MarubeniJapanHunt OilEagle Ford Total……24.82 Source: EIA, from trade press reports as of 27 February 2012 Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17, 2012
U.S. dry gas resources trillion cubic feet *Alaska resource estimates prior to AEO2009 reflect resources from the North Slope that were not included in previously published documentation. Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2, ,460 Unproved shale gas Unproved other gas (including Alaska* and offshore) Proved reserves (all types and locations) Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17, 2012 AEO Edition Technically recoverable natural gas resources reflect updated assessments 9
The average delivered price of coal to electricity generators varies widely across U.S. regions – transport costs are a key reason Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17, 2012 $1.91 $1.83 $1.46 $1.83 $1.49 $1.57 $ $1.51 $2.45 $2.48 $3.65 $4.46 $3.40 $1.75 $2.02 $2.96 $3.41 $2.01 $2.91 N/A National AverageMinimumMaximum $2.25$1.46$4.46 Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2012 Early Release 2010 Delivered coal prices, $ per million Btu 10
Natural gas consumption is quite dispersed; electric power and industrial use drives much of the future demand growth U.S. dry gas consumption trillion cubic feet per year *Includes combined heat-and-power and lease and plant fuel. **Includes pipeline fuel. Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2012 Early Release ProjectionsHistory Industrial* Electric power Commercial Residential Transportation** 34% 18% 13% 32% 3% 31% 21% 13% 33% 3% Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17,
18% 16% Electricity mix gradually shifts to lower-carbon options, led by growth in renewables and natural gas electricity net generation trillion kilowatthours per year Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2012 Early Release % 20% 45% 10% 1% 39% 27% 1% Nuclear Oil and other liquids Natural gas Coal Renewables Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17,
2% Shale gas offsets declines in other U.S. natural gas production sources U.S. dry gas production trillion cubic feet per year Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2012 Early Release Non-associated offshore ProjectionsHistory Associated with oil Coalbed methane Non-associated onshore Shale gas % 7% 9% 7% 21% 23% 9% 7% 49% Alaska 1% Tight gas 26% 21% Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17,
Oil to natural gas price ratio remains high over the projection Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17, 2012 ratio of oil price to natural gas price Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2012 Reference Case HistoryProjections2009 Oil and natural gas prices 2010 dollars per million Btu HistoryProjections
Domestic natural gas production grows faster than consumption U.S. dry gas trillion cubic feet per year Source: EIA, Annual Energy Outlook 2012 Early Release ProjectionsHistory 2010 Consumption Domestic supply Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17, 2012 Net imports 15
For more information 16 U.S. Energy Information Administration home page | Short-Term Energy Outlook | Annual Energy Outlook | International Energy Outlook | Monthly Energy Review | EIA Information Center Our average response time is within three business days. (202) hour automated information line about EIA and frequently asked questions. Flame - The U.S. Natural Gas Market in Focus, Howard Gruenspecht, April 17, 2012