1 An Overview of the Regions Financially Constrained Long-Range Transportation Plan John Swanson, Principal Transportation Planner September 20, 2011 Fairfax County Transportation Advisory Committee National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board

2 The Washington Region Approximately 3,000 square miles Includes over 5 million people and 3 million jobs.

3 l Federally Mandated Role: The TPB is responsible for coordinating planning and funding for the regions transportation system. l Members: representatives of local governments; state transportation agencies; state and District of Columbia legislatures; and WMATA. What is the Transportation Planning Board?

4 Key Roles of the TPB 1.Federally required planning process 2.Forum for regional coordination 3.Technical resources for decision-making

5 Federally Required Planning Process l The CLRP – Financially Constrained Long-Range Transportation Plan - Comprehensively updated every four years - Horizon must be at least 20 years l The TIP – Transportation l Improvement Program - Must be updated every four years - Always a six-year program Key Documents

6 Key Federal Requirements Financial constraint The CLRP & TIP may only include projects that can be reasonably anticipated to be funded. Emissions impacts The CLRP & TIP must meet the limits established in the regions air quality improvement plan. This is called a conformity finding.

The Planning Cycle

20-30 years NOT a wish list – Only includes projects that can be reasonably anticipated to be funded – Reflects the regions priorities l Projects must be in the CLRP in order to qualify for federal funds l CLRP must conform to regional air quality goals What is the Constrained Long-Range Plan?

State Long-Range Plans Virginia – VTrans2025 – TransAction 2030 – State Highway Plan Maryland – Maryland Transportation Plan (MTP) District of Columbia – Strategic Transportation Plan

Financial Constraint The CLRP puts a financial squeeze on state and other unconstrained long-range plans.

6-Year Programming Varies in every state But in every state: - Every new program begins with last years program. - The DOTs take the lead. - State legislatures approve funding.

Virginia SYIP Maryland CTP D.C. CIP WMATA CIP Other 6- year programs The Regional TIP The TPBs 6-Year Transportation Improvement Program (TIP)

Land Use Forecasts Change in Population and Employment Forecast, What Shapes the Plan? Fastest growth rate seen in the Outer Suburbs 13

Land Use Forecasts What Shapes the Plan? 14 Households and Jobs in Regional Activity Centers From 2005 to 2040, households in Regional Activity Centers will increase by 107% - more than twice the rate for the region as a whole. By 2040, 55% of the regions jobs and 19% of the regions households are forecast to be concentrated in the Regional Activity Centers that make up less than 5% of the regions total land area.

What Shapes the Plan? Financial Constraint CLRP Expenditures CLRP Revenues Highway Expansion Transit Expansion Transit Operations/Preservation Highway Operations/Preservation Federal State/DC Local Transit Fares Private/Tolls $222.9 Billion 15

What Shapes the Plan? Financial Constraint 16 43% 14% 36% 51% 13% 2006 CLRP2010 CLRP

Transit fares increased in Federal and local funding for Metro Rehabilitation expires in Transit ridership will be constrained at 2020 service levels. What Shapes the Plan? Transit Fares and Constraints 17

CLRP: South Capitol Street Bridge 11 th Street Bridge DC Streetcar: Anacostia Initial Line Segment 2007 I-66 Spot Improvements inside the Beltway I-95/I-395 HOV/Bus/HOT Lanes Potomac Yard Transitway, Alexandria 2008 I-95 and Fairfax Co. Parkway Ft. Belvoir EPG Access Improv. Columbia Pike Streetcar from Skyline to Pentagon city 2009 Purple Line from Bethesda to New Carrollton

Streetcar: H Street, NE and Benning Road, plus MLK Extension of Anacostia Segment CLRP: 2010 Projects Removed from the CLRP 1.I-95/I-495 Interchange at Greenbelt Metro Station 2.Upgrade US 29, Columbia Pike from Sligo Creek Parkway to Howard County line 3.MD 201, Kenilworth Avenue from Rittenhouse Road to Pontiac Street 4.Upgrade/Widen US 301 from north of Mount Oak Road to US 50 5.I-95 Interchange at Franconia-Springfield Parkway 6.Widen US 1 from Stafford County line to Joplin Road 7.Widen VA 7 from Route 9 to Market Street 8.Widen US 15 from VA 234 to Loudoun County Line 9.Widen VA 28 from northern limits of Manassas Park to Old Centreville Road 10.Widen US 50 from I-66 to western limits of Fairfax City 11.VA 7100, Fairfax County Parkway widen from VA 636 to VA 640 and construct from VA 640 to VA Widen/Upgrade VA 234 from south of Manassas to I Widen/Upgrade VA 28 from VA 619 to AV 234 Bypass 14.Widen US 29 from US 50 to I Widen VA 123 from Horner Road to Devils Reach Road An additional 7 projects in Maryland and Virginia were delayed by at least ten years Extend I-270 Widening and Improvements Extend Construction of VA 411 to US 50

2010 Summary Due to the economic recession state and local governments withdrew and delayed many significant projects No transit projects were delayed or removed – Corresponds to the first four policy goal recommendations Funding for bike/ped. projects increased by 30% from the FY to the FY TIP – Corresponds to the fifth policy goal recommendations TIGER grant funding provided the region a greater opportunity to move more transit projects forward in the CLRP

How Does the Plan Perform? Reduce Vehicle Miles Traveled (VMT) per capita Reduce congestion on the regions highway and transit systems Increase accessibility to jobs Meet federal air quality standards and reduce mobile-source NOx, VOC and PM emissions Reduce mobile-source greenhouse gas emissions Increase rate of construction of bicycle and pedestrian facilities Some of the key goals from the TPBs Vision and COGs Region Forward and Climate Change Reports include: 21

Percent Change Change in Travel Forecasts % 24% -4% Transit Work Trips Vehicle Work Trips VMT VMT per capita Goal: Reduce VMT per capita How Does the Plan Perform? 22 Truck Trips 35% 22%

Percent Change Change in Travel Forecasts VMTNew Lane Miles Lane Miles of Congestion (AM Rush Hour) 22% 11% 38% Goal: Reduce Congestion How Does the Plan Perform? 23

Goal: Reduce Congestion How Does the Plan Perform? 24 Peak Hour Metrorail Passenger Loads LineCurrent2040 Red Blue Orange/Silver Yellow Green Satisfactory (<100 people per car) Congested ( people per car) Highly Congested(>120 people per car)

Goal: Increase Accessibility to Jobs How Does the Plan Perform? Average Number of Jobs Accessible Within 45 Minutes 25 5% 34%

Goal: Meet Federal Air Quality Standards The CLRP meets federal air quality standards for mobile-source emissions of VOC, NOx, PM and Precursor NOx. How Does the Plan Perform? 26

Goal: Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions COG Goals2010 CLRP How Does the Plan Perform? 27

Goal: Increase Construction of Bike/Ped Facilities Funding for Exclusive Bicycle and Pedestrian Projects in the TIP has increased each year. In Millions Does not account for road and transit projects that include accommodations for bicycles and pedestrians. How Does the Plan Perform? 28 $98 $119 $124 $160

Significant Additions and Changes to the 2011 CLRP 1.H Street, NW Peak Period Bus-Only Lane 2.C RYSTAL C ITY – P OTOMAC Y ARD S TREETCAR 3.I-395/I-95 HOV AND HOT L ANES P ROJECT L IMIT C HANGES 4.I-395 HOV L ANES R EVERSIBLE R AMP FROM / TO S EMINARY R OAD 5.W IDENING OF US 1 P ROJECT L IMIT C HANGE 6.W IDEN I-66 G ENERAL P URPOSE AND HOV L ANES 29

2. Crystal City – Potomac Yard Streetcar in Arlington County This project will construct and operate a streetcar system that runs parallel to US 1 (Jefferson Davis Highway) from the Pentagon City Metro station to Four Mile Run at the city limit of Alexandria. The CLRP currently includes an exclusive bus transitway project along most of the same route that is scheduled to open in The streetcar system will replace the bus service in Complete: 2018 Length:2.25 miles Cost: $160 million Funding:Federal, state and local 30

3. I-395/I-95 HOV and HOT Lanes from 2 miles north of I-495 to VA 610 This project is currently included in the CLRP as a system of High-Occupancy Toll, or HOT lanes between Eads Street in Arlington County and VA 610 (Garrisonville Road) in Stafford County. HOT lanes will be available to HOV-3, transit and emergency response vehicles free of charge. Other vehicles may use the facility by paying an electronic toll. Tolls will vary based on time of day, day of week, and level of congestion in order to maintain free-flow conditions. VDOT is proposing to reconfigure the project, including the elimination of the implementation of HOT lanes on I-395 inside the Capital Beltway. The changes are summarized on the next slide. Complete: 2015 Length:27 miles Cost: $1.01 billion Funding:Federal, state, local and private 31

3. I-395/I-95 HOV and HOT Lanes from 2 miles north of I-495 to VA Map Index Current CLRP Project Includes VDOT Proposed Change to Current CLRP Project Description of Proposed Configuration a3 HOT Lanes2 HOV Lanes Eliminate implementation of HOT lanes on I-395 inside the Capital Beltway b3 HOT Lanes (no change) Widen existing HOV facility from 2 to 3 lanes on I-395 from I-495 to approximately 2 miles north, near Turkeycock Run and maintain as HOV lanes c3 HOT Lanes2 HOT Lanes Widen existing HOV facility from 2 to 3 lanes on I-95 from I-495 to Prince William Pkwy,convert to HOT lanes d2 HOT Lanes (no change) Convert existing 2-lane HOV facility from Prince William Pkwy to VA 234 to HOT lanes e2 HOT Lanes (no change) Construct 2 new HOT lanes from VA 234 to VA 610 f2 HOT Lanes2 HOT Lanes (no change) Two HOT lanes will continue 10 miles south to VA 17/US 1 Massaponax exit in Spotsylvania County. VDOT is also proposing to remove the elements of the transit service plan currently in the CLRP. VDOT is working with local jurisdictions and transit agencies to redevelop transit improvements for the corridor.

4. I-395 HOV Lanes Reversible Ramp from/to Seminary Road VDOT is proposing to construct a new reversible on/off ramp that connects Seminary Road and the I-395 HOV lanes to and from the south. This project adds HOV and transit access to accommodate the expected increase in travel generated by Department of Defense employees at the nearby Mark Center. Complete: 2015 Cost: $80 million Funding:Federal and state 33

5. Widening of US 1 from VA 235 South to VA 611 This project is currently included in the CLRP as a widening of US 1 (Richmond Highway) from 4 to 6 lanes from VA 235 South (Mt. Vernon Memorial Highway) to the Occoquan River/Prince William County Line. VDOT is proposing to remove approximately 4 miles of widening from the southern end of the project and change the southern limit to VA 611 (Telegraph Road). Complete: 2020 Length: 3.5 miles Funding:Federal and state 34 Planned Widening Removal of Planned Widening

6. Widen I-66 General Purpose/HOV Lanes from US 15 to US 29 (near Gainesville) This project is currently included in the CLRP as a widening to construct HOV Lanes on I-66 between US 15 (James Madison Highway) and US 29 (Lee Highway) in Gainesville. VDOT is proposing to also add an additional general purpose lane in each direction to I-66 within the same limits. The completion date of the project is advancing from 2020 to Complete: 2018 Length: 2.5 miles Cost:$132 million Funding:Federal 35

Schedule for the 2011 CLRP 36 March 12: Public Comment Period Closes March 16: TPB Reviews Public Comments and is asked to Approve Project Submissions and Draft Scope of Work October 13 – November 13: Public Comment Period on Draft CLRP and Conformity Analysis November 16: TPB Reviews Public Comments and Responses to Comments, and is Presented the Draft CLRP and Conformity Assessment for Adoption

What if scenarios: Different combinations of land-use and transit alternatives. Looking beyond the CLRP

A Regional Transportation Priorities Plan How should this plan reflect: – Regional land-use goals? – More transportation alternatives? – Pricing and funding strategies? Using scenarios to identify priorities

39 More concentrated growth?

40 Mixed-use & walkable communities?

High-quality buses?

42 High-quality buses?

Funding? How are we going to pay for all of this?

44 New projects: Learning from recent examples These projects all tapped direct beneficiaries for funding New York Avenue Metro Station Rail to Dulles Beltway HOT LanesIntercounty Connector

45 A network of variably priced lanes?

Online Searchable Database More on the CLRP and TIP 46 $98 $119 $124 $160