OPT 1 Decisive Points Analysis (Step 4B) DP 1

Lines of Ops, Decisive Points, S-COG and End States DP 3 : Belligerents’ & Terrorists’ freedom of action & sanctuary are denied 3 DP 7 : CTF’s Roles & Efforts Are Recognised 7 DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has Ceased 1 Strengthen KUH & SON commitment to the peace process Facilitate humanitarian assistance effort Curtail terrorist activities Ops End States Stable & secured environment DP 2 : Humanitarian Assistance (HA) is Rendered 2 DP 4 : External support for belligerent /terrorist activities is denied 4 DP 5 : Kuhistan’s Peaceful Nuclear & Chemical Programs are Verified 5 DP 6 : Territorial Integrity Is Restored 6 Establish CTF’s Credibility

Decisive Points (DP) 1 Analysis (Step 4B) DP 1 OPT 1 (By Lt Col Binaya Rana)

DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has ceased Supporting Effect (SE) Target& Target Audience (TGT/A) Lead Supported (& Supporting) Entities Measure of Effectiveness (MOE) Measure of Effectiveness Indicators (MOEIs) (1) Conflict resolution process established (1) Political leaders of Kuhistan, Sonora and Free Mojave. (2) Military leaders of Sonora. (3) Dissident leaders. (4) Int’l Community. (1) SRSG. (2) Peace Negotiators (Internal and external). (1) Renewal of diplomatic Relationship between leaders of Kuhistan and Sonora. (2) Positive World Opinion. (3) Decrease in conflict. (4) Kuhistan WMD capabilities under supervision IAEA & OPCW. (5) Foreign economic aid to Kuhistan & Sonora resumes. (6) IHC redeploys south and render HA operations. (1) Positive statements made by key leaders of Kuhistan and Sonora. (2) Positive media reports highlighting reconciliation efforts between Kuhistan and Sonora. (3) East Asia and SEA states resume and provide economic aid to Kuhistan. (4) Uninterrupted HA support to IDP and Refugee Camps.

DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has Ceased SE:Conflict Resolution Process Established MOE:Renewal of diplomatic relationship between leaders of Kuhistan and Sonora MOE:Decrease in conflict and Positive World Opinion MOE:Kuhistan nuclear programmes and activities confined to energy production only MOE:Foreign economic aid to Kuhistan & Sonora resumes MOE:IHC redeploys south and render HA operations Supporting Effect / MOEs / MOEIs

DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has ceased Supporting Effect (SE) Target & Target Audience (TGT/A) Lead Supported (& Supporting) Entities Measures of Effectiveness (MOE) Measure of Effectiveness Indicators (MOEI) (2) Armed Forces cease Conflict campaign (1) Key political and military leaders of Kuhistan and Sonora. (2) Local Support Mechanism. (1) CTF HQ. (2) Land, Air and Maritime Component Comd. (1) Sonora forces Commnece withdrawal from Kuhistan territory (inclusive Maritime and Air activities). (2) Missile attacks on Sonora ceases. (3) Decrease in Exodus of refugees. (1) Specific units in contact withdraws from Kuhiatsa (101 Armr Div, 102 Div, 111 Arty Bde & 121Mech Div Withdraws from Kuhistan. (2) Combat Ops between Sonora and Kuhistan ceases. (3) CTF forces deploy successfully and establish security border patrols.

DP 1 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has Ceased SE:Armed Forces Cease Conflict Campaign MOE:Complete withdrawal of Sonora forces from Kuhistan MOE:Combat Ops between Sonora and Kuhistan ceases MOE:CTF forces deploy successfully and establish security border patrols Supporting Effect / MOEs / MOEIs

Decisive Points (DP) 6 Analysis (Step 4B) DP 6 OPT 1 (By Maj Agoeng)

DP 6 : Territorial Integrity Is Restored Supporting Effect (SE) Target& Target Audience (TGT/A) Lead Supported (& Supporting) Entities Measure of Effectiveness (MOE) Measure of Effectiveness Indicators (MOEIs) (1) Sonora and Kuhistan comply peace agreement and re-deploy to their national territories (1) Key Political Leaders of Kuhistan & Sonora (2) Key military Leadership of both countries. (3) Local Support Mechanism / International Monitors (4) North-eastern Geographical border integrity between Kuhistan and Sonora, maritime and air Space. (1) SRSG and Peace Negotiators. (2) CTF CTF HQ, Land/Air/ Maritime Composition Comd (1) Sonora forces withdrawn to recognized International border. No breaches. (2) Decrease in Conflicts. (3) Increase in populace support for government. (4) Other entities do not subvert peace agreement in relation to border recognition between Kuhistan and Sonora. (5) Normal governmental functions restored i.e. Customs and Immigration System in place. (1) No Kuhistan and Sonora forces footprint within the zone of conflict. (2) CTF forces successfully deploy and implement security border patrols. (3) Positive statements made by Local and international media.

DP 6 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has Ceased Supporting Effect / MOEs / MOEIs SE: Sonora and Kuhistan comply peace agreement and re-deploy to their national territories MOE: Sonora forces withdrawn to recognized International border. No breaches MOE: Positive statements made by key leaders of Kuhistan and Sonora MOE: CTF forces successfully deploy and implement security border patrols

DP 6 : Territorial Integrity Is Restored Supporting Effect (SE) Target& Target Audience (TGT/A) Lead Supported (& Supporting) Entities Measure of Effectiveness (MOE) Measure of Effectiveness Indicators (MOEIs) (2) Non-state actors do not impede restoration of territorial integrity by Kuhistan and Sonora Govt (1) KFC, MPAK, IPM and MW. (2) Local populace (Pro- Mestizo). (1) Local Government. (2) Peace Negotiators, CTF HQ, Land component (CSOTF, CPOTF, CCMOTF). (1) Decrease in Insurgents / belligerents nefarious activities. (2) Effective collaboration between Kuhistan and Sonora Govt in curtailing insurgent activities. (3) Increase in Mestizo populace support for local government. (1) Decrease in attack on govt buildings and KINs. (2) Rise in ethnic Mestizo support on local government policies/initiative. (3) Decrease in footprint/signature of belligerent activities at border areas.

DP 6 : Hostility between Kuhistan and Sonora has Ceased Supporting Effect / MOEs / MOEIs SE: Non-state actors do not impede restoration of territorial integrity by Kuhistan and Sonora Govt MOE:Decrease in attack on govt buildings and KINs MOE:Rise in ethnic Mestizo support on local government policies/initiative MOE:Decrease in footprint/signature of belligerent activities at border areas

The End