FP7 e-Agri meeting, 20-21 January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands 1 Balaghi R., Eerens H., Dong Q.

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Presentation transcript:

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands 1 Balaghi R., Eerens H., Dong Q.

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands 2 Normalized Difference vegetation Index (NDVI) during the cropping season, from February 1 st 2013 to the second dekad of April 30 th 2013, as compared (%) to long term average (only agricultural areas are displayed).

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands 3 Comparison between NDVI extracted from CGMS-MAROC and sent by VITO as RUM files.

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands 4 Similarity analysis of the cropping season, in terms of the distribution of daily rainfall (from CGMS-MAROC), from early October 2012 to the 5 th of April 2013, at the national level over the agricultural areas Production in 2011 = 83.6 million Quintal

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands 5 Similarity analysis of the cropping season, in terms of the distribution of dekadal NDVI (SPOT-VEGETATION), from early February to the second dekad of April 2013, at the national level over the agricultural areas Production in 2011 = 83.6 million Quintal

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands 6 Soft wheat forecast based on similarity analysis for the season of , in terms of the distribution of dekadal SPOT-NDVI (from CGMS-MAROC), from 1 st dekad of February to the 3 rd dekad of April 2013, at the national level over the agricultural areas

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands 7 Soft wheat forecast based on similarity analysis for the season of , in terms of the distribution of rainfall (from CGMS-MAROC), from 1 st dekad of October 2012 to the 3 rd dekad of April 2013, at the national level over the agricultural areas

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands 8 Cereals forecasts for the season of in Morocco Grain yield (Q/ha) Area (million ha) Production (million Q) Soft wheat19,32,16741,8 Durum wheat19,20,97418,7 Barley14,01,98827,8 Total 5,12988,3 * Production = 97 million Q (from preliminary official statistics in April)

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands Aagrometeorological index NDVIRainfallRain/EToP-0.5*EToNb Years Durum wheat Ouled Zidane0,460,840,770,819 Mzoura0,740,570,770,7112 Ouled Sebbah0,660,650,660,678 Ras El Ain0,420,610,700,678 Sidi El Aidi0,450,270,350,337 Soft wheat Ain Nzagh0,790,190,210,227 Deroua0,120,150,170,167 Gdana0,040,290,30 7 Mzoura0,670,470,610,587 Ouled Sebbah0,630,890,790,847 Sidi Boumahdi0,920,470,720,648 Barley Ain Nzagh0,480,700,870,828 Dar Chafai0,740,230,470,388 Mgarto0,620,850,93 8 Ras El Ain0,470,640,830,788 Sidi Boumahdi0,600,570,800,739 9 Correlation (R2) between cereal yields (soft wheat, durum wheat and barley) and agrometeorological indices derived from CGMS-MAROC

FP7 e-Agri meeting, January 2014, Alterra, Wageningen-UR, the Netherlands شكرا 謝謝您 Thank you 10