2009 Office Market Overview Presented by Spencer Stouffer Managing Director 703.770.3462 January 27, 2009.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Corporate Profile Company Business: Advisor and Service Provider to Real Estate Funds for Institutional Investors Investment Focus: Single Tenant.
Advertisements

Elevating the Quality of Life in the District. REQUEST FOR PROPOSALS Real Estate Brokerage and Consulting Services Elevating the Quality of Life in the.
Chapter 6 Office & Industrial Property. Major Topics Real Estate Principles for the New Economy: Norman G. Miller and David M. Geltner Office Property.
Office Market September 2004 prepared for Presented by James Phillpott Senior Research Associate Cushman & Wakefield.
1 Green Collar Jobs in the Housing Sector Green Affordable Housing Forum Metropolitan Washington Council of Governments Howard Ways, AICP DC Office of.
Investing in Sustainable Tribal Economies Council of Infrastructure Financing Authorities Presentation Tom Wright Director Office of Loan Guarantee Office.
INVESTING INTO RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY ABOUT US Established 1990 Nationwide coverage through regional account managers All former lending managers with.
The Real Estate Roundtable Washington, DC How FIRPTA Reform Can Fill Commercial Real Estate’s Equity Gap and Help Stabilize the Market.
Virginia Association of Chamber of Commerce Executives June 27, 2013 The Impact of Sequestration on the Virginia Economy Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D. Dwight.
Industrial Market Overview September 2005 prepared for Presented by Raymond A. Stache Senior Director Cushman & Wakefield.
Weathering the Commercial Real Estate Market January 28, 2010.
Atlanta Industrial Market Second Quarter 2004 Atlanta Industrial Market Second Quarter 2004.
Montgomery County Chamber of Commerce November 13, 2013 The Outlook for the U.S. and Washington Area Economies In 2013 and Beyond Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D.
COG / TPB Regional Analysis: Impacts of the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) Base Realignment and Closure (BRAC) Recommendations For the Metropolitan Washington.
1 Maryland Community Development Fund Assessing the Market.
2015 Legislative Session Update: Tax Relief, Tax Law Changes & Tax Credits and Exemptions June 25, 2015 Ryan Rauschenberger Tax Commissioner.
GLOBAL RESEARCH AND CONSULTING THE ECONOMY AND REAL ESTATE GARY BARAGONA DIRECTOR, RESEARCH & ANALYSIS JANUARY 2014.
2011 NC-CCIM Charlotte Commercial Real Estate Market Forecast “Financing for Commercial Real Estate”
Keeping Houston the Energy Capital of the World Walter Johnson Southwest Bank of Texas.
Real Estate Boot Camp John A. Isakson Chief Investment Officer Preferred Apartment Communities.
Industrials Sector Jason Kraynak and Wade Guzdanski.
©2011 Cengage Learning. Chapter 10 COMMERCIAL AND INDUSTRIAL MARKETS ©2011 Cengage Learning.
CAHF CEO Conference May 31, Genesis HealthCare Overview “Go Private” Transaction Overview OPCO/PROPCO – REIT Transaction Questions and Answers Today’s.
Real Estate Services for Government 2013 DES Training Conference & Trade Show Presented by Seth Wallace October 30,
Jason Henderson Vice President and Branch Executive Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City – Omaha Branch June 16, 2009 The views.
Housing and Employment in the Washington MSA Current Trends and Forecasts January 30, 2014 Jeannette Chapman, GMU Center for Regional Analysis Lisa Sturtevant,
October 15, 2012 Our Region’s Housing Market: What are price trends likely to be over the next 5 years? Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD Center for Regional Analysis.
Fairfax Committee of 100 February 24, 2015 The Northern Virginia and Washington Area Regional Economic Outlook David E. Versel, AICP Senior Research Associate.
An overview of prepared for A D V I S O R Y G R O U P World Services Group, Inc. May, 2004 U.S. Economy & Commercial Real Estate Investment Market.
Investment Proposal The Acadia Arlington, Virginia
Presented to Global Real Estate Services January 29, 2002 Indiana University Professional Opportunities Orientation Program.
December 9, 2009 O ’ Connor Forecast Luncheon DEBT PLACEMENTINVESTMENT SALES LOAN SERVICINGPRIVATE EQUITY & CORPORATE FINANCESTRUCTURED FINANCELOAN SALES.
2012 NC-CCIM Charlotte Commercial Real Estate Market Forecast “Financing for Commercial Real Estate”
Presented by JP de Kervor (858) BAJA CALIFORNIA INDUSTRIAL REAL ESTATE ©JP de Kervor All rights reserved January 16, 2013.
The Leader In Commercial Real Estate. Industrial Office Retail Investment Corporate Services Property Management Presented By: Steffi Hahn 2012 Office.
Capital Markets Update Rob Stiles EVP & Principal Head of Western Region Cushman & Wakefield Sonnenblick Goldman.
Transportation leadership you can trust. prepared for National Capital Region Transportation Planning Board presented by Arlee Reno, Cambridge Systematics.
DBIA-MAR Luncheon February 19, 2013 The U.S. and Washington Area Economies’ Current Economic Performance and Near-Term Outlook Stephen S. Fuller, Ph.D.
TAMPA DOWNTOWN DEVELOPMENT FORUM. 1.Tampa Bay MSA 2.Economic Factors 3.Office Market 4.Retail Market 5.Industrial Market 6.Investment Market 7.Looking.
Cassidy Turley Northern California. Observations about the Sacramento Region’s Office Market Jim Gray, CCIM (916)
THE U.S. GENERAL SERVICES ADMINISTRATION Who Are We? August 31, 2010 Georgia Tech Research Institute Atlanta, Georgia.
Forbes recently released its latest ranking of U.S. cities best positioned to grow and prosper in the coming decade, and Houston came in No. 5. The survey.
1 Think Green Jobs! Employment Opportunities in the Energy Industry.
Washington Area Compensation and Benefits Association February 21, 2013 Uncertain Economic Times: Impacts on Local DC, MD and VA Employers and Employees.
5 5 WASHINGTON DC METRO MARKET OVERVIEW grubb-ellis.com.
PRINCE GEORGE’S COUNTY ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS ® 2011 Review/2012 Preview.
Tenth Annual Leckey Forum Housing the Region’s Future Workforce Lisa A. Sturtevant, PhD George Mason University School of Public Policy Center for Regional.
Economic Outlook in Uncertain Times Lawrence Yun, Ph.D. Chief Economist NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS® Presentation to IREM Chapter 77 In Reston, VA.
Financing Foreign Investors “when negotiating commercial real estate, one common variable holds true, each transaction is unique as the people and properties.
1 Economic Trends and Commercial Construction Indicators for Metropolitan Washington Cooperative Forecasting and Data Subcommittee September 11, 2007 Department.
Update on Real Estate Capital Markets-- Where is the Equity Investment Market Today? CREW Network: Investing in Your Professional Development Presenter.
Construction in Vietnam – Key Trends and Opportunities to 2018 Market Research Report ©reportscue.
2015 COMMERCIAL CONSTRUCTION TRENDS FOR MWCOG REGION John Kent Regional Planner Planning Directors Technical Advisory Committee June 17, 2016.
Data Center Opportunity Zone Presented by: Prince William County, VA, Department of Economic Development Date: May 20, 2016.
USA REAL ESTATE Dana Conway, Realtor Adv. Communications Skills.
April 14, 2016 Washington Area Economy: Performance and Outlook Terry L. Clower, Ph.D., Director Mark C. White, Ph.D., Deputy Director Center for Regional.
Data Center Opportunity Zone Presented by: Prince William County, VA, Department of Economic Development Date: May 20, 2016.
Most dollars yet to be deployed
Agenda Introduction of D’Arcy McGee Performance and Growth
CT Commercial Real Estate Conference
INLAND EMPIRE INDUSTRIAL STATS – Q
NORTHERN VIRGINIA MARKETFLASH
IN THE WASHINGTON METRO AREA
THE ECONOMY. THE ECONOMY PAYROLL JOBS (THOUSANDS) PAYROLL JOB GROWTH Selected Large Metro Areas | 12 Months Ending August 2017 PAYROLL JOBS (THOUSANDS)
Buyers' and Seller's Perspectives on JI : The Fund Perspective
The Record-Setting Real Estate Cycle Chicago Market Overview
OFFICE C:\Users\mpetrivelli\Desktop\MP Copy of 19Q1 RET BB Template V1.xlsx Notes 18Q4:
Public Buildings Service
Office REITs Rand Griffin Mary Ellen Fowler President and CEO
Navigating Multiple Jurisdiction
Presentation transcript:

2009 Office Market Overview Presented by Spencer Stouffer Managing Director January 27, 2009

Agenda 1.Cassidy & Pinkard Colliers 2.Capital Markets Overview 3.Office Statistics for DC area & Predictions –DC –Northern Va. –Maryland –GSA 4.Construction Pricing

Leasing Portfolio of 53M square feet Management Portfolio of 21M square feet Largest Lease Deals in the Region Largest Finance Deals Sales – Transacted $1B of the $3.4B Cassidy & Pinkard Colliers

320 million sf properties under management 210 million sf of space for lease $5 billion in annual capital market transactions $13 billion in transactions $800 million in construction projects 22,000 managed corporate facilities 2,000 employees 210 owners Cassidy & Pinkard – Consolidation New Company Overview

Investment Sales Market

Office Sales Lowest Since 1999 Washington Metro Area, $Volume Billions Source: Cassidy & Pinkard Colliers

Loan Volume Dollar Volume ($Billions) Dollar VolumeLoan Volume CMBS Office Loans Maturing in DC Region

Sales Volume Forecasted below $2B in 2009 Being in DC is good Back to Basics – Equity Contribution 2-3x 2007 levels You don ’ t want to be a Seller Pricing has changed (Cap rates up 200 bps) Recovery???? Relationships Matter Conclusions

Office Leasing Market

80-90% renewals Tenants & Tenant brokers skeptical regarding Landlord’s ability to perform (self-help, escrow) Moved from a “Negotiation” market to a “Competition” market Many deals being retraded at the last minute Sublease space inventory increasing Leasing – What is happening out there?

District of Columbia: New Supply Mostly in Non-Core Markets Square Feet (Millions) Source: Cassidy & Pinkard Colliers

Prediction “The District will be the only office market in the country to record positive absorption in 2009.”

Northern Virginia Office Market

Tenant Activity 8,000,000 sf of “Tenants in the Northern Va. Market” 20+ deals “in the market” over 75,000 sf

Continued consolidation among large contractors – many "one off" offices will be closed at lease expiration Two or Three Gov. Contractors sign leases in excess of 400,000 sf in 2009 Predictions

Construction Costs

Metro Washington, DC Construction Market Cost ItemBudget (Jan. 1, 08)Budget (Jan. 1, 09) Hard Costs$45-$50$36-$41 A/E Design Costs/Peer Review /Permit Cost $5.00$4.50 Project Management/ Reimbursable $4.00$3.50 Project Contingency (10%)$5.00$4.00 Total Hard & Soft TI Costs$59.00-$64.00$48.00-$ Trends Approximately 20% Reduction in Cost

GSA & Federal Leasing

Big Deals: The Consolidation will Continue : Over 5.2 Million Square Feet of Consolidation Leases Median Size: 575,000 Square Feet 2009 – 2013: Well Over 4 Million Square Feet of Consolidation Demand Winners: NOMA, Southwest, Prince George’s TRENDS: What’s on the Federal Horizon Renewals will Continue for Sub-prospectus Leases 2005 – 2008: Renewals Exceeded 91% of Expiring Leases Poor GSA Planning will Continue to Result in Lease Holdovers Winners: CBD and Crystal City GSA Leasing Methodology Protests are Killing Source Selection Criteria Price Only Competition will Reemerge as the Standard Winners: No One! (maybe the taxpayers)

Department of Transportation (DOT) Why?: $53.1 Billion of Emergency Stimulus Funding Submarkets of Influence: Southeast/Ballpark Area Likely Suspects: Contractors TRENDS: Sectors for Federal Growth “Which agencies will grow under Obama?” State Department (State) Why?: Diplomatic and Consular Affairs Expansion / Hillary Clinton Submarkets of Influence: CBD, West End, Rosslyn Likely Suspects: Federal Employees Department of Energy (DOE) Why?: Alternative Energy Strategy Submarkets of Influence: Southwest, Suburban Maryland Likely Suspects: Federal Employees and Contractors

TRENDS: Sectors for Federal Growth National Institutes of Health (NIH) Why?: Medical Research / Health Care System Overhaul Submarkets of Influence: Suburban Maryland Likely Suspects: Federal Employees and Contractors Department of Education (EDU) Why?: $66 Billion of Emergency Stimulus Funding Submarkets of Influence: Southwest, CBD Likely Suspects: Federal Employees Health and Human Services (HHS) Why?: Health Care System Overhaul Submarkets of Influence: Suburban Maryland Likely Suspects: Federal Employees and Contractors

Summary

Summary We are fortunate to be in DC Area “Back to Basics” Service and Relationships Guiding Strategy – Bridge to the better market

2009 Office Market Overview Presented by Spencer Stouffer Managing Director January 27, 2009