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Investment Proposal The Acadia Arlington, Virginia

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Presentation on theme: "Investment Proposal The Acadia Arlington, Virginia"— Presentation transcript:

1 Investment Proposal The Acadia Arlington, Virginia
Morgan Privitte, Will Mu, Ryan Li, Robin Chen & Jennie Sohn

2 Introduction Another Option: Condominium Development Option 1
Apartments Option 3 Apartments & Condominiums Option 2 Final Recommendation

3 Property Basic Information Location: Pentagon City, Virginia Type:
Class A Apartment Building Physical Volume: 411 Units Site: 91,050 SF Construction Cost Land Cost (21%) $ 32,904,636 Hard Cost (61%) $ 96,173,519 Soft Cost (14%) $ 21,801,036 Construction Cost before Debt $ 150,879,191 Operating Shortfall $ ,930 Kettler Fee $ 4,401,815 Construction Cost after Debt $ 155,408,936

4 Market Analysis Economic Highlights Washington Metro Area, 2013
Payroll Employment: 3.0 million at February 2013. Job Change: grew 45,739 during Compares to 39,800/year long-term average. Unemployment Rate: 5.5% at February 2013, down from 5.9% one year ago and lowest among the nation's largest metro areas. Inflation: prices increased 1.4% during the 12 months ending March 2013. Housing Prices: increased 6.00% during the 12 months ending January 2013. Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, S&P Case Shiller

5 Apartment Market

6 Condominium Market Source: Delta Association, March 2013
Normalized Range Inventory % Of Metro Supply Years of Supply The District 339 12% 0.7 Arlington 93 3% 0.6 Alexandria 401 14% 1.6 Fairfax 122 4% 0.5 Loudoun 857 29% 1.7 Prince William 585 20% 1.4 Montgomery 427 15% 0.8 Prince Georges 97 Total 2,921 1 1 Year

7 Development Team JV Partnership During Construction 10% - KETTLER
90% - Lion Properties Fund (Clarion Partners) After Construction 100% - Lion Properties Fund (Clarion Partners)

8 Financial Analysis Option1: Apartment
Sensitivity Analysis Best Most-likely Worst Vacancy Rate 2.5% 4.0% 6.0% Rent Growth 4.5% 3.5% 2.0% Expenses Growth 3.0% Cap Rate Present Value $220 M $177 M $121 M IRR 11.4% 8.8% 4.6% Assumption and Quick Facts Monthly Average Rent (2014) $2.80/SF Rent Growth 3.5% Expense Growth 3% Cap Rate 4.5% Discount Rate 7.5% Development Cost $155,208,367 Present Value $176,825,895 Operating CF 43.2% Sales Reversion 56.8% IRR 8.8% Payback Period 10 years Holding Period IRR

9 Financial Analysis Option 2: Condominium
Selling Pace 10 units/ months Average Price $ 524,896 /unit $ 591 /sq.ft. Median Price $ 417,000 /unit $ 562/ sq.st. Sale Term 42 months Pay Back Term 35 months IRR 35% ACADIA RISK & RETURN ANALYSIS Pay Back Term 60 months IRR 14%

10 Financial Analysis Option 3: Mix
Condominium 211 Units Strategy Pre-sell 10 units/ month Price $ 591/ sq.ft. Proceeds $104,979,285 Return IRR 14.4% Cash Flow 10 years Liquidity 2/3 of investment Apartment 200 Units Strategy 1 year lease up 17 units/ month 10 years holding Price $ 2.80/ sq.ft. Present Value $ 90,847,740

11 Rent vs. Buy Down payment Rent deposit Closing costs Broker's fee
Buying Cost Year 6 Total Cost Year 1 to 6 Renting PURCHASE COSTS INITIAL RENTING COSTS Down payment 95,911 Rent deposit 2,313 Closing costs 19,182 Broker's fee - MONTHLY COSTS $3,779 $2,831 Mortgage payment 1,445 102,829 Rent 2,814 184,105 Condo fees 410 28,084 Renter's Insurance 17 1,105 Property taxes 289 19,323 Maintenance 682 46,738 Homeowner's insurance 954 63,900 OPPORTUNITY COSTS S&P 500 investment 9,107 35,633 4,117 12,026 SELLING COSTS LEAVING YOUR RENTAL 22,905 Return of rent deposit (2,313) Remaining principal 335,349 Tax on profit Proceeds from home sale (572,614) YEAR 6 TOTALS $54,458 $197,240 $38,089 $197,236

12 Conclusion Final Recommendation:
Option 1: Apartments Option 2: Condominiums Option 3: Apartments & Pros Long-term Return Previous Experience Low Inventory Liquidity Cons Over Supply Temporary Revenue Marketing Risk Opportunity Cost Final Recommendation: Continue with construction as planned. File application with Arlington County to convert top 9 floors (approx. 200 units) into condos. Create teams to market the property. Begin to prelease the apartment units, and presell condominium units.

13 The Acadia Team Will Mu Robin Chen Jennie Sohn Ryan Li Morgan Privitte
Financial Analyst Robin Chen Financial Analyst Jennie Sohn Property Consultant Ryan Li Financial Analyst Morgan Privitte Property Consultant

14 Rent vs. Buy Assumptions Median Home Price $479,555 Down Payment 20%
Mortgage Rate 3.5% Annual Property Tax 0.84% Monthly Condo Fee $371 Closing Cost 4% Term of Mortgage (yrs) 30 Annual Maintenance Cost 1.5% Homeowner's Insurance Rate 2.0% Annual Home Appreciation 3% Annual Rent Increase Capital Gains Exclusion $5,000,000 Rate of Return on Investment Marginal Tax Rate 28% Inflation Rate 2% Median Monthly Rent $2,313 Rent Deposit Renter's Insurance Rate 0.6%

15 Market Comparable: Apartment

16 Market Comparable: Condos
Condominium Price Bed Sq.Ft. /Sq.Ft. Built Arlington-22202  3650 S Glebe Rd., #665, Arlington, VA 544,900 2 1200 454 2007 3600 S Glebe Rd., #418W, Arlington, VA 539,900 1242 434 2006 3600 S Glebe Rd., #408W, Arlington, VA 325,000 1 669 485 3600 S Glebe Rd., #606W, Arlington, VA 239,900 411 583 Arlington-All  1881 N Nash St., #610, Arlington, VA 1,299,555 1800 721 2009 4195 S Four Mile Run Dr., #203, Arlington, VA 383,900 1180 325 1201 N Garfield St., #711, Arlington, VA 589,000 980 601 3650 S Glebe Rd., # 665, Arlington, VA th St., N, #1505, Arlington, VA 975,000 1396 698 4167 S Four Mile Run Dr., #403, Arlington, VA 381,900 1135 336 888 N Quincy St., #2107, Arlington, VA 792,500 1248 635 2220 Fairfax Dr., #206, Arlington, VA 559,000 1178 474 1800 Wilson Blvd., #438, Arlington, VA 495,000 870 568


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