2003 Q&P Research Conference 1 Using Control Charts to Monitor Process and Product Profiles William H. Woodall and Dan J. Spitzner Department of Statistics Virginia Tech Blacksburg, VA and Douglas C. Montgomery and Shilpa Gupta Department of Industrial Engineering Arizona State University Tempe, AZ and

2003 Q&P Research Conference 2 Basic SPC assumptions: 1. Univariate quality characteristic or multivariate quality vector. 2. Some distributional assumptions, usually normality.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 3 We assume that for the i th random sample collected over time, we have the observations (x ij, y ij ), j = 1, 2, …, n.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 4 We refer to this as profile data. Jin and Shi (2001) used the term waveform signal. Gardner et al. (1997) used signature.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 5 There are many examples and applications: Aspartame function, Kang and Albin (2000) Tonnage stamping, Jin and Shi (2001) Location data, Boeing (1998) Calibration data, Mestek et al. (1994) Vertical density profile data for wood boards, Walker and Wright (2002).

2003 Q&P Research Conference 6 Monitoring Profiles with Control Charts General Issues and Pitfalls Linear Profiles Nonlinear Profiles, Wavelets, and Splines Relationships to Other Methods in SPC Ideas for Further Research

2003 Q&P Research Conference 7 General Issues 1. Phase I vs. Phase II Each application and method applies to a particular phase. The goals and the methods of evaluating statistical performance vary by phase.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 8 Phase I – A set of historical data is available. Interest is on understanding process variation, assessing process stability, and estimating in-control process parameters. Statistical performance measure: Probability of deciding process is unstable.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 9 Phase II – Using control limits estimated from Phase I with data as it is obtained successively over time. Statistical performance measure: Parameter (usually the mean) of the run length distribution.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 10 2.Principal Components and Functional Data Method of Jones and Rice (1992) is very useful in Phase I to understand profile variation.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 11 Profile monitoring is an application of functional data analysis, although only classical regression and multivariate ideas have been applied thus far.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 12 3.Profile-to-Profile Common Cause Variation A basic issue in all applications is the extent to which variation between profiles should be incorporated into the control chart limits. Pitfall #1: Failing to address this issue.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 13 4.The Control Chart Statistic(s) Parametric model: Monitor each parameter with separate chart unless estimators are dependent, then use a T-squared chart.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 14 To form the T-squared statistics in Phase I, one should use the estimator of the variance-covariance matrix proposed by Holmes and Mergen (1993). See Sullivan and Woodall (1996). Pitfall #2: Pooling of all vectors in Phase I.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 15 If a smoothing method is used, such as spline-fitting, then control charts based on metrics can be used to detect changes in observed profiles from a baseline profile.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 16 If only a few linear combinations of the Y-variables are monitored for each profile, then some shifts in profiles are undetectable. Pitfall #3: Monitoring only a subset of principal components or wavelet coefficients determined from in- control profiles.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 17 Analysis of Linear Profiles Phase I: Mestek et al. (1994), Stover and Brill (1998), Kang and Albin (2000), Kim et al. (2003), Mahmoud and Woodall (2003). Phase II: Kang and Albin (2000), Kim et al. (2003).

2003 Q&P Research Conference 18 Linear Calibration Applications Croarkin and Varner (1982) NIST/SEMATECH Engineering Statistics Handbook

2003 Q&P Research Conference 19 Polynomial / Multiple Regression: Jensen, Hui, and Ghare (1984) Nonlinear Regression: Brill (2001), Williams et al. (2003).

2003 Q&P Research Conference 20 Splines: Gardner et al. (1994), Boeing (1998). Wavelets: Jin and Shi (1999, 2001), Lada et al. (2002), Sun et al. (2003).

2003 Q&P Research Conference 21 Relationships to Other SPC Methods Multivariate SPC: Related, but dimensionality reduction is needed. Regression-adjusted (or cause-selecting) charts: [Hawkins (1991, 1993), Wade and Woodall (1993)] Related, but more general and data-intensive. Use of Trend Rules. Only artificially related.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 22 Research Ideas Much work is needed in profile monitoring. Only the linear profile case has been studied in any detail.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 23 Linear profile case with the X-variable random. Use of generalized linear models. Effect of estimation error. Statistical evaluation of proposed methods. Linear calibration monitoring. Use of more powerful SPC methods. Multiple response variables. Comparisons of competing methods. … and many, many more.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 24 We strongly encourage work and research in the area of profile monitoring. This framework opens SPC up to a much wider variety of statistical methods, models, and ideas. It also greatly expands the variety of engineering applications.

2003 Q&P Research Conference 25 References 1. Ajmani, V. B. (2003). Using EWMA Control Charts to Monitor Linear Relationships in Semiconductor Manufacturing. Paper to be presented at the 47 th Annual Fall Technical Conference, El Paso, Texas. 2. Boeing Commercial Airplane Group, Materiel Division, Procurement Quality Assurance Department (1998). Advanced Quality System Tools, AQS D , The Boeing Company: Seattle, WA. 3. Brill, R. V. (2001). A Case Study for Control Charting a Product Quality Measure That is a Continuous Function Over Time. Presentation at the 45 th Annual Fall Technical Conference, Toronto, Ontario. 4. Croarkin, C., and Varner, R. (1982). Measurement Assurance for Dimensional Measurements on Integrated-Circuit Photomasks. NBS Technical Note 1164, U.S. Department of Commerce, Washington, D.C.

2003 Q&P Research Conference Gardner, M. M., Lu, J. –C., Gyurcsik, R. S., Wortman, J. J., Hornung, B. E., Heinisch, H. H., Rying, E. A., Rao, S., Davis, J. C., and Mozumder, P. K. (1997). Equipment Fault Detection Using Spatial Signatures. IEEE Transactions on Components, Packaging, and Manufacturing Technology – Part C, 20, pp Hawkins, D. M. (1991). Multivariate Quality Control Based on Regression- Adjusted Variables. Technometrics 33, pp Hawkins, D. M. (1993). Regression Adjustment for Variables in Multivariate Quality Control. Journal of Quality Technology 25, pp Holmes, D. S., and Mergen, A. E. (1993). Improving the Performance of the T 2 Control Chart. Quality Engineering 5, pp Jensen, D. R., Hui, Y. V., and Ghare, P.M. (1984). Monitoring an Input- Output Model for Production. I. The Control Charts. Management Science 30, pp

2003 Q&P Research Conference Jin, J., and Shi, J. (1999). Feature-Preserving Data Compression of Stamping Tonnage Information Using Wavelets. Technometrics 41, pp Jin, J., and Shi, J. (2001). Automatic Feature Extraction of Waveform Signals for In-Process Diagnostic Performance Improvement. Journal of Intelligent Manufacturing 12, pp Jones, M. C., and Rice, J. A. (1992). Displaying the Important Features of Large Collections of Similar Curves. American Statistician 46, pp Kang, L., and Albin, S. L. (2000). On-Line Monitoring When the Process Yields a Linear Profile. Journal of Quality Technology 32, pp Kim, K., Mahmoud, M. A., and Woodall, W. H. (2003). On The Monitoring of Linear Profiles. To appear in the Journal of Quality Technology.

2003 Q&P Research Conference Lada, E. K., Lu, J. -C., and Wilson, J. R (2002). A Wavelet-Based Procedure for Process Fault Detection. IEEE Transactions on Semiconductor Manufacturing 15, pp Mahmoud, M. A., and Woodall, W. H. (2003), Phase I Monitoring of Linear Profiles with Calibration Applications, submitted to Technometrics. 17. Mestek, O., Pavlik, J., and Suchánek, M. (1994). Multivariate Control Charts: Control Charts for Calibration Curves. Fresenius Journal of Analytical Chemistry 350, pp Stover, F. S., and Brill, R. V. (1998). Statistical Quality Control Applied to Ion Chromatography Calibrations. Journal of Chromatography A 804, pp Sullivan, J. H., and Woodall, W. H. (1996), A Comparison of Multivariate Quality Control Charts for Individual Observations. Journal of Quality Technology 28, pp

2003 Q&P Research Conference Sun, B., Zhou, S., and Shi, J. (2003). An SPC Monitoring System for Cycle- Based Process Signals Using Wavelet Transform. Unpublished manuscript. 21. Wade, M. R., and Woodall, W. H. (1993). A Review and Analysis of Cause- Selecting Control Charts. Journal of Quality Technology 25, pp Walker, E., and Wright, S. P. (2002). Comparing Curves Using Additive Models. Journal of Quality Technology 34, pp Williams, J. D., Woodall, W. H., and Birch, J. B. (2003). Phase I Monitoring of Nonlinear Profiles, paper to be presented at the 2003 Quality and Productivity Research Conference, Yorktown Heights, New York.