James J. Hughes Ph.D. Director, Institutional Research and Planning Public Policy Studies, Trinity College, Hartford CT
Is everyone in the population moving in a secular direction over time? Are there distinct differences in religiosity by generation, shaped by distinct experiences? Are people more secular when they are young and more religious when older? “Secular Trends,” Generations, & Life Stage
Our current class is the tail end of Millennials, the children of the Boomers Next up: Generation Z (New Silent), children of Gen X Who are the Millennials?
Millennial Ascendence
Religious affiliation Intensity of religiosity Importance of religion Attendance at services Prayer, meditation Beliefs (in God, etc.) Spiritual v. religious What is Religiosity?
Most of the decline however is a drift from white Protestant and Catholic churches to disaffiliation Most Millennials Still Christians
Nones and Non- Abrahamic religions have grown slowly since the 1970s Most Trinity Students Still Christians
Trinity students are distinctly more religious, in particular more Christian, than students at peer liberal arts colleges Trinity students’ religiosity more closely resembles that of elite universities and Ivies Most Trinity FYs are Christians
Millennials are less affiliated than previous generations at their age On the other hand, three quarters still profess a religious affiliation Declining Religious Affiliation
But Millennials more so All Age Groups Disaffiliating
Disaffiliation most common among: Liberals West and New England Men Unmarried White College-educated/affluent Affluent New England Disaffilation
Millennials also far more likely to be politically independent (albeit more liberal) Less likely to get married as young adults Decline in All Organizational Affiliations
A fifth of Millennials profess weekly attendance compared to more than half of seniors (65+) This will likely increase somewhat with marriage and child-bearing Declining Attendance
Sometimes Most Unaffiliated Still Attend
The decline is generational Increases somewhat over the life course Declining (or Increasing?) Intensity
Generational decline in importance of religion But increases across life course Likewise with Importance
Majority are Christian, but “spiritually” not “religiously” Spiritual, Not Religious
ARIS 2013: College students identified their worldview as 32% Religious 32% Spiritual 28% Secular Religious, Spiritual, Nones
Millennials pray and meditate less But prayer and “meditation” increase over the life course Decline (and Increase) in Prayer
God exists – I have no doubts Gen. Decline in Belief in God However a majority are still certain about God
Bible is the literal word of God Decline in Biblical Literalism
One True Way?: Nearly three-quarters of affiliated young adults (74%) say there is more than one true way to interpret the teachings of their faith, compared with 67% of affiliated adults ages 30 and older. Rising Ecumenism
On other beliefs there are few differences between the generations Adults under 30, for instance, are just as likely as older adults to believe in life after death (75% vs. 74%) heaven (74% each) hell (62% vs. 59%) miracles (78% vs. 79%). No Decline in Supernaturalism
More Politically Liberal, Less Ideological
Unaffiliated see Christianity as to moralistic, political and anti-gay Liberalism Drives Disaffiliation
Although on elite campuses they are “middle of the road” rather than conservative Christian Students Least Liberal From the Fall 2014 COFHE FY Student Survey
Among Millennials religious progressives outnumber conservatives Decline of Religious Conservatives
Slight evidence for secularization But mostly seniors still profess same religious preferences Change at Trinity