1. The Landscape: New Research on U. S
The Landscape: New Research on U.S. and Global Religious Identities & Practices A presentation for the Harvard Divinity School Dean’s Leadership Forum
Alan Cooperman
Director of Religion Research
Religion & Public Life Project
Note: Not for publication, dissemination or quotation without the Pew Research Center’s permission.

2. Median Age of Religious Groups, 2010
Needs to be polished.
Pew Research Center, The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections

3. Total Fertility Rate by Religion, 2010-2015
Muslims
3.1
Christians
2.7
World
2.5
Hindus
2.4
Jews
2.3
Folk Religions
1.8
Unaffiliated
1.7
Other Religions
Buddhists
1.6
Pew Research Center, The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections

5. Total Fertility Rates

6. Life Expectancy at Birth by Religious Group, 2010-2055
Note: Data on life expectancy differences by religion within countries are not available. These results assume that within each country, all major religious groups have the same life expectancy at birth. Global differences between religious groups result from differences in the geographic distribution of the groups. Differences in life expectancy between periods are calculated based on unrounded values. Source: Calculations based on United Nations life tables, World Population Prospects: The 2010 Revision.

7. Projected Cumulative Change Due to Religious Switching, 2010-2050
Unaffiliated
Muslims
Folk Religions
Other Religions
Hindus
Jews
Buddhists
Christians
Source: The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections,

8. Islam Growing Fastest
Source: The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections,

9. Projected Change in Global Population:
Number of People , in billions
With the exception of Buddhists, all of the major religious groups are expected to increase in number by 2050.
Source: The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections,

10. Projected Change in Global Population:
Percent of Global Population
But some will not keep pace with global population growth, and, as a result, are expected to make up a smaller percentage of the world’s population in 2050 than they did in 2010.
Source: The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections,

11. Long-Term Projections of Christian and Muslim Shares of World’s Population
DARKEN THE MUSLIM LINE – DARKER SHADE OF GREEN
Source: The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections,

12. Countries that will no longer have a Christian majority in 2050
Majority Religion 2010
% of Population 2010
Majority/Largest Religion 2050
% of Population 2050
Australia
Christians
67.3
47.0
United Kingdom
64.3
45.4
Benin
53.0
48.5
France
63.0
Unaffiliated
44.1
Republic of Macedonia
59.3
Muslims
56.2
New Zealand
57.0
45.1
Bosnia-Herzegovina
52.3
49.4
Netherlands
50.6
49.1
Pew Research Center, The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections

13. Projected Religious Composition of the U.S., 2010-2050
Figures may not add to 100% due to rounding. Source: The Future of World Religions: Population Growth Projections,

14. Actual Long-Term Trends in Religious Affiliation
Source: General Social Surveys, Other religious affiliations and those who did not give an answer are not shown.

15. Growth in Religious Disaffiliation, by Demographic Groups
2007
2012
Change
% who describe themselves as religiously unaffiliated among… %
U.S. general public
15.3
19.6
+4.3
Men 18 23 +5
Women 13 17 +4
College grad+ 21
Some college or less 15 19
$75,000+ 16
$30,000-$74,999 20
<$30,000 +3
Northeast +6
Midwest
South 12
West 26
Source: Aggregated data from surveys conducted by the Pew Research Center, 2007 and Changes that are statistically significant are shown in bold.

16. Younger Adults Are More Unaffiliated
Source: Aggregated data from surveys conducted by the Pew Research Center, January-September Figures may not sum to 100% due to rounding.

17. % Unaffiliated with a Religion, by Generation
Source: General Social Surveys,

18. % saying they pray daily, by generation
Daily Prayer
% saying they pray daily, by generation %
Source: General Social Surveys,

19. Religious Attendance of U.S. Adults, 2003-2013
Source: Aggregated data from surveys conducted by the Pew Research Center,

20. Religious Stability or Modest Decline?
% of U.S. adults who…
Prayer
1987
2012
Say prayer is important part of their daily life
76%
Attendance
2003
2012
Say they attend worship services weekly or more
39%
37%
Importance of religion
2007
2012
Say religion is very important to them
61%
58%
Existence of God
1987
2012
Say they “never doubt” the existence of God
88%
80%
Source: Pew Research Center surveys conducted in 2012, 2007, 2003, and 1987.

21. What it means for YOUR stock portfolio
END OF THE WORLD!
What it means for YOUR stock portfolio

22. END OF THE WORLD!
Full text pages 17-19

23. Full-color weather maps, page 10
END OF THE WORLD!
Full-color weather maps, page 10

24. END OF THE WORLD.
Some revisions to our demographic projections for the world’s religious groups may be necessary.

25. Contact Information
Alan Cooperman
Director, Religion Research
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26. Unaffiliated Are Nearly as Solidly Democratic as White Evangelical Protestants Are Republican
Source: Pew Research Center political surveys, 2014, based on the general public. Note: Whites include only those who are not Hispanic.

27. Religious Composition of Registered Voters, 2012
Republicans/Republican Leaners
Democrats/Democratic Leaners
Source: Aggregated data from Pew Research Center surveys conducted in 2012, based on registered voters. The “other” category includes members of smaller religious groups (e.g., Mormons, Jews, Muslims, Buddhists, Hindus and others) as well as Protestants and Catholics who describe their race as something other than white, black or Hispanic (e.g., Asian, mixed race). Whites and blacks include only those who are not Hispanic.

28. Views About Churches and Religious Organizations
% saying they agree that churches and other religious organizations…
Source: Pew Research Center/Religion & Ethics NewsWeekly survey, June 28-July 9, 2012.

29. Current Marital Status, 1960-2010%
Note: Based on adults ages 18 and older. Percents may not total 100% due to rounding.
Source: Pew Research Center’s Social and Demographic Trends analysis of Decennial Census ( ) and American Community Survey data (2008, 2010), IPUMS.

30. Rise and Decline of League Bowling
Source: Robert D. Putnam, Bowling Alone: The Collapse and Revival of American Community, 2000.

31. Confidence in Institutions, 1973-2011
% saying they have a great deal or quite a lot of confidence
Question wording: “Now I am going to read you a list of institutions in American society. Please tell me how much confidence you, yourself, have in each one – a great deal, quite a lot, some, or very little?”
Note: Data not available for Congress in 1987.
Source: Gallup New Service Survey, conducted June 9-12, Based telephone interviews of a national sample of 1,020 adults.

32. Wealthier Nations Tend to Be Less Religious, But U. S
Wealthier Nations Tend to Be Less Religious, But U.S. a Prominent Exception
Note: The curve represents the logarithmic relationship between GDP per capita and the percentage saying that religion plays a very important role in their lives. Germany, France, Britain % data from spring 2011; U.S., Japan % data from spring Source: Spring 2011, 2012, 2013 Global Attitudes survey. Data for GDP per capita (PPP) from IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April 2014.

33. Fewer in Rich Countries Say Today Is a Good Day; U.S. an Exception
Note: The curve represents the logarithmic relationship between GDP per capita and the percentage saying they are having a particularly good day. Source: Spring 2014 Global Attitudes Survey. Data for GDP per capita (PPP) from IMF World Economic Outlook Database, April 2014.

34. Religion in Latin America: Widespread Change in a Historically Catholic Region
% of Latin America’s population belonging to each religious group
The historical estimates are from the World Religion Database and the Brazilian and Mexican censuses. The 2014 estimates are based on the Pew Research Center survey. Percentages for each year may not round to 100% due to rounding and the small share of other religious groups not shown in this chart. Estimates include 18 countries and the U.S. territory of Puerto Rico.

35. Many Protestants Were Raised as Catholics
% of current Protestants who say they were raised Catholic
Source: Pew Research Center, Religion in Latin America, November 2014.

36. Contact Information
Alan Cooperman
Director, Religion Research
Subscribe to our daily and weekly e-newsletters: