Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered www.eConnectDirect.com Greg Pagans, Vice President Volusia/Flagler Chapter Florida GFOA March 20, 2015.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Federal Reserve and Macroeconomic Policy
Advertisements

ABC. Question 1 The structure of the Federal Reserve includes: 12 district banks, 24 branches, the Board of Governors, and the FOMC A 24 district banks.
National Economic Indicators Ray Owens May 20, 2014.
Commonwealth Financial Network ® does not provide legal or tax advice. You should consult a legal or tax professional regarding your individual situation.
PFM Asset Management LLC 222 North LaSalle Suite 910 Chicago, IL Annual Investment Portfolio Review 2012 Fiscal Year.
ECONOMIC INDICATORS. Real GDP Growth Gross Domestic Product (GDP) measures the dollar value of all goods and services produced in the U.S. economy in.
BONDS 101 PUBLIC FUNDS INVESTING Prepared for: Presented by: Paul Jarvis Managing Director Member SIPC and FINRA. 11.
Regulatory Reform and Implications for the Municipal Bond Market RBDA Financial Regulatory Reform Webinar Lynnette Kelly Hotchkiss, Executive Director.
Unit 14 The Federal Reserve The Top Five Concepts
Chapter 16. Structure of Central Banks & the Federal Reserve System Origins Structure Comparison to ECB Origins Structure Comparison to ECB.
Measuring Unemployment. U.S. Employment Picture 1999 and 2009.
Chapter 14. Structure of Central Banks & the Federal Reserve System Origins Structure Independence Origins Structure Independence.
©2009, The McGraw-Hill Companies, All Rights Reserved 4-1 McGraw-Hill/Irwin Chapter Four The Federal Reserve System, Monetary Policy, and Interest Rates.
The Post-FOMC Post Mortem: QE not so Mortem 2013 Gulf Power Economic Symposium Sandestin, FL September 30, 2013.
Rating the Rates: The Fed’s Role in the Larger Economy By Tanya Hanson and Tom Glaser Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta – Lesson Plan Contest of the Year.
Making Fixed Income Socially Responsible Joshua Brockwell, Investment Communications Director 1 The following presentation is the copyright of Azzad Asset.
A Case for Waiting Out the Storm INVESTMENT PRODUCTS: NOT FDIC INSURED  NO BANK GUARANTEE  MAY LOSE VALUE Date Name.
Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered eConnectDirect An online investment platform ACCG Summer Meetings Joe Michalak June 22 –
Corporate Overview September Hannon Armstrong Sustainable Infrastructure Capital, Inc. (the "Company") makes forward-looking statements in this.
FOR INSTITUTIONAL USE ONLY NOT FOR PUBLIC DISTRIBUTION An introduction to the capital markets J.P. Morgan Investment Academy.
© 2016 Cengage Learning. All Rights Reserved. May not be copied, scanned, or duplicated, in whole or in part, except for use as permitted in a license.
Stock Market Volatility and Your Plan. 1 It is important that you understand the ways in which we conduct business and the applicable laws and regulations.
Brett Hammond, Ph.D. Managing Director and Chief Investment Strategist, TIAA-CREF ARE WE THERE YET? THE “NEW NORMAL” ECONOMY AND WHAT IT MEANS FOR INVESTORS.
The Federal Reserve What is the Fed? How does the Fed help shape the economic conditions in the US? How does the Fed implement monetary policy?
Monetary Policy and you: You can do this! AP PHS March 5, 2011.
CMTA Advanced Treasury Workshop Floating Rate Notes, Fixed to Float Securities, Step Down Bonds and Convexity Presented by: Tony Garcia, CFA Vice President.
Chapter 15 Investing in Stocks. Copyright ©2014 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.15-2 Chapter Objectives Identify the functions of stock exchanges.
Monetary Policy: Regulating Money Supply. Trade Quiz #1: What are the two conflicting responsibilities of the Federal Reserve? Maximizing GDP & Employment.
Copyright ©2005 Ibbotson Associates, Inc. Risk and Volatility Securities offered through Lincoln Financial Advisors Corp., a broker/dealer, 1300 S. Clinton.
Essential Standard 1.00 Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1.
CHAPTER 4 The Fed and Monetary Policy © 2003 South-Western/Thomson Learning.
Chapter 15 Parks Econ104 The Federal Reserve and Monetary Policy.
Understand the role of business in the global economy. 1 All Images Compliments of
BONDS PRICES AND YIELDS FNCE 455 Class Session #9 Lloyd Kurtz Santa Clara University 1.
Measuring the Economy Goals 9.01 & Why does the government need to know what the economy is doing?  The government makes decisions that affect.
Cyclical Unemployment Occurs because of a downturn in the economy. (SSEMA1_d)
1 Chapter 5 The Federal Reserve. 2 The Federal Reserve (the Fed) The U.S. Central Bank I.The Role of the Federal Reserve System A.The purpose is to control.
Planning Personal Finances. Personal Financial Planning SPENDING SAVING INVESTING So you can have the kind of life you want as well as financial security.
Government Chapter 20.2 Monetary Policy. General Economics competition The existence of two or more companies within a single industry that are trying.
Part 2.  What are the 3 main parts of the Fed?  The Board of Governors  The 12 Reserve Banks  FOMC.
The Federal Reserve In Action. What is the Fed?  Central bank of the United States  Established in 1913  Purpose is to ensure a stable economy for.
PRIMARY VERSUS SECONDARY MARKETS
Federal Reserve Policies Kevin Scofield. Overview  Federal Open Market Committee  Goals of the Federal Monetary Policy  Tools of the Federal Monetary.
Chapter 5 – Central Banks BA 441 – Financial Markets and Institutions.
Chapter 1 Why Study Money, Banking, and Financial Markets?
© 2008 Transamerica Corporation. All rights reserved. 1 The First Quarter in Review 3 3 Source: Transamerica Investment Management, “Manager Commentary-First.
Member FINRA/SIPC LPL FINANCIAL RESEARCH Putting Current Markets Into Perspective: Why to Stay Invested The economic forecasts set forth in the presentation.
Copyright © 2009 Pearson Addison-Wesley. All rights reserved. Chapter 2 The Measurement of Income, Prices, and Unemployment.
Presenter Name Title MFS Investment Management ® Keep more of what you earn Tax-efficient MFS municipal bond funds © 2009 MFS Investment Management.
The Federal Reserve. Federal Reserve Act of 1913  Created 12 regional independent banks.
Ann Battle Macheras Vice President, Regional Research and Economic Education Research Department National and Virginia Economic Update Mount Vernon-Lee.
2017 Outlook For the Financial Markets
National Economic Conditions
I. THE FEDERAL RESERVE SYSTEM
Annual Investment Report Presentation to City Council
NCSHA 2016 MRB’s – Now and In the Future
Monetary Policy.
Greg Pagans, Vice President
The Federal Reserve System
Standard SSEMA2- Explain the role and function of the Federal reserve.
Economics 330 – Money and Banking
The Federal Reserve System “the Fed”
Economics 330 – Money and Banking
THE FEDERAL RESERVE AND MONETARY POLICY
Projections and Portfolio Transitioning
Macroeconomics Review
Tools of Monetary Policy
B. Craig Elder Director Senior Fixed Income Analyst
Financial Markets Update
Economics 330 – Money and Banking
Presentation transcript:

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Greg Pagans, Vice President Volusia/Flagler Chapter Florida GFOA March 20, 2015

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Multi-Bank Securities, Inc. Headquartered: Southfield, Michigan Fort Lauderdale, FL, office established in 1996 Member of FINRA and SIPC, MSRB Registered Member since 1988 (CRD #22098) Institutional fixed-income focus More than 5,000 Institutional Accounts Approved Underwriter U.S. agency securities — FHLB, FHLMC, FNMA FDIC-insured bank CDs (MI)

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Disclosures Multi-Bank Securities, Inc. – broker/dealer, not advisor Offers no regulatory/audit advice Greg Pagans, Vice President, Institutional Fixed-Income Registered Representative — FINRA Series 6, 7, 24 and 63 (CRD # )

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Economic Update Past, Present, Future Federal Reserve Bank / FOMC Domestic Economy Interest Rates

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered BofA Merrill Lynch Global Investment Strategy, Global Financial Data, Bloomberg

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Chairmen and Active Executive Officers of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System Paul A. Volcker Aug. 6, Aug. 11, 1987 Alan Greenspan Aug. 11, Jan. 31, 2006 Ben S. Bernanke Feb. 1, Jan. 31, 2014 Janet L. YellenFeb. 3, present 6

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U.S. Federal Reserve and FOMC “Central Bank” of the United States Dual Mandate — Price Stability and Full Employment Controls Short-Term Interest Rates [Discount and Fed Funds Rates] Influences Long-Term Interest Rates

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Fed Funds Rate 3/1980 – 2/2015

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U-3 U.S. Unemployment Rate Total in Labor Force The unemployment rate tracks the number of unemployed persons as a percentage of the labor force (the total number of employed plus unemployed). These figures generally come from a household labor force survey.

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U-3 Unemployment rate 3/1980 – 2/2015

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U-6 Unemployment Rate Unemployed, Margin and Part Time as % of Labor Force This measure of unemployment includes the total unemployed, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force, plus total employed part time for economic reasons, as a percentage of the civilian labor force, plus all persons marginally attached to the labor force. (Persons marginally attached to the labor force are those who currently are neither working nor looking for work, but indicate that they want and are available for a job and have looked for work some time in the past 12 months. Persons employed part time for economic reasons are those who want and are available for full-time work, but have had to settle for a part-time schedule).

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U-6 Unemployment rate 1/1994 – 2/2015

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Labor Force Participation Rate 1/1948 – 2/2015

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U.S. Treasury 30-Year Bond Yield 12/1980 – 3/2015

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U.S. Treasury 10-Year Bond Yield 12/1980 – 3/2015

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Yield Curve A curve on a graph in which the yield of fixed-interest securities is plotted against the length of time they have to run to maturity. US Treasury definition: Treasury Yield Curve Rates. These rates are commonly referred to as "Constant Maturity Treasury" rates, or CMTs. Yields are interpolated by the Treasury from the daily yield curve. This curve, which relates the yield on a security to its time to maturity is based on the closing market bid yields on actively traded Treasury securities in the over-the-counter market. These market yields are calculated from composites of quotations obtained by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York. The yield values are read from the yield curve at fixed maturities, currently 1, 3 and 6 months and 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 10, 20 and 30 years. This method provides a yield for a 10 year maturity, for example, even if no outstanding security has exactly 10 years remaining to maturity.

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U.S. Treasury Yield Curve 1/2006 and 3/2015

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U.S. Treasury Yield Curve 1/2010 and 3/2015

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered CHANGE in U.S. Treasury Yields Since 1/2010

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered PPI (Producer Price Index) Since June 2010

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered CPI (Consumer Price Index) MoM Since 3/2006

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered CPI (Consumer Price Index) YoY Since 3/2006

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U.S. Treasury 10-Year Yields Since 1/2013

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U.S. Treasury 5-Year Yields Since 1/2013

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered U.S. Treasury 3-Year Yields Since 1/2013

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered World Interest Rates (Developed Countries) 10-Year Maturities

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered World Interest Rates (Developed Countries) 5-Year Maturities

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Fed Funds Futures Overview

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Resources Wall Street Journal Online U.S. Treasury Yields U.S. Department of the Treasury Securities Industry & Financial Markets Association SIFMA Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Resources Real Clear Markets (news aggregator) Business Insider (news aggregator) ZeroHedge (news aggregator)

Member of FINRA & SIPC; MSRB Registered Thank You! For additional information, please contact: Greg Pagans Vice President, Institutional Fixed Income Registered Representative FINRA Series 6, 7, 24, 63 (CRD # ) DISCLOSURE: Multi-Bank Securities, Inc. (MBS) cannot be held responsible for errors regarding time and/or price on buy/sell requests. Information provided in this presentation has been prepared from sources known to be reliable, but is not guaranteed and is not a complete summary or statement of all data necessary for making an investment decision. This is for informational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation; please confirm all information before investing. Securities discussed are subject to availability and change in price and yield. Changes to assumptions may have a material impact on returns. Past performance is not indicative of future returns. For institutional investors only. Questions?