2012 SDC-CIC Annual Training Conference Thursday, October 18, 2012 Andrew W. Hait Data Product & Data User Liaison How To Use Census Bureau Economic Data.

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Presentation transcript:

2012 SDC-CIC Annual Training Conference Thursday, October 18, 2012 Andrew W. Hait Data Product & Data User Liaison How To Use Census Bureau Economic Data in a Business Plan

Presentation Outline Using Economic Programs Data To Better Understand –The target market –The competition and the industry –Complementary businesses –Business suppliers 2

Sample Scenario: An entrepreneur is interested in opening a hair salon in the DC metro area. She has contacted us to find out what information the Census Bureau provides that may help her understand this industry, gather some data for her business plan and loan application, and identify a good place to locate the business. How will we help her? 3

Is it Only About My Customers? No! While Census does publish information about our population, this only tells part of the story… 4 Population Statistics for Washington DC Metro Area Counties: 2010 County Total population18 years and over TotalMaleFemaleTotalMaleFemale Fairfax County, Virginia1,086,743536,795549,948823,435401,723421,712 Montgomery County, Maryland976,203468,914507,289742,329349,583392,746 Prince George's County, Maryland865,271415,298449,973659,822310,246349,576 District of Columbia604,453285,729318,724503,186234,233268,953 Prince William County, Virginia406,110202,355203,755288,876142,336146,540 Loudoun County, Virginia315,134155,514159,620218,751106,631112,120 Frederick County, Maryland234,122114,922119,200174,90984,65190,258 Arlington County, Virginia209,457104,870104,587176,61187,82688,785 Charles County, Maryland147,08670,85376,233108,25950,77457,485 Alexandria city, Virginia140,91269,04571,867116,79056,16360,627 Stafford County, Virginia129,74565,29164,45492,38846,14346,245

Getting Started What NAICS code covers this industry? What programs do we have that provide data for this industry that she might be able to use? Use the Industry Statistics Sampler, which can be accessed off the Business and Industry page 5

What Data Do We Have? Hair Salons are classified in NAICS code Data on hair salons are available in County Business Patterns Nonemployer Statistics Services Annual Survey Statistics of US Business Economic Census Survey of Business Owners. 6

Tell Me About My Industry and the Competition in the DC Metro Area… The economic programs at Census provide a wealth of data that she can use to better understand this industry, her competition, and her potential market. Let’s start with data from the County Business Patterns (CBP) program, which are available in American FactFinder 7

Selected Statistics for Beauty Salons (NAICS ) in Washington DC Metro Area Counties: 2010 County Number of establishments Total employment (number) First quarter payroll ($1,000) Total annual payroll ($1,000) Employees per establishment (number) Payroll per employee ($) Total Population Total population per establishment Fairfax County, Virginia3562,989$18,695$84,017 8$28,109 1,086,7433,053 Montgomery County, Maryland3022,600$15,565$69,858 9$26, ,2033,232 District of Columbia1711,579$12,157$55,185 9$34, ,4533,535 Prince George's County, Maryland133727$2,839$13,208 5$18, ,2716,506 Prince William County, Virginia94782$3,872$17,190 8$21, ,1104,320 Loudoun County, Virginia86688$4,162$18,153 8$26, ,1343,664 Arlington County, Virginia71603$3,485$15,925 8$26, ,4572,950 Frederick County, Maryland62528$2,372$10,985 9$20, ,1223,776 Alexandria city, Virginia51483$3,197$13,652 9$28, ,9122,763 Stafford County, Virginia37259$1,180$5,002 7$19, ,7453,507 Fairfax city, Virginia34235$1,372$6,220 7$26,468 22, Charles County, Maryland33314$1,130$4,798 10$15, ,0864,457 Fredericksburg city, Virginia31c$1,070$4,592 NA 23, Spotsylvania County, Virginia31203$835$3,817 7$18, ,8533,963 Calvert County, Maryland27254$1,060$4,791 9$18,862 88,9363,294 Manassas city, Virginia2590$382$1,840 4$20,444 36,0671,443 Fauquier County, Virginia22162$787$3,580 7$22,099 62,9712,862 Falls Church city, Virginia15b$504$1,974 NA 11, Jefferson County, West Virginia1481$364$1,537 6$18,975 52,0333,717 Warren County, Virginia1168$218$917 6$13,485 37,0443,368 Manassas Park city, Virginia3aDD NA 13,1954,398 Clarke County, Virginia35$24$96 2$19,200 14,0134,671

I’ve Heard about Nonemployers… What are They? Nonemployers are businesses with no paid employees. Primarily independent contractors File IRS Form 1040 Schedule C (not 941) Significant in number Significant in revenue in some industries 9

Nonemployer Statistics for Beauty Salons (NAICS ) in Washington DC Metro Area Counties: 2010 County Number of nonemployer establishments Total nonemployer receipts ($1,000) Receipts per establishment ($) Prince George's County, Maryland2,277$48,403 $21,257 District of Columbia1,443$21,795 $15,104 Montgomery County, Maryland1,177$26,997 $22,937 Fairfax County, Virginia787$22,468 $28,549 Prince William County, Virginia363$8,725 $24,036 Charles County, Maryland231$5,864 $25,385 Loudoun County, Virginia222$7,508 $33,820 Frederick County, Maryland150$3,632 $24,213 Arlington County, Virginia117$3,874 $33,111 Alexandria city, Virginia100$2,666 $26,660 Spotsylvania County, Virginia98$2,788 $28,449 Stafford County, Virginia93$2,410 $25,914 Calvert County, Maryland84$1,730 $20,595 Warren County, Virginia48$981 $20,438 Fauquier County, Virginia44$1,441 $32,750 Jefferson County, West Virginia44$1,108 $25,182 Fairfax city, Virginia27$1,253 $46,407 Manassas city, Virginia27$580 $21,481 Fredericksburg city, Virginia16$275 $17,188 Clarke County, Virginia13$317 $24,385 Falls Church city, VirginiaDD NA Manassas Park city, VirginiaDD NA

What about Sales Data? 11 While County Business Patterns Program publishes detailed data for employer businesses by industry, statistics on sales are only available from Economic Census. Can be used in a business plan to forecast the expected sales of a business based on similar businesses Can also be used to identify a business location

12 Selected Statistics for Beauty Salons (NAICS ) in Washington DC Metro Area Counties: 2007 County Number of employer establishments Total employer receipts ($1,000) Total employer annual payroll ($1,000) Total employment (number) Receipts per establishment ($) Receipts per employee ($) Employees per establishment (number) Payroll per employee ($) Fairfax County, Virginia349$168,516$87,4193,207$482,854$52,5469$27,259 Montgomery County, Maryland324$145,239$71,4522,930$448,269$49,5709$24,386 District of Columbia197$104,230$53,7361,678$529,086$62,1169$32,024 Prince William County, Virginia99$34,000$16,349751$343,434$45,2738$21,770 Loudoun County, Virginia85$29,092$14,660632$342,259$46,0327$23,196 Alexandria city, Virginia63$27,595$14,188495$438,016$55,7478$28,663 Arlington County, Virginia72$26,412$11,854559$366,833$47,2498$21,206 Prince George's County, Maryland137$24,834$11,260746$181,270$33,2905$15,094 Frederick County, Maryland60$19,616$10,344515$326,933$38,0899$20,085 Fairfax city, Virginia36$13,136$5,786250$364,889$52,5447$23,144 Charles County, Maryland34$10,796$5,395347$317,529$31,11210$15,548 Stafford County, Virginia32$10,324$4,954236$322,625$43,7467$20,992 Spotsylvania County, Virginia28$6,294$3,041159$224,786$39,5856$19,126 Falls Church city, Virginia22$5,624$2,484110$255,636$51,1275$22,582 Manassas city, Virginia27$5,213$2,461155$193,074$33,6326$15,877 Fredericksburg city, Virginia35DDeNA Calvert County, Maryland28DDeNA Fauquier County, Virginia19DDcNA Jefferson County, West Virginia13DDbNA Warren County, Virginia11DDbNA

How Is This Industry Doing? 13 The data gathered every 5 years from the Economic Census and the annual data from County Business Patterns and other program can be used in a business plan - To measure how an industry or community has performed historically, and To forecast the expected sales of a business in the future

14

What types of products and services should I offer in my salon? Data on products and services sold by businesses are available in the Product Lines data from Economic Census. Can be used in a business plan to identify the primary and secondary sources of sales of the business 15

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How Big Should My Business Be? 17 The Economic Census includes data broken out by the sales and employment size of the business Can be used in a business plan to understand the size of a “typical” business in an industry Can also be used to forecast the future growth of a business to it’s most efficient size

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What about Franchising? 19 The Economic Census also publishes data broken out by franchise status for selected industries engaged in franchising. Can be used to understand to importance of franchise (vs non- franchise) businesses in the industry Can be used in a business plan to justify the cost of franchise fees

20

What About Complementary Businesses? 21 Determining a good location for a business is often not only based on where the customers are but also where other businesses that complement a business are located. Data for these complementary businesses are also available from the Economic Census and can be used in a business plan.

22 Selected Statistics for Nail Salons (NAICS ) in Washington DC Metro Area Counties: 2010 County Number of establishments Total employment (number) First quarter payroll ($1,000) Total annual payroll ($1,000) Fairfax County, Virginia66296$1,401$6,896 Prince George's County, Maryland58297$1,078$5,668 Montgomery County, Maryland52372$1,437$7,484 District of Columbia24100$397$1,979 Prince William County, Virginia2493$367$1,663 Loudoun County, Virginia1338$177$844 Frederick County, Maryland1255$141$658 Charles County, Maryland11b$125$577 Arlington County, Virginia1195$423$2,216 Spotsylvania County, Virginia9b$99$538 Alexandria city, Virginia747$189$835 Falls Church city, Virginia7bS$404 Stafford County, Virginia6aDD Fairfax city, Virginia525$81$415 Calvert County, Maryland410$25$174 Fredericksburg city, Virginia2aDD Manassas city, Virginia2aDD Jefferson County, West Virginia2aDD

23 Nonemployer Statistics for Nail Salons (NAICS ) in Washington DC Metro Area Counties: 2010 County Number of nonemployer establishments Total nonemployer receipts ($1,000) Receipts per establishment ($) Fairfax County, Virginia1,873$50,804 $27,124 Montgomery County, Maryland1,156$33,389 $28,883 Prince George's County, Maryland638$19,539 $30,625 Loudoun County, Virginia351$13,973 $39,809 Prince William County, Virginia340$10,252 $30,153 District of Columbia155$2,665 $17,194 Charles County, Maryland99$3,480 $35,152 Frederick County, Maryland93$3,654 $39,290 Arlington County, Virginia73$2,790 $38,219 Stafford County, Virginia71$2,677 $37,704 Spotsylvania County, Virginia69$3,467 $50,246 Fairfax city, Virginia49$1,080 $22,041 Fauquier County, Virginia39$2,221 $56,949 Manassas city, Virginia37$1,659 $44,838 Alexandria city, Virginia30$1,357 $45,233 Fredericksburg city, Virginia22$953 $43,318 Calvert County, Maryland20$1,422 $71,100 Warren County, Virginia18$715 $39,722 Manassas Park city, Virginia15$658 $43,867 Jefferson County, West Virginia5$61 $12,200 Clarke County, Virginia4$62 $15,500 Falls Church city, VirginiaDD NA

How About My Suppliers and a Source of Employees? 24 Determining a good location for a business can also be based on where suppliers are located. A source of employees for the business can also impact this decision. Data for these supplier businesses and employment resources are also available from the Economic Census and can be used in a business plan.

Selected Statistics for Service Establishment Merchant Wholesalers (NAICS ) in Washington DC Metro Area Counties: 2010 County Number of establishments Total employment (number) First quarter payroll ($1,000) Total annual payroll ($1,000) Montgomery County, Maryland Prince George's County, Maryland District of Columbia7b Fairfax County, Virginia7b Prince William County, Virginia3bDD Loudoun County, Virginia2bDD Alexandria city, Virginia2aDD Fairfax city, Virginia2aDD Calvert County, Maryland1aDD Frederick County, Maryland1aDD Arlington County, Virginia1aDD Fauquier County, Virginia1aDD Spotsylvania County, Virginia1aDD Stafford County, Virginia1aDD Falls Church city, Virginia1aDD Manassas Park city, Virginia1aDD Jefferson County, West Virginia1aDD 25 Selected Statistics for Cosmetology and Barber Schools (NAICS ) in Washington DC Metro Area Counties: 2010 County Number of establishments Total employment (number) First quarter payroll ($1,000) Total annual payroll ($1,000) Montgomery County, Maryland Prince George's County, Maryland5bS1488 Fairfax County, Virginia5bS569 District of Columbia4bDD Frederick County, Maryland2bDD Prince William County, Virginia2aDD Charles County, Maryland1aDD Arlington County, Virginia1bDD Warren County, Virginia1aDD

Anything Else? 26 In addition to the detailed data available from the Economic Census, the Survey of Business Owners also publishes data broken out by the race, ethnicity, gender, and veteran status of the business owner. Can be used to further understand the composition of an industry

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In Summary Economic Programs data from the Census Bureau can be an invaluable source of information in a business plan to measure: –The target market of a business –The overall health and composition of the industry and competing businesses –The impact of complementary businesses on the location of the business –The roll that business suppliers can have on the location of a business 28

Questions

(301) Visit business.census.gov 30 Contact Information