Gerry Brady CSO Meeting of the Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group External Trade in Goods November 2011 1.

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Presentation transcript:

Gerry Brady CSO Meeting of the Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group External Trade in Goods November

Origin of External Trade statistics Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Customs declarations are used for statistical purposes as the basic data source for trade with Non-EU Member States. They provide detailed information on exports and imports of goods with a product and geographical breakdown. The advent of the Single Market on 1 January 1993, with its removal of customs formalities between Member States required the establishment of a new data collections system called Intrastat. 2

Basic Regulations Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Extrastat Regulation (EC) No 471/2009 of the European Parliament and of the Council of 6 May 2009 on Community statistics relating to external trade with non-member countries Intrastat Regulation (EC) No 638/2004 of the European Parliament and of the Council Amended by : Regulation (EC) No 222/2009 3

Intrastat Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Intrastat system was created seeking two major goals:  to satisfy user needs by providing the same statistical information on trade as before and  at the same time to reduce administrative burden on traders while providing statistical data. Intrastat is closely linked with the VAT system relating to intra- Community trade in order to ensure completeness and quality of the statistical data. 4

Intrastat Thresholds Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Member States have to ensure that at least 97% of dispatches and 95% of arrivals of trade value to/from the Member States is covered Traders whose imports from EU countries exceeded €191,000 in 2010 must make a detailed import return each month in Traders whose exports from EU countries exceeded €635,000 in 2010 must make a detailed export return each month in

Data Collection Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 The VIMA Office of the Revenue Commisioners collects both the intra-EU (survey) and extra-EU trade (daily tranfers from Customs) data. Before 2011, the CSO surveyed companies operating in the Shannon Free Zone. The CSO survey did not collect full product or partner country detail. Since 2011, VIMA has collected these transactions at full product and partner country detail. Parcel post Parcel post subject to Customs processing and a figure for this is received from VIMA. The CSO estimates the value of Non-EU goods that are imported or exported by parcel post and not recorded by Customs. 6

Reporting Deadlines Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 National requirement Traders must furnish the data to VIMA not later than the 10 th working day after the reference month. EU Requirements Member States must provide Eurostat with intra- and extra-EU aggregated statistics within 40 days after the reference month. For detailed statistics the deadlines are 42 days for extra-EU statistics and 70 days for intra-EU statistics. 7

2012 Data Collection Changes Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 The required date for traders to make a return will be extended from the 10 th working day to not later than 23 days after the reference month. This will align the return date with VIES and VAT facilitating traders to make better quality returns. Traders will be obliged to make their returns electronically using ROS (paper returns are expensive to process and were subject to a high level of error in terms of human transposition). CN unit value checks will be incorporated into the ROS upload allowing traders to verify unit values based on values set by the CSO. 8

VAT Returns Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 All VAT traders are required to record the value of goods imported from and exported to other EU Member States. These returns are used for:  estimating the value for traders below the Intrastat thresholds  estimating for non-response  compiling a register of Traders  Identifying traders required to make detailed returns 9

Intrastat Response Burden Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 EU and national strategy aims to reduce the administrative burden on businesses caused by the requirements of public administration. The statistical burden accounts for a relatively small part of the total administrative burden in the Member States. The Intrastat reporting burden forms a significant proportion of all statistical reporting obligations on businesses. 10

Exclusions EnterpriseStatistics Liaison Group November 2011  Services are included in Balance of Payments  Customised software refers to software that is developed to order for a particular client and made to special requirements  Software supplied which does not involve a physical exchange of goods  Software downloaded from the Internet. 11

Information collected Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011  Month  VAT number  CN product code (8 digits)  SITC code (5 digits, derived from CN)  Invoice value  Statistical value  Net mass (kg)  Supplementary unit (number/quantity)  EU / Non-EU  Partner country  Country of consignment  Delivery terms (CIF, FOB etc.)  Nature of transaction (sale, purchase, returns, repairs etc.)  Mode of transport (Extrastat, sea, air, etc.)  Port of entry/exit (Extrastat)  Invoice currency (Extrastat)  Type (imports/exports) 12

VAT Register Variables Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011  VAT number  ABT company ID  ABT group code  Revenue activity code  Trader name  Address  VAT return requirements  Date company added/cancelled  Return under Group VAT number 13

Invoice value Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Invoiced amount is the value of the goods indicated on the invoice. Transport and insurance costs which are part of the contract price should be included. VAT and Excise duties (on alcohol, tobacco and hydrocarbon oils) should be excluded. Currency conversion shall be made if the value is stated in a foreign currency. 14

Statistical Value Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Statistical value, delivery terms and mode of transport are required only from traders with imports of over €5m or exports of over €34m. The statistical value for exports shall be a FOB-type value (free on board) which means the value of the goods as they leave the territory of the Member State reporting the dispatch. The statistical value for imports shall be a CIF-type value (cost, insurance, freight). This means the value of the goods when they enter the territory of the Member State reporting the arrival. 15

Number of CN Codes Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November YearCreationsDeletionsTotalEvolutionCN Codes ,

Data Editing Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Prior to 2011 VIMA were responsible for a large amount of micro data editing. The CSO provided VIMA with guideline CN unit values to assist in this work. In January 2011 the CSO took over primary responsibility for all editing of the data not validated by the Trader (VIMA still undertake some initial editing e.g. valid CN code etc.). VIMA now focus their queries on the quality of the large traders data and on unusual transactions. They only amend data if the trader provides corrections. Much of the CSO editing is focused on amending the net mass and supplementary values in cases where the unit values are extremely high or low. 17

Volume and Price Indices Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Calculation methodology The monthly price (unit value) index measures monthly price trends relative to the annual levels in the preceding year using value weights relating to that year’s trade (Laspeyres index). The annual index is compiled using value weights for both the current and previous year (Fisher index) to allow for changes in the structure of external trade. Difficulties Wide variations in unit prices both within a CN and within related CNs. 18

Consistency of Goods Data across CSO Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 A Large Cases Unit was established in 2010 to ensure that the various CSO Divisions used consistent data for the very large enterprises. There are quarterly meetings held and some adjustments are made to the returns from VIMA for a small number of very large enterprises to align the data with Balance of Payments data for trade in goods. 19

Monthly Trade release Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Issues 7 weeks after reference month  Value of trade  Volume and Price indices  Terms of trade  Seasonally adjusted series  Value by SITC division  Value by partner country  Value by partner country and SITC Section 20

Detailed monthly Trade publication Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011  Table 1 Summary of trade, € and Indices  Table 2 Seasonally adjusted series, € and Indices  Table 3 Imports by Main use, € and %  Table 4 Imports by Main use and Area of origin, €  Table 5 Exports by Industrial origin, € and %  Table 6 Exports by Industrial origin & Destination, €  Table 7 Trade by Area, €  Table 8 Trade by Area: % distribution  Table 9 Trade by country, €  Table 10 Trade by SITC Section and Division, €  Table 11 Trade by Division and Country, €  Table 12 Trade by Country and Division, €  Table 13 Imports by 5-digit SITC & Country, € & Tonnes  Table 14 Exports by 5-digit SITC & Country, € & Tonnes 21

Trade Helpdesk and Statbank Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 The CSO data bank contains a large amount of trade data, The Trade Helpdesk provides a special queries facility. 22

Goods and Services in 2010 Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Value of Trade in Goods and Services 2010 €billion 23 TypeExportsImports Goods€89.2b€45.8b Services€73.8b€80.9b

Total Goods Trade 2010 Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Value of Total Goods Trade 2010 VAT number value size class 24 ClassVat numbers ExportsVat numbers Imports <€100,00017,384€196m47,332€583m < €1m2,783€872m7,187€2,285m < €100m1,378€14,399m2,886€21,979m €100m +116€72,765m64€19,590m Total21,661€88,232m57,469€44,437m

Intra-EU Goods Trade 2010 Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Value of Intra-EU Goods Trade 2010 (excludes estimates) VAT number value size class 25 ExportsImports ClassVat numbers €mVat numbers €m <€100,000101€4m875€41m < €1m563€290m3,758€1,531m < €100m1,169€12,534m2,405€17,331m €100m +72€36,999m37€9,509m Total1,905€49,827m7,075€28,412m

Exports 2010: VAT numbers and Value Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November ClassVat numbers Exports €million Value per trader USA1,79620,761€11.6m Great Britain1,61111,977€7.4m Germany8355,948€7.1m France7984,391€5.5m Switzerland8003,557€4.4m Spain5903,306€5.6m Netherlands7563,015€4.0m Italy6062,626€4.3m China1,0042,494€2.5m

Exports of Goods to Poland and China Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November YearVat numbers ExportsVat numbers Exports PolandChina €279m560€639m €280m593€910m €400m599€875m €567m574€1,320m €723m494€1,609m €601m624€1,633m €558m748€1,672m

Non-EU Trade: Currency used in Trade with USA Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November FlowCurrency (to Sep) ImportsEuro16%9% Dollar81%88% Missing3% ExportsEuro12%6% Dollar88%94% Missing0%1%

Linking Business Statistics to trade Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011 Business data can be linked to External Trade data via the VAT number. The CSO Business Register contains a companies enterprise number and VAT number. Larger companies would be surveyed in the Census of Industrial production. This survey collects data on employment, turnover, etc. 29

Dissemination plans Enterprise Statistics Liaison Group November 2011  More web based dissemination  Allow users to make their own tables  Incorporate a business view of the data  Thematic reports (markets, products etc.)  Invoice currency Business view  Nationality of traders  Number of traders by market and commodity  Product diversification among traders  Linkage to PRODCOM and Census of Industrial Production  Linkage with Service Exports and Imports 30