Chapter 6: Some Continuous Probability Distributions:

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Presentation transcript:

Chapter 6: Some Continuous Probability Distributions: 6.1 Continuous Uniform distribution: (Rectangular Distribution) The probability density function of the continuous uniform random variable X on the interval [A, B] is given by: We write X~Uniform(A,B).

2 Theorem 6.1: The mean and the variance of the continuous uniform distribution on the interval [A, B] are: Example 6.1: Suppose that, for a certain company, the conference time, X, has a uniform distribution on the interval [0,4] (hours). (a)             What is the probability density function of X? (b)            What is the probability that any conference lasts at least 3 hours?

6.2 Normal Distribution: Solution: The normal distribution is one of the most important continuous distributions. Many measurable characteristics are normally or approximately normally distributed, such as, height and weight. The graph of the probability density function (pdf) of a normal distribution, called the normal curve, is a bell-shaped curve.

X ~ Normal(,) or X ~ N(,) The pdf of the normal distribution depends on two parameters: mean = E(X)=  and variance =Var(X) = 2. If the random variable X has a normal distribution with mean  and variance 2, we write: X ~ Normal(,) or X ~ N(,) The pdf of X ~ Normal(,) is given by: The location of the normal distribution depends on  and its shape depends on .   Suppose we have two normal distributions: _______ N(1, 1) ----------- N(2, 2) 1 < 2, 1=2

Some properties of the normal curve f(x) of N(,): 1 = 2, 1<2 1 < 2, 1<2 Some properties of the normal curve f(x) of N(,): 1.    f(x) is symmetric about the mean . 2.    f(x) has two points of inflection at x= . 3.    The total area under the curve of f(x) =1. 4.    The highest point of the curve of f(x) at the mean .

6.3 Areas Under the Normal Curve: Definition 6.1: The Standard Normal Distribution: The normal distribution with mean =0 and variance 2=1 is called the standard normal distribution and is denoted by Normal(0,1) or N(0,1). If the random variable Z has the standard normal distribution, we write Z~Normal(0,1) or Z~N(0,1). The pdf of Z~N(0,1) is given by:

The standard normal distribution, Z~N(0,1), is very important because probabilities of any normal distribution can be calculated from the probabilities of the standard normal distribution. Probabilities of the standard normal distribution Z~N(0,1) of the form P(Za) are tabulated (Table A.3, p681). P(Za) = = from the table

·     We can transfer any normal distribution X~N(,) to the standard normal distribution, Z~N(0,1) by using the following result. Result: If X~N(,), then Areas Under the Normal Curve of X~N(,) The probabilities of the normal distribution N(,) depends on  and .

Probabilities of Z~N(0,1): Suppose Z ~ N(0,1). P(Za) =From Table (A.3) P(Zb) = 1P(Zb) P(aZb) = P(Zb)P(Za) Note: P(Z=a)=0 for every a .

Example: Suppose Z~N(0,1). (1) P(Z1.50)=0.9332 0.00 0.01 … :  1.5  0.9332 (1) P(Z1.50)=0.9332 (2) P(Z0.98)=1P(Z0.98) =1  0.8365 = 0.1635 Z 0.00 … 0.08 :  0.9  0.8365 (3) P(1.33 Z2.42) = P(Z2.42) P(Z1.33) = 0.9922  0.0918 = 0.9004 Z … 0.02 0.03 :  1.3  0.0918 2.4 0.9922 (4) P(Z0)=P(Z 0)=0.5

Suppose Z~N(0,1). Find the value of k such that P(Zk)= 0.0207. Example: Z … 0.04 :  2.0  0.0207 Suppose Z~N(0,1). Find the value of k such that P(Zk)= 0.0207. Solution: .k = 2.04 Example 6.2: Reading assignment Example 6.3: Reading assignment Probabilities of X~N(,): Result: X ~N(,)

4) P(X=a)=0 for every a. 5) P(X) = P(X)=0.5 Example 6.4: Reading assignment Example 6.5: Reading assignment Example 6.6: Reading assignment

Example: Suppose that the hemoglobin level for healthy adults males has a normal distribution with mean =16 and variance 2=0.81 (standard deviation =0.9). (a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen healthy adult male has hemoglobin level less than 14. (b) What is the percentage of healthy adult males who have hemoglobin level less than 14? Solution: Let X = the hemoglobin level for a healthy adult male X ~ N(,)= N(16, 0.9). = P(Z 2.22)=0.0132 (a)

(b) The percentage of healthy adult males who have hemoglobin level less than 14 is P(X 14)  100% = 0.01320 100% =1.32% Therefore, 1.32% of healthy adult males have hemoglobin level less than 14. Example: Suppose that the birth weight of Saudi babies has a normal distribution with mean =3.4 and standard deviation =0.35. (a) Find the probability that a randomly chosen Saudi baby has a birth weight between 3.0 and 4.0 kg. (b) What is the percentage of Saudi babies who have a birth weight between 3.0 and 4.0 kg?

= P(Z1.71)  P(Z  1.14) = 0.9564  0.1271 = 0.8293 Solution: X = birth weight of a Saudi baby  = 3.4  = 0.35 (2 = 0.352 = 0.1225) X ~ N(3.4,0.35 ) (a) P(3.0<X<4.0)=P(X<4.0)P(X<3.0) = P(Z1.71)  P(Z  1.14) = 0.9564  0.1271 = 0.8293 (b) The percentage of Saudi babies who have a birth weight between 3.0 and 4.0 kg is P(3.0<X<4.0)  100%= 0.8293 100%= 82.93%

Notation: P(ZZA) = A Result: ZA =  Z1A Example: Z ~ N(0,1) P(ZZ0.025) = 0.025 P(ZZ0.95) = 0.95 P(ZZ0.90) = 0.90 Z0.025 = 1.96 Z0.95 = 1.645 Z0.90 = 1.285 Z … 0.06 :  1.9  0.975 P(ZZ0.025) = 0.025 Z0.025 = 1.96