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Lesson #15 The Normal Distribution. For a truly continuous random variable, P(X = c) = 0 for any value, c. Thus, we define probabilities only on intervals.

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Presentation on theme: "Lesson #15 The Normal Distribution. For a truly continuous random variable, P(X = c) = 0 for any value, c. Thus, we define probabilities only on intervals."— Presentation transcript:

1 Lesson #15 The Normal Distribution

2 For a truly continuous random variable, P(X = c) = 0 for any value, c. Thus, we define probabilities only on intervals. P(X < a) P(X > b) P(a < X < b)

3 f(x) is the probability density function, pdf. This gives the height of the “frequency curve”. Probabilities are areas under the frequency curve!

4 f(x) is the probability density function, pdf. This gives the height of the “frequency curve”. Probabilities are areas under the frequency curve! Remember this!!!

5 a b P(X < a) P(a < X < b) P(X > b) P(X < a) = P(X < a) = F(a) x f(x) P(X > b) = 1 - P(X < b) = 1 - F(b) P(a < X < b) = P(X < b) - P(X < a) = F(b) - F(a)

6 If X follows a Normal distribution, with parameters  and  2, we use the notation X ~ N( ,  2 ) E(X) =  Var(X) =  2

7 

8 A standard Normal distribution is one where  = 0 and  2 = 1. This is denoted by Z Z ~ N(  ) -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3

9 Table A.3 in the textbook gives upper-tail probabilities for a standard Normal distribution, and only for positive values of Z. -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 P(Z > 1)

10 Table C in the notebook gives cumulative probabilities, F(x), for a standard Normal distribution, for –3.89 < Z < 3.89. -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 P(Z < -1)

11 P(Z < 1.27) -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 1.27=.8980

12 P(Z < -0.43) -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -0.43=.3336 0.43= P(Z > 0.43)

13 P(Z > -0.22) -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -0.22 = 1 – P(Z < -0.22) = 1 –.4129 =.5871

14 P(-1.32 < Z < 0.16) -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 -1.32 =.5636 –.0934 =.4702 = P(Z < 0.16) - P(Z < -1.32) 0.16

15 Find c, so that P(Z < c) =.0505 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3.0505 c c = -1.64

16 Find c, so that P(Z < c) .9 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3.9 c c  1.28

17 Find c, so that P(Z > c) =.166 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3.166 c c = 0.97  P(Z < c) = 1 -.166 =.834.834

18 Z P is the point along the N(0,1) distribution that has cumulative probability p. -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 p ZPZP Z.0505 = -1.64 Z.9  1.28 Z.975 = 1.96


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