CSE 221: Probabilistic Analysis of Computer Systems Topics covered: Stochastic processes Bernoulli and Poisson processes (Sec. 6.1,6.3.,6.4)

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Presentation transcript:

CSE 221: Probabilistic Analysis of Computer Systems Topics covered: Stochastic processes Bernoulli and Poisson processes (Sec. 6.1,6.3.,6.4)

Introduction  Example: Count the number of cars in a service station, each time a car departs:  In between, two departures, some cars may arrive:  Family of random variables:

Introduction (contd..)  State space of the process:  Parameter index:

Classification of processes  Discrete vs. continuous state-space:  Discrete vs. continuous parameter space: :  Four types of processes:

Discrete-state, discrete-parameter process  Example: Number of cars in a service station, at the departure of each car.

Discrete-state, continuous-parameter process  Example: Number of cars in a service station at time t.

Continuous-state, discrete-parameter process  Example: Average waiting time for service, at the departure of each car.

Continuous-state, continuous-parameter process  Example: Total service time of all the cars in the system, at time t.

Bernoulli process  Sequence or a family of Bernoulli random variables:  Type:  Parameters:

Bernoulli process (contd..)  Random variable Yn – Number of successes in n trials:  Random variable Ti – Number of trials until the first success:

Poisson process  Count the number of event arrivals in an interval:  Successive occurrence of events:

Poisson process (contd..)  Superposition of Poisson processes:

Poisson process (contd..)  Decomposition of a Poisson process: