In the United States, 50% or more of the city, county and state government reporting is done by newspaper companies. If we go away, so does this reporting.

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Presentation transcript:

In the United States, 50% or more of the city, county and state government reporting is done by newspaper companies. If we go away, so does this reporting. Not good for democracy. 1

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3 Scarcity → Abundance

“We’re living in a world of infinite inventory. In that world, prices always trend toward zero, and that is our challenge.” ̶ Tony Haile Founder/CEO, Chartbeat 4

5 To win with advertising, you have to have scale.

6 Local news and information doesn’t scale in a way that digital advertising can sufficiently pay for newspaper newsrooms.

7 The Dallas Morning News newsroom is a $30 million enterprise. 5 billion ads served $6 average cpm = $30 million Last year we served 1.2 billion ads

8 Digital-only subscriptions do not appear to be a sufficient answer either. According to our respondents, 84% had a base of digital-only subscribers that was 15% or less of their paid print subscriber base.

Let’s use The Dallas Morning News to do the math on digital-only subscriptions: 250,000 paid print subscribers Charge $9.99/month to 15% of the subscriber base 37,500 digital-only subscribers $9.99/month 12 months = $4.5 million/year That’s 5.5% of The Dallas Morning News’ annual print circulation revenues. 9

Hold on! Mobile advertising revenue. Mobile audiences are growing like wildfire. That’s going to be the answer. 10

11 The good news: Look at these growth percentages! Paid CPM Paid CPM vs. Pr Yr Qtr $2.90+1% $2.80+7% $ % $3.44+8% Ad Revenue vs. Pr Yr Qtr Ad Imp vs. Pr Yr Qtr Sell Through Q %+67%+76% Q %+35%+80% Q %+19%+81% Q %+38%+76% The bad news: Look at these CPMs!!

Page views per month: 100,000,000 Ads per page: 1 Sell thru: 100% CPM: $3 Annual Revenue: $3.6 million That’s less than 2% of TDMN’s total revenue 12 Mobile Reality Check

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Step One: Establish a process for “sustaining innovation.” This is different from “disruptive innovation.” “Sustaining innovation” is the practice of improving or extending current products or launching new products you build yourself for the purpose of creating incremental revenues. 17

Step Two: It is not certain that you can outrun the pace of decline of revenue related to paid print volumes only by doing sustaining innovation. Establish a permanently staffed and funded business development unit to make acquisitions of additional channels of marketing. 18

Sustaining Innovation 19

Sustaining Innovation 20

Sustaining Innovation 21

Sustaining Innovation 22

Sustaining Innovation 23

Sustaining Innovation 24

Sustaining Innovation 25

Sustaining Innovation 26

Sustaining Innovation 27

Business Development 28

29 Diversification of Sources of Revenue 2010 to 2015

30 Composition of Revenue in 2010 and 2015 Declining Core Print Advertising Total 2010 % of total 46% 46% 2015 % of total 31% Sustaining (sort of) Niche Publications Circulation Commercial Print and Distribution Miscellaneous Total 11% 29% 5% 2% 47% 11% 30% 8% 3% 52% Total Revenue as Index10091CAGR-1.8% Growth Digital Advertising + Marketing Services Total 7% 17% Total Revenue100%

Pinky: “Gee Brain. What are we going to do tonight?” Brain: “The same thing we do every night, Pinky, try to take over the world.” 31

“Gee Jim. What are we going to do today?” “The same thing we do every day, Mike. Save democracy.” 32