An Introduction to Basic Macroeconomic Models

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Presentation transcript:

An Introduction to Basic Macroeconomic Models Chapter 9

Four Key Markets and the Circular Flow of Income

Four Key Markets Coordinate the Circular Flow of Income Goods and Services market Resource market Loanable Funds market Foreign Exchange market

Four Key Markets Goods and Services Market: Businesses supply goods & services in exchange for sales revenue. Households, investors, governments, and foreigners (net exports) demand goods. Resource Market: Highly aggregated market where business firms demand resources and households supply labor and other resources in exchange for income.

Four Key Markets Loanable Funds Market: Coordinates actions of borrowers and lenders. Foreign Exchange Market: Coordinates the actions of Americans that demand foreign currency (in order to buy things abroad) and foreigners that supply foreign currencies in exchange for dollars (so they can buy things from Americans).

The Circular Flow Diagram Four key markets coordinate the circular flow of income. The resource market coordinates the actions of businesses demanding resources and households supplying them in exchange for income. The goods & services market coordinates the demand for and supply of domestic production (GDP). The foreign exchange market brings the purchases (imports) from foreigners into balance with the sales (exports plus net inflow of capital) to them. The loanable funds market brings net household saving and the net inflow of foreign capital into balance with the borrowing of businesses and governments.

Goods & Services (real GDP) Aggregate Demand Curve Goods & Services (real GDP) Price Level AD A reduction in the price level will increase the quantity of goods & services demanded. P1 P2 Y1 Y2 As illustrated here, when the general price level in the economy declines from P1 to P2, the quantity of goods and services purchased will increase from Y1 to Y2.

Reasons AD Slopes Downward A fall in price level increase the real value of money savings which leads to more consumption. A fall in the price level causes the interest rate to fall which leads to more investment and consumption. A fall in the price level makes domestic goods more attractive relative to foreign goods which increases net exports.

Goods & Services (real GDP) Short-Run Aggregate Supply Curve Goods & Services (real GDP) Price Level SRAS (P100) P105 An increase in the price level will increase the quantity supplied in the short run. P100 P95 Y1 Y2 Y3

(full employment rate of output) Long-Run Aggregate Supply Curve Goods & Services (real GDP) Price Level LRAS YF (full employment rate of output) Change in price level does not affect quantity supplied in the long run. Potential GDP In the long-run, a higher price level will not expand an economy’s rate of output.

Questions for Thought: 1. What is the circular flow of income? What are the 4 key markets of the circular flow model? 2. Why is the aggregate demand curve for goods & services inversely related to the price level? What does this inverse relationship indicate? 3. What are the major factors that influence the quantity of goods & services a group of people can produce in the long run? Why is the long run aggregate supply curve (LRAS) vertical? What does the vertical shape indicate?

Questions for Thought: 4. Why does the short run aggregate supply (SRAS) curve slope upward to the right? What does the upward slope indicate? 5. If the prices of both (a) resources and (b) goods and services increase proportionally will business firms have a greater incentive to expand output? Why or why not?

Goods & Services (real GDP) Short-Run Equilibrium in the Goods and Services Market Price Level SRAS (P100) AD Intersection of AD and SRAS determines output. P Goods & Services (real GDP) Y Short-run equilibrium in the goods & services market occurs at the price level P where AD and SRAS intersect.

(full employment rate of output) Long-Run Equilibrium in the Goods and Services Market Price Level LRAS YF (full employment rate of output) SRAS100 Note, at this point, the quantity demanded just equals quantity supplied. P100 AD100 Goods & Services (real GDP) Y

The difference between the money (or nominal) interest rate and real interest rate is the inflationary premium. Real interest rate = Inflationary premium Money interest rate –

D2 D0 D1 Q1 Q0 Q2 Domestic saving Supply of loanable funds Interest Rate Domestic saving Loanable Funds market D2 Supply of loanable funds D1 Capital inflow r2 r0 r1 Capital outflow D0 Quantity of Funds Q1 Q0 Q2

Capital Inflow – Capital Outflow Imports + Capital Outflow = Exports Capital Inflow This relation can be re-written as: Imports = - Exports Capital Inflow – Capital Outflow The right side of this equation (capital inflow minus capital outflow) is called net capital inflow. Net capital inflow may be: positive, reflecting a net inflow of capital, or, negative, reflecting a net outflow of capital.

Net Foreign Investment as a % of GDP Trade Deficit as a % of GDP 5 % Net Foreign Investment as a % of GDP 4 % 3 % Net capital inflow as % of GDP 2 % 1 % 0 % -1 % -2 % 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 1 % Trade Deficit as a % of GDP 0 % -1 % Exports + imports as % of GDP -2 % -3 % -4 % -5 % 1973 1978 1983 1988 1993 1998 When the inflow of capital increases, the trade deficit widens.