Economic Data from the U.S. Census Bureau A Business Plan Case Study HI SDC and Affiliate Workshops February 23-27, 2015 Presented by: Andrew W. Hait U.S.

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Presentation transcript:

Economic Data from the U.S. Census Bureau A Business Plan Case Study HI SDC and Affiliate Workshops February 23-27, 2015 Presented by: Andrew W. Hait U.S. Census Bureau

Outline  Using Census Bureau Economic Programs Data To Better Understand  The target market of a proposed business  The local competition  The national industry 2

Sample Scenario: An entrepreneur is interested in opening a day care center in Honolulu County. She wants to know what information is available from the Census Bureau that may help her locate the business and better understand this industry. 3

Measuring the Need… The demographic data available from the ACS helps make the case for this type of business… 4 Hawaii Hawaii County, Hawaii Honolulu County, Hawaii Kauai County, Hawaii Maui County, Hawaii Total population 1,392, , ,372 68, ,226 Male 701, , , , , Female 691, , , , , Under 5 years 89, , , , , to 9 years 83, , , , , to 14 years 82, , , , , to 19 years 82, , , , , to 24 years 103, , , , , to 34 years 199, , , , ,

Getting Started What NAICS code covers this industry? What Census programs provide data for this industry? 5

What Programs Cover this Industry? 6

How Can I Get to the Data? 7

Tell Me About This Industry in Honolulu County… The County Business Patterns (CBP) program provides data that she can use to better understand this industry, her competition, and her potential market. 8

Child day care services (NAICS 6244) in Hawaii: 2012 Geographic area name Number of establish- ments Paid employees for pay period including March 12 (number) First- quarter payroll ($1,000) Annual payroll ($1,000) Paid employees per establish- ment Annual payroll per employee ($) Pop under 5 Pop per establish- ment Hawaii2332,65512,51250, ,15789, Hawaii County, Hawaii30e1,3224,871 11, Honolulu County, Hawaii1612,03910,07641, ,33362, Kauai County, Hawaii ,789818,2554, Maui County, Hawaii ,744713,00510,028346

How Is this Industry Performing Nationally? The Quarterly Services Survey (QSS) provides National-level data that she can use to measure changes in this industry and to better understand its seasonal fluctuations. 10

What About Data for My Local Area? The Economic Census (EC) provides place-level (and even ZIP Code-level) data (including Revenue data not available from CBP) that she can use to better understand her potential market and local competition. 12

Child day care services (NAICS 6244) in Honolulu County Places: 2007 Geographic area name Number of employer establishments Employer value of sales, shipments, receipts, revenue, or business done ($1,000) Annual payroll ($1,000) Number of paid employees for pay period including March 12 Honolulu CDP, Hawaii6338,48518, Kailua CDP (Honolulu County), Hawaii144,2781, Mililani Town CDP, Hawaii5DD20-99 Waimalu CDP, Hawaii7DD20-99 Waipahu CDP, Hawaii4DD20-99 Balance of Honolulu County, Hawaii22DD

I’ve Heard about Nonemployers… What are They? Nonemployers are businesses with no paid employees. Primarily independent contractors File IRS Form 1040 Schedule C Significant in number Significant in revenue in some industries 14

More Data… 15

Nonemployer Child day care services (NAICS 6244) in Hawaii: 2012 Geographic area name Number of nonemployer establishments Receipts ($1,000) Receipts per establishment ($) Hawaii1,10220,38718,500 Hawaii County, Hawaii2003,32616,630 Honolulu County, Hawaii66311,17516,855 Kauai County, Hawaii761,50519,803 Maui County, Hawaii1634,38126,877

What Services do Businesses in this Industry Provide? Data on products and services sold by businesses are available in the Product Lines data from Economic Census. Can be used in a business plan to identify the primary and secondary sources of sales of the business 17

18 Broad and Detailed Product Lines for Child day care services (NAICS 6244) in Hawaii: 2007 Meaning of Products and services code Number of establish ments Total sales, receipts, or revenue of establishments with the product line ($1,000) Receipts/ Revenue ($1,000) Sales, receipts, or revenue of product line as percent of total sales, receipts, or revenue of industry (%) Industry total202X83, Social assistance services for children, youth, & families13242,26635, Social assistance for families - Child day care services13242,26635, Social assistance for families - Other86, Pre-primary grade instructional programs4323,57320, Contributions, gifts, & grants - Government3325,10918, Contributions, gifts, & grants - Private1619,0914, All other revenue1415,5421,2631.5

How Big Should A Business Be? 19 The Economic Census includes data broken out by the sales and employment size of the business Can be used in a business plan to understand the size of a “typical” business in an industry Can also be used to forecast the future growth of a business to it’s most efficient size

20

21

Anything Else? 22 The Economic Census and the Survey of Business Owners publish detailed data that is tailored to specific industries Can be used to further understand the composition of an industry

23 Child day care services (NAICS 6244) in Hawaii by Tax Status: 2007 Geographic area nameMeaning of Type of operation or tax status code Number of employer establishm ents Employer value of sales, shipments, receipts, revenue, or business done ($1,000) Annual payroll ($1,000) Number of paid employees for pay period including March 12 HawaiiAll establishments20283,52740,8022,248 HawaiiEstablishments subject to federal income tax3012,6555, HawaiiEstablishments exempt from federal income tax17270,87234,8081,974 Hawaii County, HawaiiAll establishments28DDc Hawaii County, HawaiiEstablishments exempt from federal income tax23DDc Honolulu County, HawaiiAll establishments13969,40633,1421,765 Honolulu County, HawaiiEstablishments subject to federal income tax1810,3034, Honolulu County, HawaiiEstablishments exempt from federal income tax12159,10328,2731,558 Kauai County, HawaiiAll establishments12DDb Kauai County, HawaiiEstablishments exempt from federal income tax11DDb Maui County, HawaiiAll establishments23DDc Maui County, HawaiiEstablishments exempt from federal income tax17DDc

24 Child day care services (NAICS 6244) in Hawaii by Owner's Race or Gender: 2007 Meaning of Race code Number of firms with or without paid employees Sales, receipts, or value of shipments of firms with or without paid employees ($1,000) Number of firms with paid employees Sales, receipts, or value of shipments of firms with paid employees ($1,000) Number of paid employees for pay period including March 12 Annual payroll ($1,000 ) Number of firms without paid employees Sales, receipts, or value of shipments of firms without paid employees ($1,000) All firms 1,359117, ,7533,13556,9451,26319,438 White 53815,308178, , ,229 Asian 64010,7591DaD63910,614 Native Hawaiian 1972, ,774 Minority 91414,2291DaD91314,084 Nonminority 31212,110167, , ,176 Female-owned 97321,738167, , ,236 Publicly held and other firms not classifiable by gender, ethnicity, race, and veteran status 7889, ,6282,91453,04700

Visualizations? 25 The Industry Statistics Portal also provides access to visualization of selected economic data. Can be used in business plans and presentations

Is There an Easier Way to Get All This Great Information? 27 American FactFinder, the Industry Statistics Portal, and the other tools shown provide access all of these data, but can be hard to use… Enter Census Business Development Tool: Entrepreneur Edition …

Beta Tool: Entrepreneur Edition This tool provides easy access to key demographic and economic information from the U.S. Census Bureau and other sources that entrepreneurs can use in their business plans and to make informed decisions. The tool provides access to this information in 4 Easy Steps: Powered by the U.S. Census Bureau and Esri. For help using this tool, see the FAQs. For information about data from other Census programs, see Step 1: Select my Type of Business Step 2: Select the Area where I'm thinking about opening my business Step 3: Refine my business location using data Step 4: View and download a Profile of my Location and Type of Business

Beta Tool: Entrepreneur Edition Step 1: Select my Type of Business Step 2: Select the Geographic Area being considered Step 3: Refine my business location using data Step 4: View a Profile of my Location and Type of Business

Beta Tool : Entrepreneur Edition Step 1: Select my Type of Business Step 2: Select the Geographic Area being considered Step 3: Refine my business location using data Step 4: View a Profile of my Location and Type of Business

Beta Tool : Entrepreneur Edition Step 1: Select my Type of Business Step 2: Step 2: Select the Geographic Area being considered Step 3: Refine my business location using data Step 4: View a Profile of my Location and Type of Business No Map Parameters Selected Choose a location first

Beta Tool : Entrepreneur Edition Map Parameters: + My Customers + Demographic Characteristics + Total population + Population Population Economic Characteristics + Housing Characteristics + Other Businesses Like Mine + Consumer Spending Geographic Level Shown: County Place ZIP Code Tract (choose level) Step 1: Select my Type of Business Step 2: Select the Geographic Area being considered Step 3: Refine my business location using data Step 4: View a Profile of my Location and Type of Business Display Filter Austin, TX

Beta Tool : Entrepreneur Edition Map Parameters: + My Customers + Demographic Characteristics + Total population + Population Population Economic Characteristics + Housing Characteristics + Other Businesses Like Mine + Consumer Spending Geographic Level Shown: County Place ZIP Code Tract (choose level) Display Filter Austin, TX Display parameter: Total population Filter Parameter(s): None Step 1: Select my Type of Business Step 2: Select the Geographic Area being considered Step 3: Refine my business location using data Step 4: View a Profile of my Location and Type of Business

Beta Tool : Entrepreneur Edition Geographic Level Shown: County Place ZIP Code Tract (choose level) Display Filter Austin, TX Display parameter: Total population Filter Parameter(s): Median HH Income > $100,000 Step 1: Select my Type of Business Step 2: Select the Geographic Area being considered Step 3: Refine my business location using data Step 4: View a Profile of my Location and Type of Business

Beta Tool : Entrepreneur Edition Map Parameters: + My Customers + Demographic Characteristics + Total population + Population Population Economic Characteristics + Housing Characteristics + Other Businesses Like Mine + Consumer Spending Geographic Level Shown: County Place ZIP Code Tract (choose level) Display Filter Austin, TX Step 1: Select my Type of Business Step 2: Select the Geographic Area being considered Step 3: Refine my business location using data Step 4: View a Profile of my Location and Type of Business Display parameter: Total population Filter Parameter(s): Median HH Income > $100,000

CBDT Next Steps 37 Tool is scheduled for release on Business page on Census.gov in Late April/Early May 2015 Quarterly updates planned, with future versions adding in additional industries, data items, and functionality Will continue to collect feedback to inform later updates CBDT platform being leveraged to create Chamber of Commerce Edition (scheduled for beta release in August 2015)

Summary Economic Programs data from the Census Bureau can be an invaluable source of information in a business plan to measure:  The target market of a business  The overall health and composition of the industry and competing businesses  The impact of complementary businesses on the location of the business  The roll that business suppliers can have on the location of a business 38

Questions 39

Any other Questions: (301) Thank You! 40