Thermi-Comm Auburn University Thermionics Business Plan Russian Participants: Gleb Loukine Alexander Semenov Dmitry Stepennov Dmitry Polyakov Anatoly Yastrebkov U.S. Participants: David Albritton Brad Hinton Moussa Traore
Mission Analyze potential markets for thermionics (TI) –Space and terrestrial Investigate feasibility of thermionics in markets Financial viability of commercializing TI technology
Thermionic Technology Analysis of Satellite Market Terrestrial Applications Financial Analysis Conclusions and Recommendations Business Plan Outline
Solar TI System
Basic TI Principles HEAT OUT
TI on Boeing SOTV TI is the power technology of choice for the Boeing SOTV program –Produces power at low mass SOTV generates power & propulsion –Reflectors used to heat TI converters for electrical power
GeoStationary Satellites
Findings Identified 2 potential applications for TI power (1) Power for Geosynchronous communications satellites Lighter and less expensive than solar Doubles revenue-producing payload-mass savings in power and propellant (2) Emergency power for homes Gas fired appliances heat TI Currently too expensive to be viable
World Satellite Market
LEO and GEO markets totaled $21 billion in 1998 Projections call for this market to expand to $66 billion by 2004 Average annualized market growth rate of 26% $65 billion of backlog
World Satellite Market Digital TV and VSAT/Internet markets offer rapid growth Demand for Satellite Bandwidth is increasing by 26% a year
World Satellite Market Over 75% of satellites are manufactured in the United States by Loral & Hughes
World Satellite Market
Thermi-Comm Solar Panels (PV) is the current power system of choiceSolar Panels (PV) is the current power system of choice Thermionic (TI) power system under developmentThermionic (TI) power system under development TI is 55% lighter than PVTI is 55% lighter than PV Operates in all environments and can propel satellites into GEO by electric propulsionOperates in all environments and can propel satellites into GEO by electric propulsion
Solar Thermionics Payload TI is lighter and smaller than solar Payload doubles with TI 25 kW PV50 kW TI
Financial Impact of TI Double number of transponders in each payload Options: (1) Double the payload with the same number of launches (2) Reduce the number of launches by 50% Cost Reduction: ($500M to $1B) X 30 = up to $30B/year Multi-billion $ revenue opportunity
Financial Impact of TI
Strengths Existing Technology Plant/Equipment Availability Low Labor Costs Experience of Scientists Proximity to Moscow Weaknesses Processing Costs Availability of Capital Manufacturing Cycle Opportunities Growth in Demand for Satellites Inefficiency of Existing Systems $65 Billion Launch Backlog Emergence of New Applications Terrestrial Market Threats Political Risk Currency Risk Strength + Opportunity = Capability Weaknesses + Opportunity = Limitation SWOT Analysis
Projected Market Share 0 5% 10% 15% 20% 25%
Financial Projections
Capital Requirements Machinery $1,720,000 Labor $1,176,000 Materials $250,000 Administration $400,000 Total Capital Required (Year 1 to 3) $3,546,000
Conclusions TI offers potential for major market penetration Doubles payloads or halves number of launches TI provides higher power at lower weight TI provides doubling of revenue Thermi-Comm will become self-sustaining in 2003 Phase I: Thermi-Comm will employ 40 people in high tech, commercial careers Phase II: Thermi-Comm will employ over 80 technicians and scientists