Momentum of Population: Time and Scale The future of countries’ population size, depending on three scenarios of fertility decline to replacement level Matthew Hamilton, MS, MPH Venture Strategies for Health and Development Berkeley, California March 18, 2011
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.7 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.8 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 11% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.6 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 30% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 4 (2007) Unmet need for family planning: 22.8 (2007) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 6.0 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 29% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 4.7 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 20% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 1.5 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 2.3% (2003) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 6% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 6.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 24.4% (2007) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 3.0 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 11% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 34% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.3 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 4.0 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 34% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 4.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 28% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 2.6 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 13% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 9% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 3.8 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 12% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 4.6 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 24% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 6.0 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 27% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 6.6 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 29% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 2.2 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 12.0% (2006) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 11% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.1 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 19% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 2.5 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 15% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 7.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 16% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.7 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 17% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 4.0 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 33% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 3.2 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 17% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 38% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 4.9 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 31% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 2.4 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 15% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.6 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 22% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 6.5 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 41% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 3.82 (2006) Unmet need for family planning: 21.2% (2006) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 5.5 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 51% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 6.2 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 28% (2008) 2010, current population size
The year in which a country reaches replacement level fertility has a major impact on its ultimate population size. Total fertility rate: 3.7 (2010) Unmet need for family planning: 13% (2008) 2010, current population size