Outlook for Housing & Community Development Funding Douglas Rice COSCDA, March 17, 2015.

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Presentation transcript:

Outlook for Housing & Community Development Funding Douglas Rice COSCDA, March 17, 2015

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Three Waves of Cuts in HUD Housing/CD Programs Source: CBPP analysis of OMB data. Figure for 2016 represents the President’s budget request. Change in discretionary housing assistance and community development funding relative to 2010, adjusted for inflation

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Deepest Cuts in Public Housing, Block Grants Source: CBPP analysis of OMB data. Change in funding in 2015, relative to 2010, adjusted for inflation

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Sequestration’s toll: 100,000 fewer families using housing vouchers Source: CBPP analysis of HUD data. Figures do not include new tenant protection or VASH vouchers awarded in FY 2013 or 2014.

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities President’s 2016 Budget: HOME & CDBG HOME: $1.06 billion, $160 million over 2015 CDBG: $2.8 billion for formula grants, $200 million less than in 2015

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities President’s 2016 Budget: Homeless Grants McKinney: $2.48 billion, including $250 million for ESG, $345 million over 2015 Increase would fund 25,500 new supportive housing units for chronically homeless individuals and families HOPWA: $332 million, $2 million above 2015

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities President’s 2016 Budget: Housing Vouchers Includes full renewal funding, assuming restoration of ~30,000 vouchers in 2015 Restores remaining 67,000 vouchers cut under sequestration; 30,000 of these vouchers targeted on urgent needs Increases admin fee funding by 32%

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities President’s restoration voucher proposal $277M for 37,000 vouchers distributed based on “relative need” $177M for 22,500 vouchers for homeless families, veterans, and tribal families, and victims of domestic/dating violence $37.5M for 4,900 vouchers for DV victims fleeing assisted housing (to implement emergency transfer provisions of VAWA) $20M for 2,600 Family Unification Program vouchers

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities cbpp.org Budget Authority for Major HUD Programs 2014 Enacted 2015 EnactedPresident 2016 Section 8 TBRA $ 19,177,218,000 $ 19,304,160,000 $ 21,123,496,210 renewals $ 17,365,527,000 $ 17,486,000,000 $ 18,333,816,000 admin $ 1,500,000,000 $ 1,530,000,000 $ 2,020,037,000 Section 8 PBRA $ 9,916,628,000 $ 9,730,000,000 $ 10,760,000,000 Public Housing Capital $ 1,875,000,000 $ 1,970,000,000 Public Housing Operating $ 4,400,000,000 $ 4,440,000,000 $ 4,600,000,000 Homeless Assistance $ 2,105,000,000 $ 2,135,000,000 $ 2,480,000,000 Section 202 elderly $ 383,500,000 $ 420,000,000 $ 455,000,000 Section 811 people with disabilities $ 126,000,000 $ 135,000,000 $ 177,000,000 HOME $ 1,000,000,000 $ 900,000,000 $ 1,060,000,000 CDBG formula $ 3,030,000,000 $ 3,000,000,000 $ 2,800,000,000

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Outlook for House/Senate 2016 HUD Bills Under BCA, NDD spending cap for 2016 is flat; but there will be no large across-the- board funding cuts as in 2013 House/Senate likely to adhere to current NDD cap, at best THUD subcommittees committed to renewing rental assistance for all current families; could require +$2 billion in 2016 House/Senate THUD bills will be austere – but this may not be the end of the story

Center on Budget and Policy Priorities Will there be a budget deal? Lots of moving pieces, e.g., debt ceiling, SCOTUS decision on ACA, tax/entitlement changes, as well as BCA spending caps There will be a budget deal (in the fall?); scope/content uncertain – but raising NDD cap is one of the President’s primary goals Final 2016 funding levels in THUD & other appropriations bills could be affected by the outcome of this negotiation.