Weekly Weather Briefing 08/04/2011 www.srh.noaa.gov/shv/briefing Matthew Duplantis Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.

Slides:



Advertisements
Similar presentations
Drought Update; What’s in Store for 2012 LCRA Firm Water Customer Meeting January 26, 2011 Bob Rose, LCRA Chief Meteorologist.
Advertisements

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE – GRAND FORKS DROUGHT SUMMARY FOR NORTHWEST MINNESOTA MN DROUGHT TASK FORCE CONFERENCE CALL – AUGUST 2, 2012 Brad Bramer – Science.
2014 Summer Weather Outlook Temperatures, Precipitation, Drought, and Hurricanes.
Met Brief, Lenny Pfister Nick Heath. Weather today/yesterday.
Special Winter Weather Briefing 1/9/2010 slides: Keith Stellman National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
FACTORS INFLUENCING CLIMATE
Weather Conditions New Orleans March 31, Current Conditions  Temperature-74°  Humidity-72%  Wind-From East, Southeast 17mph to 26mph gusts 
Weather Briefing Tuesday, April 18, 2006 INTEX-B Forecasts looking out to Wed-Sat (Apr 19-22) Prepared by Jennie Moody (UVA) and Mike Porter (FSU)
Matt Masek NWS Meteorologist, WFO North Platte, NE May 25, 2011.
Shanese Breitkreitz. Meaning – La Nina  The little girl  El Viejo – Old Man  A cold event  A cold episode.
National Weather Service Baltimore MD/Washington DC National Weather Service Weekly Weather Highlights National Weather Service Baltimore/Washington Weather.
Hazardous Weather Ahead and Outlook for Winter Dave Reynolds -MTR Dan Keeton - STO Meteorologists in Charge weather.gov/SanFrancisco or /Sacramento.
Hazardous Weather Ahead and Outlook for Winter Dave Reynolds -MTR Dan Keeton - STO Meteorologists in Charge weather.gov/SanFrancisco or /Sacramento.
Goulburn-Murray Water Meeting of 16 th December 2002, TATURA Briefing on Current Climate Conditions and Outlook Dr Harvey Stern (Climate and Consultancy,
FACTORS INFLUENCING CLIMATE
National Integrated Drought Information System Drought Early Warning for the Apalachicola- Chattahoochee-Flint River Basin 16 June 2015.
Eastern Great Basin July – October, 2014 Fire Potential Outlook Shelby Law EGBCC Predictive Services Meteorologist.
GROUP # 5 UPDATED 02/20/07 Faye Barthold Michelle Benny Ting Sun.
The May-June-July 2013 Climate and Drought Outlook for Colorado Including a Review of Recent Weather, Snowpack and Recent Weather, Snowpack and Drought.
Idaho Weather and Climate Outlook IDWR Briefing, February 14, 2014 Temperature and Precipitation Summary Snowpack Forecast for next 7 days 3 Month Outlook.
Making Connections Chapter 12
2015 Summer Weather Outlook Temperatures, Precipitation, Drought, and Hurricanes.
2014 Fire Season Considerations and Outlook SWCC Predictive Services Updated May 13, 2014.
MONDAY 1/3/11 TUESDAY 1/4/11 WEDNESDAY 1/5/11 THURSDAY 1/6/11 FRIDAY 1/7/11 Mostly Sunny/Windy Mostly SunnyMostly Sunny/WindyMostly Cloudy Overcast/Snow.
Week in Review 8/28/13 to 9/4/13 John Cassano. Weather Situation – Strong upper level ridge over central US – Jet stream well north of US – Weak frontal.
U. S. Drought 2012+World Allen Motew Director QT Weather QT Information Systems, Inc. Chicago Board of Trade Weather.
Hurricane Ike 0800L 11 Sept 2008 Dan Petersen NOAA Meteorologist.
Special Winter Weather Briefing 2/3/2011 – 4 PM slides: Keith Stellman National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
July 25, 2001 presents “Past, Present, and Future” Ed Kieser.
NWS Peachtree City, Georgia June 2, 2016June 2, 2016June 2, 2016.
Idaho Weather, Climate and Water Supply Outlook IDWR Briefing, Jan 13 th 2011 Jay Breidenbach, NOAA National Weather Service Snow Accumulation Movie Temperature.
Travis D. Miller Department of Soil and Crop Sciences Texas AgriLife Extension Service The 2011 drought situation: July, 2011 Travis D. Miller Professor,
The 2011 Summer Heat Wave and Drought: A Recap and the Winter Outlook Jason Hansford Senior Forecaster National Weather Service Forecast Office Shreveport,
2013 Drought and Seasonal Temperature and Precipitation Outlook for the Ark-La-Tex Region Jason Hansford Senior Meteorologist National Weather Service.
Special Weather Briefing 1/28/2013 Bill Parker Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
Seasonal Outlook Long Range Forecast
Met Brief, Lenny Pfister, Nick Heath, and SEAC4RS met team Convection location and timing for Wednesday Conditions in SEUS Wednesday and Friday.
By Matt Masek March 22, Outline Review of 2011 – 2012 Winter Role of La Niña and Arctic Oscillation Spring Outlook One month (April) outlook Three.
Flight Planning Smoke/Aerosol Outlook SEAC4RS 2013 Prepared: 08/17/ hours CDT (13:00Z) Forecast period: Monday (8/19) David Peterson Marine Meteorology.
Weekly Weather Briefing 12/11/ Bill Parker Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
Weather Outlook El Nino effects: Jet Stream shifts southward and across southern California Alex Tardy – NWS San Diego – November 16, 2015.
Weekly Weather Briefing 12/08/ Jeff Hood Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
2015 Fire Season Considerations and Outlook SWCC Predictive Services Updated May 18, 2015.
Weekly Weather Briefing 12/06/2012 ( Decision Support Services) Matthew Duplantis Meteorologist National Weather Service.
The Winter Winter Recap and Spring Outlook Jason Hansford Senior Forecaster National Weather Service Forecast Office Shreveport, LA.
1 The Asian-Australian Monsoon System: Recent Evolution, Current Status and Prediction Update prepared by Climate Prediction Center / NCEP June 22, 2015.
Briefing, , conditions Monday/Tuesday Aug 5/6 Chance of some thin cirrus off NORCAL coast today Models have backed off on the cirrus forecast for.
Winter/Spring Outlook Derrick Weitlich National Weather Service Melbourne Central Florida Prescribed Fire Council Annual Meeting September 25,
Weekly Weather Briefing 10/06/ Matthew Duplantis Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
Weather Forecasts Prepared by Claudia Doria and Terra Myers.
 Abnormally high surface ocean temperatures off the coast of South America  Causes unusual weather patterns across the globe El Nino.
Special Winter Weather Briefing 2/3/2011 slides: Keith Stellman National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
Met Brief, Lenny Pfister Nick Heath. Outline Tomorrow’s flight – Convection – Surface temperatures – Convective outflow Friday’s flight – East.
Flight Planning Smoke/Aerosol Outlook SEAC4RS 2013 Prepared: 08/08/ hours PDT (21:00Z) Forecast period: Thursday (8/8) - Monday (8/12) David Peterson.
Weekly Weather Briefing 09/08/ Matthew Duplantis Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
Flight Planning Smoke/Aerosol Outlook SEAC4RS 2013 Prepared: 08/10/ hours PDT (22:00Z) Forecast period: Monday (8/12) David Peterson Marine Meteorology.
Special Winter Weather Briefing 2/11/ Keith Stellman Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport,
Special Weather Briefing Isaac 530 PM - 08/29/ Keith Stellman Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
Climate Prediction and Products Breakout CTB Meeting November 10, 2015.
Weekly Weather Briefing 4/4/ Bill Parker Warning Coordination Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana.
John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service
John Lewis, Senior Forecaster National Weather Service
Summer and fall Weather outlook
National Weather Service Weather Forecast Office Mobile - Pensacola
Southern Company Winter Outlook
Southern Company Winter Outlook
Chapter 14: Section ). You will be able to define what an el niño and la niña Event is. 2). You should be able to explain what causes el niño.
Short term Climate change
Climate Changes due to Natural Processes
Winter/Spring Outlook:
Presentation transcript:

Weekly Weather Briefing 08/04/ Matthew Duplantis Meteorologist National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana

Overview Today and Friday Today and Friday Forecast Highs today would break record highs at all major climatological sites in our area! Forecast Highs today would break record highs at all major climatological sites in our area! Excessive Heat Warning in effect through Friday evening Excessive Heat Warning in effect through Friday evening Heat Emergency continues through today for entire four state area… Heat Emergency continues through today for entire four state area… Weekend Weekend Extreme Heat continues…but temperatures will be relatively cooler than the end of this week. Extreme Heat continues…but temperatures will be relatively cooler than the end of this week. Very weak chances of precipitation… Very weak chances of precipitation… Monday through Wednesday Monday through Wednesday High pressure ridge shifts slightly west back into central Texas. High pressure ridge shifts slightly west back into central Texas. High temperatures slowly cooling back closer to 100 by the end of the period. High temperatures slowly cooling back closer to 100 by the end of the period. Very slight chances for precipitation… Very slight chances for precipitation… National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana

Currently Emily

Today (Thursday) Forecast Records

Friday Ridge remains centered over Arklatex Ridge remains centered over Arklatex Smothering heat continues… Smothering heat continues…

Friday Forecast Highs Friday Forecast Highs

Weekend Upper ridge shifts slightly to the west…back towards central Texas… Upper ridge shifts slightly to the west…back towards central Texas… Temperatures are relatively cooler than this week…but still very hot… Temperatures are relatively cooler than this week…but still very hot…

Forecast Precip Total for Next 5 Days Virtually NIL for the entire 4 state area… Virtually NIL for the entire 4 state area… No relief through the beginning of next week! No relief through the beginning of next week!

Wednesday Upper ridge shifts further west to west Texas… Upper ridge shifts further west to west Texas… Could see some increased chances for precipitation with weak northwest flow… Could see some increased chances for precipitation with weak northwest flow…

Tropics

Ongoing Drought Much of Northwest and North-central Louisiana remains under D3-D4 drought conditions. Much of Northwest and North-central Louisiana remains under D3-D4 drought conditions. Improvements in South LA are why numbers are improving. Improvements in South LA are why numbers are improving.

Ongoing Drought Much of east Texas along/south of I-20 under D3-D4 drought conditions. Much of east Texas along/south of I-20 under D3-D4 drought conditions.

Ongoing Drought All of Southern Arkansas under D2-D3 drought conditions. All of Southern Arkansas under D2-D3 drought conditions.

Temperature Outlook (1 Month) Not looking good…

Heat Facts 100 Degree Facts as of 08/04/2011 (contingent) 100 Degree Facts as of 08/04/2011 (contingent) 38 consecutive days of 100+ degrees in Tyler 38 consecutive days of 100+ degrees in Tyler 50 days of 100+ for Tyler this summer 50 days of 100+ for Tyler this summer 42 days of 100+ for Longview this summer 42 days of 100+ for Longview this summer 33 days of 100+ for Shreveport this summer 33 days of 100+ for Shreveport this summer All time records (F°) All time records (F°) Texarkana – 117 (08/10/1936) Texarkana – 117 (08/10/1936) Longview – 113 (08/10/1936) Longview – 113 (08/10/1936) El Dorado – 112 (08/10/1936, 08/31/2000) El Dorado – 112 (08/10/1936, 08/31/2000) Tyler – 111 (07/31/1921) ** Tyler – 111 (07/31/1921) ** Lufkin – 110 (08/19/1909, 09/04/2000) Lufkin – 110 (08/19/1909, 09/04/2000) Shreveport – 110 (08/18/1909) ** Shreveport – 110 (08/18/1909) ** Monroe – 108 (06/21/1931, 07/29/1930, 08/09/1935) ** Monroe – 108 (06/21/1931, 07/29/1930, 08/09/1935) ** ** Forecast today will come very close to these values ** ** Forecast today will come very close to these values **

Yesterday’s Records New Records set…some shattered… New Records set…some shattered… LOCATIONNEWOLDDIFFERENCE Longview110 (2011)105 (1937) +5 Shreveport109 (2011)104 (2008) +5 El Dorado108 (2011)104 (2008) +4 Texarkana111 (2011)108 (1896) +3 Tyler110 (2011)107 (1998) +3 Monroe107 (2011)105 (2010) +2 Lufkin106 (2011)105 (1998) +1

NEXT CONFERENCE CALL: Thursday Aug 11, AM National Weather Service Shreveport, Louisiana