Palestinians After Reconciliation Khalil Shikaki Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research June2014.

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Presentation transcript:

Palestinians After Reconciliation Khalil Shikaki Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research June2014

Data Poll conducted between 5 and 7 June 2014 Representative sample of 1270 respondents In the West Bank, Gaza Strip, and East Jerusalem Face to face interviews Margin of error is 3%

Implications for the peace process Majority in sees reconciliation not closing door to negotiations Majority wants conciliation government to accept international conditions Majority believes Hamas indirectly accepts international conditions when joining the PLO Disarming factions in the Gaza Strip

Reconciliation Aftermath: implications for the peace process

Reconciliation Aftermath: implications for the peace process– Disarm factions in Gaza

Implications for the two-state solution West Bankers support two-state solution, not Gazans All view it as impractical All reject one-state solution

Reconciliation Aftermath: implications for two-state solution

Implications for Palestinian options Majority supports joining international organizations Majority supports non violence Majority opposes return to armed intifada Majority opposes dissolution of the PA

Reconciliation Aftermath: implications for Palestinian options

Implications for Plan B– Going international An overwhelming majority favors going to the ICC even if leads to PA collapse Majority opposes UNSC imposing borders on two sides Majority opposes UN trusteeship on WBGS Majority does not believe the international community will impose sanctions on Israel even if occupation lasts much longer

Reconciliation Aftermath: implications for Plan B– going international