African Small and Medium Enterprises Fund of Funds.

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Presentation transcript:

African Small and Medium Enterprises Fund of Funds

Opportunities Institutional investors need impact investing options Funds targeting SMEs can’t close –Too small for institutional investors (~$50mm) –Not diversified –Difficult fund manager selection process Proposal Propose a Fund of Funds comprised of a diverse set of –5-7 SME-focused funds –with a target IRR of 12-15% –over 10-year fund life Market Opportunity

Financial elite –Large corps. with low job creation –Risk exposure to the rest of the global economy Small middle class –Private sector SMEs a major untapped source of job growth –Estimated $160B financing gap (McKinsey) –No collateral or access to liquid private equity Micro-entrepreneurs –Low-profit, not scalable –Not every ME wants to be one –Served by microfinance Financial elite Middle class Micro-entrepreneurs, poor, extreme poor Why SMEs in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA)? Development hypothesis: grow middle class

Investment Opportunity Expansion Performance Recession Performance Weak Strong US Gov. Bonds Highly Rated Corp. Bonds High Yield Corp. Bonds Equities African SME PE Fund of Funds

Fund Manager Selection Qualitative Assessment: Best-in-class defined by “African competency” – not “VC mindset” Quantitative Performance Metrics: FOF looks for “preferred” performance characteristics Portfolio Fit: Fund’s strategy and risk/return must fit within existing portfolio African experience Business, financial models rooted in African realities Length and breadth of experience UNEP PRI, IFC Perf. Std. understanding Cultural know-how including techniques to reduce risk and promote ethics Return history Length of track record Asset class experience – SME scaling, mid cap Management controls Maintain SME-focus Preference to S/H loan/equity with royalty feature Little geographic or sector overlap Uncorrelated industries less susceptible to corruption / regional risk E.g., SEAF was co-founded by a lawyer and an aid worker with degrees in French literature – no prior investment experience.

Fund Manager Due Diligence Due Diligence Process 1. Initial interest in strategy 2. Analyze fund (or company) track record 3. Full documentation review 4. In-depth manager review 5. Manager due diligence write-up 6. Investment committee approval In-depth manager review is focused on six critical areas: Reputation and character Investment process and risk management Administrative and internal controls Reporting and transparency Industry and country knowledge Social value orientation

Fund of Funds Structure Proposal: US$500mm FOF Target return: 12-15% FOF life: 10 years (with 2-year extension option) Number of funds: 5-7 (open or closed-end) (each fund makes investments) FOF management fee: 0.25% (taken out of fund’s management fee) Target fund portfolio investment size: $500k - $5mm in SMEs with $2-$10mm annual revenue No fund more than 30% of total allocation Institutional Investors Fund of Funds SME Funds Equity Target return: 12-15%

Target Fund Deal Structure FOF prefers funds that: provide 3-6 year financing to SMEs for working capital or capex provide technical assistance to Investees provide for tag-along and claw-back rights to ensure pari passu gains in case of non-MBO exit. provide for co-investment rights to FOF Investors provide follow-on loans to Investees make investments of $500k - $5mm in SMEs with $2-$10mm annual revenue minimize equity exposure risk through shareholder loans with a revenue-based royalty feature

Goal Decrease risk and return gap –Perceived risk of 40-50% with expected returns of 0-5% –FOF aims for 12-15% return on estimated 20-30% risk Financing Model Parameters Equity value around 2X sales Invest in small amounts of equity, 10-20% Provide shareholder loans at 4-8% interest Determine exit multiple, usually 3X Receive MBO payments through royalties on sales, 5- 10%, greater of actual or forecasted Increased predictability does not leave out high upside expectations Preferred Financing Model

Yr 1Yr 2Yr 3Yr 4Yr 5Yr 6 Comments Sales2,5003,0003,6004,3205,1846,221 Assume 20% y-o-y growth Royalty (%)6% Percent in the 5-10% range Royalty ($) Total equals $1500 target Principle pmts Four year payback Interest pmt Six percent interest Net Sales2,2902,5183,0973,7884,6155,848 Remainder for expenses, RE Equity Value5000S/H Loan amt1000 IRR on Shareholder Loan5% Inv. Equity Stake (%)10%Interest rate6% IRR on Royalty Payments36% Inv. Equity Stake ($)500 Blended IRR15% Required multiple3 Desired exit amt1500 Financing Example Example companies: poultry, juice concentrate, website design, high-tension wire, cement, auto parts, apparel, transportation services

Sub-Saharan Africa is a high-risk region Volatile country and local politics High sovereign risk Economic and business regulations need improvement Judicial systems unfavorable (contract law, legal rights of shareholders) SMEs are a high-risk asset class Fund Investees typically need technical assistance, capacity building expertise Little additional institutional support No data is available: private equity, low information context Risks FOF diversifies across geographies, industries, market capitalization, and fund managers. Most risks are idiosyncratic.

The African SME Fund of Funds limits the number of underlying funds Strategy Focus Permits intensive monitoring approach: A smaller number of underlying funds allows FOF to closely monitor performance of specific investment strategies, strategy development, changes in risk tolerance, social objectives, ESG issue adherence, etc. Preserves best-of-the-best SME deal flow: Underlying funds should not overlap geographies and sectors, identifying only the best, un-tapped investments within their investment strategy. FOF Monitoring Effort Portfolio risk review Macro, political monitoring Manager performance review UNEP SRI, IFC Perf. Stds. review On-the- ground network Field visits, regular dialogue with managers Periodic GIIRS fund impact rating

Jobs growth (increased, stable incomes) Educate management on best business practices Encourage African-to- African trade and export Economic multiplication effects Formalize economies Economic diversification Institutional and governmental reform pressure Tax payments Demonstration effects to future SME funding, FDI inflows The Impact in Impact Investing

SME fund size too small Fund of funds model scales and shares investment SME funds currently risky due to high equity exposure Target SME funds that minimize equity exposure through shareholder loans Private equity is an illiquid market Royalty feature builds in liquidity event, MBO exit Geo-political risks can be devastating FOF diversifies across countries, industries, fund managers, and market caps Solutions and Benefits Additional benefits Low correlation to traditional investment options Additional equity exposure in high growth region Create wealth for investors and African communities

Inst. Investors, IFIs, DFIs, Dev. Agencies, Regl, Natl Dev. Bank, Corporations Foundations African SME Fund of Funds Equity Grant Proceeds Equity Proceeds for TA Social Value Proceeds Equity Mgmt fees Mgmt African SME FOF Managers EASMEF MCAG SAGE AIF HOT FOF Structure and Flow

AllocationTarget Investment Fund NameProfile, reasoningIndustryGeographySME Investee Profile Target returns 10%$50mmEast Africa SME Fund Serve growing middle class Agribusiness, Energy East Africa3+ year track record, 1- 5mm rev 12-15% 30%$150mmMid Cap Africa Growth Weathered global financial crisis better than most, current equity values depressed Manufacturing, Retail, CPG Southern Africa5+ year track record, 5- 10mm rev 12-18% 30%$150mmSouth Africa Growth Equity High growth gazelles, high job creation, capturing entrepreneurial talent in lower-risk countries Technology, Consulting South Africa1+ year track record, some seed funding 12-15% 25%$125mmAfrica Infrastructure Fund Small scale infrastructure developments, improve trade and quality of life Industrial Infrastructure, Construction Materials Western and Southern Africa 3+ year track record 8-10% 5%$25mmHealthcare Opportunity Trust Fast-growing industry, increasingly private HealthcareEast Africa1+ year track records, 1- 5mm rev 8-12% African SME FOF Illustrative Portfolio

Year 1Year 2Year 3Year 4Year 5Year 6Year 7Year 8Year 9Year 10 Dividends $1.7 $5.3 $9.4 $14.1 $19.6 $24.2 $26.1 $24.5 $17.9 $9.3 Revenues $- $40.59 $ $ $ $ Fund Mgmt Fees $(10.0) Capital Calls $(50.0) $(100.0) $(50.0) $- Net Cash Flow $(58.3) $(104.8) $(100.6) $(95.9) $(90.4) $4.7 $147.6 $261.8 $278.6 $155.7 IRR:12.38% Cash-on-cash:1.80 Duration (years):5.52 FOF Financials