© Vattenfall AB SEEF: Svensk och finsk kärnkraft mm Göran Lundgren, Vattenfall Elproduktion Norden 2007-12-12.

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Presentation transcript:

© Vattenfall AB SEEF: Svensk och finsk kärnkraft mm Göran Lundgren, Vattenfall Elproduktion Norden

© Vattenfall AB 2 Sweden 23,3 TWh Wind5,5 Hydro1,7 Nuclear power upgrading9,0 Natural gas CHP*2,0 Biofuel CHP* 5,1 Decommissioning of nuclear units 0 Changes in Base Power 2007 – 2015 (LPP 2007) Denmark -5,6 TWh Wind 2,7 Decommissioning of coal condensing units -11,9 CHP, condensing 3,6 Finland 11,4 TWh Wind0,3 Hydro0,3 CHP*3,7 Nuclear 12,0 Decommissioning of coal condensing units -4,9 Norway 18,0 TWh Wind 3,5 Natural gas 8,7 Hydro 5,8 47,1 TWh * CHP and back-pressure generation Increased electricity use 19,7 TWh

© Vattenfall AB 3 Sweden -15,2 TWh Wind3,0 Hydro1,5 Nuclear power upgrading0 Natural gas CHP*0,2 Biofuel CHP* 2,5 Decommissioning of nuclear units -22,4 Changes in Base Power 2016 – 2030 (LPP 2007) Denmark 0,7 TWh Wind 3,0 CHP*7,0 Decommissioning of coal condensing units -9,3 Finland 9,5 TWh Wind1,0 Hydro1,1 CHP*5,5 Nuclear (12,5-4,2) 8,3 Decommissioning of coal condensing units -6,4 Norway 8,8 TWh Wind 3,0 Natural gas 2,8 Hydro 3,0 3,8 TWh * CHP and back-pressure generation Increased electricity use 10,9 TWh

© Vattenfall AB 4 Sweden 7,2 TWh Wind3,0 Hydro1,5 Nuclear power upgrading0 Natural gas CHP*0,2 Biofuel CHP* 2,5 Decommissioning of nuclear units 0 Changes in Base Power 2016 – 2030 (nuclear 60 years) (LPP 2007) Denmark 0,7 TWh Wind 3,0 CHP*7,0 Decommissioning of coal condensing units -9,3 Finland 13,7 TWh Wind1,0 Hydro1,1 CHP*5,5 Nuclear 12,5 Decommissioning of coal condensing units -6,4 Norway 8,8 TWh Wind 3,0 Natural gas 2,8 Hydro 3,0 30,4 TWh * CHP and back-pressure generation Increased electricity use 10,9 TWh

© Vattenfall AB 5 Generation capacity and consumption in the Nordic countries (LPP 2007) The generation capacity does not include the contracted import from Russia and Estonia, about TWh/year, and export to other countries.

© Vattenfall AB 6 EME Analys: ”Varför är svenskar så mycket sämre än finnar på att köra kärnkraft verk?”

© Vattenfall AB 7 ”Produktionsutnyttjande 94% vs 81%” Marknad, produktionsmiljö Teknik Perkele

© Vattenfall AB 8

9 Findings of a broad selection of studies evaluating the competition of the Nordic electricity market Author or PublicationDateFindings Hjalmarsson E1999No market power abuse neither in short nor long run. SOU (Public Investigation)2002Price formation working well. Nordic Comp. Authorities2003 Price formation working well, some worries of high static concentration levels SOU (Public Investigation)2004Price formation works well SOU (Public Investigation)2005Price formation works well, no sign of abuse of market power Konkurrencestyrelsen2005Elsam has used market power to raise prices in Jutland in 2003 and 2004 Damsgard N. & R. Green2005No findings of market power abuse Bergman2005No findings of market power abuse Energy Markets Inspectorate2006Price development explained by market fundamentals European Commission (a)2007The Nordic market is working well European Commission (b)2007 Nordic market is working well, concentration remains an issue to be monitored Bask, Rudholm & Lundgren2007Reduction of market power with integration Nordic Competition Authorities2007 Price formation working well, some worries of high static concentration levels Swedish Competition Authority2007 Price formation working well. Structural changes could enhance competitive possibilities

© Vattenfall AB 10 Vi drar absolut inte ner produktion för att hålla priset uppe eller manipulera marknaden !