The Perfect Storm Great Recession Aging Population Unprepared Workforce Upskilling of Jobs

1 | The Great Recession Global economy in throes of worst economic storm in century Jobs in jeopardy Slow, faltering recovery Governments in record debt

2 | Aging Population Declining birth rate since 1967 Later marriage & fewer children Boomers retiring ( in 2012) Growing concern: dependency ratio Immigration cannot offset natural decline

% of Canadians Between Source: Russell Barnett, Bank of Canada Review, Summer 2007, p.7

Dependency Ratio Rick Miner, PhD, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities

3 | Upskilling of Jobs Rick Miner, 2012, Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities Vast majority of 2031 work force has been born Immigration – 280,000 Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled Vast majority of 2031 work force has been born Immigration – 280,000 Under-represented - poor, aboriginals, women, disabled

The Gallup World Poll was started in 2005, covers virtually every demographic and socioeconomic group in every country in the world, and will go on for 100 years. Biggest discovery so far: More than anything else, the whole world wants a good job! The countries with enough cities that pull together to ensure their citizens have good jobs and their employers have engaged employees will be the winners in The Coming Jobs War.

Agriculture: 90,000 additional workers required by 2013 Construction: 219,000 retiring workers 2012 – 2020 ECO Canada: 100,483 environmental workers in the next 10 years to replace retiring workers Electricity: 45,000 new skilled workers required by 2016 (almost half of the existing workforce) Food Processing: 13% (32,500) of workers in this industry will be retiring by At least 21,500 needed in the period Information & Communications Technology: 106,000 in the next 5 years Mining: About 81,000 needed in the next decade Petroleum: At least 15,000 new workers over the next four years ( ) Printing: 41% of the industry’s labour force is nearing, or has passed, the age of early retirement Supply Chain: 27,000 current vacancies, with an additional need for 60,000employees annually Tourism: 114,000 unfilled jobs in 2020 and by 2030, 10.7% of labour demand (228,000 jobs) could go unfilled Trucking: ; projected workforce growth will be 199,800 Talent Shortages TASC - The Alliance for Sector Councils, November 2012

4 | Unprepared Workforce The Talent Pipeline

Leaking Pipeline National HS graduation rate 79% 60% of HS grads (47%) register immediately for post- secondary programs 25% of post-secondary students dropout by the end of the first year. A similar percent change programs or majors (King, 2009, Who Doesn’t Go To Post-Secondary Education?) (Miner, 2010, People Without Jobs, Jobs Without People) (Education Indicators 2011, Statistics Canada & Council of Ministers of Education Canada)

End of Pipeline 100 Grade 9 Students: 29 will graduate on schedule with post- secondary degree, diploma, certificate 14-20% youth unemployment (Statistics Canada) 39% mal-employed or underemployed (Sun Life Financial Canada Poll of year olds, November, 2012) 90% of Youth feel Excessive Stress. Why? Economic instability and underemployment (Sun Life Financial Canada, Nov 2012) 2012 summer jobs at lowest level since 1977 (C.D. Howe Institute) “The linear path from school to career, home ownership, and family has disappeared.” Community Foundations of Canada, October 2012

Career Entry Fee By 2031 approximately 77% of the workforce will require a post-secondary education or training Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities, Rick Miner, PhD, March 2012)

Career Entry Fee “Over the past third of a century all net job growth has been generated by positions requiring some post-secondary education.” Pathways to Prosperity, 2011, Harvard Graduate School of Education By 2031 approximately 77% of the workforce will require a post-secondary education or training Jobs of the Future: Options and Opportunities, Rick Miner, PhD, March 2012)

Generation Nixed

Young & Jobless – Neil Sandell

Generation with no Future

CBC Documentary CBC TELEVISION’S DOC ZONE Thursday, Jan 31 st at 9:00 PM

“The problem of youth unemployment has been getting worse for several years. But there are at last some reasons for hope. Governments are trying to address the mismatch between education and the labour market. Companies are beginning to take more responsibility for investing in the young. And technology is helping democratise education and training. The world has a real chance of introducing an education-and- training revolution worthy of the scale of the problem.” Generation Jobless

28% of workers are fully engaged About the same number are actively disengaged The rest are cruising on automatic pilot Clifton, The Coming Jobs War Employee Engagement

Economic Consequences Productivity$ 1.3 Trillion Health$122 Billion Education$100 Billion Social Services $190 Billion Policing & Prisons$ 51 Billion Govt Revenues$585 Billion

Human Consequences Individuals Families Communities Provinces Canada

Transforming Education

Wake Forest

Harvard-led Pathways Movement

Educators and employers must collaborate to provide work- based and project-based learning opportunities for secondary and post-secondary students. Career guidance must be enhanced so students choose pathways based on their unique interests, talents, and aspirations, and on contemporary workforce needs. All learning pathways to career roles in demand in the workforce deserve equal priority and respect. The contributions of educators, parents, employers, and community agencies are all vital and must be harmonized. Consensus Reached

The Perfect Storm makes a harmonized, whole-community commitment to career and workforce development an economic imperative. Whole Community

Athletes and Teachers Athletes and Teachers Potential future sports stars, and teachers, are discovered young and nurtured Most others must find their way through the educational maze then discover if any employers want them

The ccEngage Solution

ccSpark! Career Learning Begins Social skills, personal strengths, life planning, careers Interactive game play SparkCentral Portfolio Learning Style Assessment Aligned curriculum, 7+ hours per grade

ccTheRealGame Experiential Learning Financial literacy Relevant Classroom-based Role-play Age-appropriate Experience impact of career choices Soft Skills Complete curriculum

ccSpringboard Engaging and Inspiring Foundation for achievement World renowned assessments Multi-media career profiles Industry’s best post-secondary database Communication tools Living portfolio

ccPathfinder Course Planning, Career Planning, Life Planning Four year course plans Customized Validates against requirements Multiple degree options Aligns with career goals Integrates with SIS Streamlines course scheduling

ccInspire Connecting Education and Industry Employer profiles Career Coaches Work-based learning experiences Messaging tools Local events Social networking connection

The ccEngage Solution

Whole Community Approach