WP 230: Oil and gas and other mineral resources www.ocean-futures.com Leaders: Ocean Futures, Norway (Willy Østreng and Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl) Co-leader: Council for the Study of Productive Forces , Russia (Alexander Granberg) Participants: Geological Survey of Denmark and Greenland, IOPG/RAS Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl, Bergen, 22-23 October 2009

Relevance of the work in WP 230 Contribute to quantification of climate change impacts on economic sectors in the Arctic Presence of a wide variety of biological and mineral resources Oil and gas www.ocean-futures.com

WP 230 Outline www.ocean-futures.com Mineral resources of the Arctic - Proven and undiscovered reserves, onshore and offshore, proven and designated reserves of other minerals, size, location in the Arctic landscape and vis-à-vis Arctic shipping lanes Analyse their significance in the context of global resources and their competitiveness Environmental impact of the extraction of mineral resources Effects of climate change on the search for and extraction of mineral resources The extent to which Arctic mineral resources are likely to be turned into locally manufactured value-added products Interaction between resource exploitation and population variables www.ocean-futures.com

Expected outcomes of WP 230 Arctic oil and gas and other minerals in the global resources context Understanding of the interaction between resource exploitation, climate change, and nature conservation in the Arctic Sustainable development in the Arctic within the context of mineral exploitation Geopolitical aspects and conditions and their influence or otherwise on the presence and exploitation of mineral resources Understanding of climate change, population dynamics, and resource extraction Effects of resources extraction on Arctic populations and human settlements: improve, maintain, or impoverish their quality of life? www.ocean-futures.com

Willy Østreng, Professor Positions Held: Senior Research Fellow, Ocean Futures, Oslo. 2004 – Present Scientific Director and Professor, Centre for Advanced Study, Norwegian Academy of Science and Letters, 2003-2009, Executive Director, Fridtjof Nansen Institute, Norway, 1978-2003, Doctoral Supervisor, Scott Polar Research Institute, University of Cambridge, England, 2002-2004, Senior Visiting Scholar, Center for the Study of Law and Society and Department of Political Science, University of California, Berkeley, 2000-2001, Selected Professional Commissions of Trust: Head, Shipping in Arctic Waters Project, multinational research project organized jointly between Centre For High North Logistics and Ocean Futures, 2009 present, Head, International Northern Sea Route Programme (INSROP), multinational research programme organized jointly between Japan, Russia and Norway, 1993-99,   www.ocean-futures.com

Willy Østreng, Professor Selected Publications:  Willy Østreng: Vurdering av andre uåpnete områder i nord (A review of the unopened areas in the North) Chapter 8. in Konkraft Report no. 6. Oil and Gas Activities in Northern Norway, 2009, 30 pages (Co-authors: Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl and Brit Fløistad) Willy Østreng: Fakta om nordområdene (Facts about the Northern Areas), Oslo, Ocean Futures Ltd, 2005, 140 pages (Co-authors: Johan Kvarving Vik, Steven G. Sawhill and Øystein B. Thommessen) Willy Østreng: ”Delelinjen i Barentshavet. Planlagt samarbeid versus uforutsett konflikt?” (The Delimitation Line in the Barents Sea. Planned Cooperation versus Unforeseen Conflict?) Perspektiv 04/07, Stortingets utredningsseksjon, Oslo, November 2007, 30 pages (Co-author: Yngvild Prydz) Willy Østreng (ed): The Natural and Societal Challenges of the Northern Sea Route. A Reference Work, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, London, Boston, 1999, 466 pages, Willy Østreng (ed): Order for the Oceans at the Turn of the Century, Kluwer Law International, The Hague, London, Boston, 1999, 577 pages, (Co-editor: Davor Vidas), Willy Østreng (ed): National Security and International Environmental Cooperation in the Arctic- The Case of the Northern Sea Route, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Dordrecht, Boston, London, 1999, 367 pages, www.ocean-futures.com

Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl, Mag. Art., Ph.D. Positions Held: Senior Research Fellow, Ocean Futures, Oslo. 2004 – Present Principal Programme Officer (D1), United Nations Population Fund (UNFPA), Turin, 1996 – 2002 Senior Technical Officer (P5), UNFPA, New York, 1992-1996 Senior Research Fellow and Programme Director, Fridtjof Nansen Institute, Norway, 1987-1991 Senior Lecturer, National University of Singapore, 1982-85 Lecturer, Monash University, Melbourne, 1978-1982 Senior Tutor, University of Queensland, Brisbane, 1976-1978 Lecturer, University of Tasmania, Hobart, 1974-1976 Visiting Fellow, Institute of Southeast Asian Studies, Singapore, 1977/78 www.ocean-futures.com

Arnfinn Jørgensen-Dahl, Mag. Art.,Ph.D. Selected Publications: Vurdering av andre uåpnete områder i nord (A review of the unopened areas in the North) Chapter 8. in Konkraft Report no. 6. Oil and Gas Activities in Northern Norway, 2009, (Co-authors: Brit Fløistad and Willy Østreng) The Antarctic Treaty System in World Politics (London: Macmillan, 1991) Editor (with Willy Ostreng). Regional Organisation and Order in South-East Asia (London: Macmillan, and New York: St Martin’s Press, 1982). Reprinted 1984 and 1985. “The Legitimacy of the Antarctic Treaty System” in Arnfinn Jorgensen-Dahl and Willy Ostreng (Eds) The Antarctic Treaty System in World Politics (London: Macmillan 1991) “The Soviet-Norwegian Maritime Disputes in the Arctic”, Ocean Development and International Law, Vol. 21, No 4 (1991). “The Svalbard Archipelago: A ‘Special’ Norwegian Territory”, Norinform, 1989. The Northern Sea Route Project – Pilot Studies Report, (Lysaker: The Fridtjof Nansen Institute, 1991) Ed (with Willy Ostreng). Northern and Arctic Boundary Disputes (Lysaker: The Fridtjof Nansen Institute, 1989) with Dorien Donders and Olav Schram Stokke.   www.ocean-futures.com