Report of the IMPROVE/CSN Organic Carbon Artifact Adjustment Committee Ann M. Dillner, Mark Green Marc Pitchford, Bret Schichtel, Bill Malm, Warren White,

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Presentation transcript:

Report of the IMPROVE/CSN Organic Carbon Artifact Adjustment Committee Ann M. Dillner, Mark Green Marc Pitchford, Bret Schichtel, Bill Malm, Warren White, Joann Rice, Neil Frank, Judy Chow, John Watson Lake Tahoe IMPROVE Steering Committee Meeting, 2012

IMPROVE/CSN OC Artifact Committee Tasks 1. To recommend to the IMPROVE steering committee and to CSN an appropriate method for both networks to use to artifact correct OC data 2. To make plans for implementing the change in IMPROVE Timing of change Timing of change Back date change Back date change Change filter sampling/analysis configuration Change filter sampling/analysis configuration 2

Currently considering recommending the use of blanks (QF) instead of back-ups (QBQ)  Blanks are less variable over time and space than back- ups (both networks)  Blanks for two networks are similar, back-ups are not  IC and XRF use blank filters for artifact correction  Blanks don’t over-correct by including multi. factor  Blanks decrease additive artifact Bigger decrease for IMPROVE Bigger decrease for IMPROVE Lower bound/under-correction for CSN Lower bound/under-correction for CSN  Simple/low cost/applicable to historic data  Both networks using same method will improve comparability between networks 3

Change in behavior of IMPROVE field blanks after 8/08 4 Analysis of existing IMPROVE data did not establish cause of change

Three hypothesis to be tested (agreed upon by Committee during Nov call) 1. Manufacturing change in filters (DRI) 2. Air pulled through blank for 14 seconds prior to August 2008 (UCDavis) 3. Switch from single to double quartz in August 2008 (UCDavis) 5

Hypothesis 1: Manufacturing change to filters Surface area/mass is similar for 3 filters with different masses Mass variability within lot at least as big as between lot Mass does not correlate with OC in laboratory blanks CNL plans to start tracking lot number when new laboratory software is developed 6 Small numbers between gridlines are manufacturer lot number

Hypothesis 2: Air through blanks  Before Aug. 2008, 14s of air through FB  After Aug. 2008, no air through field blanks This mechanism is not cause of change Note: CSN blanks do not have air through them 7

Hypothesis 3: Change from single to double blank filters in IMPROVE  Prior to August 2008, blanks were single filters  After August 2008, blanks are double filters  Experiment: Parallel single/double quartz filters Late Fall (Oct/Nov) 2011: 6 QC sites for three sampling events Late Fall (Oct/Nov) 2011: 6 QC sites for three sampling events Summer (Jun/July) 2012: 7 QC sites for six sampling events Summer (Jun/July) 2012: 7 QC sites for six sampling events Note: CSN blanks are single 8

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Impact of changing sites and making field blanks double quartz 14

Does change in artifact correction method really matter? IMPROVE – diff. between MM blank corrected OC and current method CSN – difference between MM blank corrected OC and current method Changing to field blanks for IMPROVE and starting to use field blanks for CSN will modify the data in opposite directions but by roughly the same percentage within each decile of each networks data.

Conclusions for investigating drop in IMPROVE Field Blanks August 2008  Two causes identified: Changing from single to double quartz field blanks Changing from single to double quartz field blanks single blanks better represent single quartz sample filtersingle blanks better represent single quartz sample filter Changing from 6 to 13 back-up sites Changing from 6 to 13 back-up sites 13 sites better representative network13 sites better representative network two Phoenix sites likely overly weight urban sitestwo Phoenix sites likely overly weight urban sites  Single vs double quartz front sample filter HEGL started parallel sampling on 5/1/09 HEGL started parallel sampling on 5/1/09 Median percent difference is 0.4% (~40% for blanks) Median percent difference is 0.4% (~40% for blanks) Double quartz sample OC concentrations not impacted Double quartz sample OC concentrations not impacted 16

Implications for Recommendation to Steering Committee  Blanks less variable over time & space than back-ups (both networks) - true IMPROVE “corrected” field blanks are more variable in time IMPROVE “corrected” field blanks are more variable in time  Blanks for networks are similar, back-ups are not - true Although corrected blanks for IMPROVE are higher Although corrected blanks for IMPROVE are higher Limited parallel 3-day (CSN) vs 7-day (IMPROVE) blanks - no bias Limited parallel 3-day (CSN) vs 7-day (IMPROVE) blanks - no bias Corrections should be made for each network separately Corrections should be made for each network separately  Blanks don’t over-correct by including multiplicative factor - true Less correction than backups in some summers Less correction than backups in some summers  Blanks decrease additive artifact - true Bigger decrease for IMPROVE Bigger decrease for IMPROVE Lower bound/under-correction for CSN Lower bound/under-correction for CSN  Simple/low cost/applicable to historic data - true  Improve comparability between networks - true 17

IMPROVE/CSN Steering Committee plan  Prepare written report Data analysis through 2011 Data analysis through 2011 Likely recommend single field blank correction for both networks Likely recommend single field blank correction for both networks  CSN/IMPROVE artifact committee approval  Present recommendations to IMPROVE Steering Committee 18

Next Steps - Sampling  How many and where to collect back-ups and blanks? Both networks – continue to collect back-ups and blanks as currently doing to provide data set for analysis of artifacts in 5 years Both networks – continue to collect back-ups and blanks as currently doing to provide data set for analysis of artifacts in 5 years IMPROVE IMPROVE collect and analyze single blanks (beginning fairly soon)collect and analyze single blanks (beginning fairly soon) use freed resources to add collocated back-up/blank field site at HEGLuse freed resources to add collocated back-up/blank field site at HEGL CSN – continue with 10% rate CSN – continue with 10% rate

Next Steps – Data  IMPROVE Future - artifact correct using monthly median blank Future - artifact correct using monthly median blank Historic data – Historic data – Field blank correct OC data back to 1/1/2005Field blank correct OC data back to 1/1/2005 Use 40% estimate of error due to double blanks to estimate field blank values from 8/08 to change in sampling to single field blankUse 40% estimate of error due to double blanks to estimate field blank values from 8/08 to change in sampling to single field blank  CSN Future – artifact correct using monthly median blank Future – artifact correct using monthly median blank Historic - Historic - correct data beginning when URG samplers and DRI analysis begancorrect data beginning when URG samplers and DRI analysis began

Do particles impact evolution of gases from back-up and blanks Ann M. Dillner, Hege Indresand  Sample filters typically have pyrolyzed carbon (OP) present  Blanks and back-up filters typically do not have OP  Is this observed difference due to particles on the front filter and no particles on backup and blanks?

Experimental Set-up  Multiple sets of 4 parallel front-back filters pairs at UCDavis, some included blanks  Each front, back, blank set treated differently Some ammonium sulfate added Some ammonium sulfate added A lot of ammonium sulfate added A lot of ammonium sulfate added Air pulled through sample but no particles Air pulled through sample but no particles No treatment No treatment  All filters analyzed at DRI

Sampling Results  Back-ups OC concentrations 0.07 to 0.63  g/m 3 OC concentrations 0.07 to 0.63  g/m 3 5 th to 95 th percentile of IMPROVE backups 5 th to 95 th percentile of IMPROVE backups Range of median is 0.15 to 0.35  g/m 3 Range of median is 0.15 to 0.35  g/m 3  Field Blanks OC concentrations 0.04 to 0.10  g/m 3 OC concentrations 0.04 to 0.10  g/m 3 Lowest quartile of IMPROVE field blanks Lowest quartile of IMPROVE field blanks “Corrected” median range 0.12 to 0.25  g/m 3 “Corrected” median range 0.12 to 0.25  g/m 3

Back-up Filters - Increase in OP with added ammonium sulfate Median range

Back-up filters - Change in thermal fraction distribution

Field Blanks  No OP on field blanks or treated field blanks  Change in thermal fractions

Summary  Particles (sulfate or NaCl) added to back- ups cause OP to measurably increase  OC2 and OC3 are also affected, TOC not  Back-up (and blank) fractions may not represent artifact fractions on front filters