Research progress on climate change impact on water 1st Meeting of the Strategic Steering Group on Climate Change and water 28 September 2007, Brussels Marta Moren Abat Climate Change and Environmental Risks Unit Directorate General for research European Commission

Drivers of EU Research Specific Programme of ‘Cooperation’ under the 7th Research Framework Programme IPCC, IPCC Technical paper on Climate change and water. EU Policy (WFD, EU Climate Change Programme, Green Paper, EU Flood Action Programme, Communication on Droughts, 2°C Communication…) UNFCC Support to EU International Commitments and initiatives and post 2012 (Kyoto and Montreal Protocol, UNFCC …) Expert consultation Events (symposium, workshops, conferences…) Support to science and knowledge …………………….

Initiatives Participation in Working Groups, Expert Network and Stakeholders forum: Droughts and Water Scarcity EU Flood Action Programme Activity on impact of climate change and water European Climate Change Programme 6th Environmental Action Programme UNFCCC Informal Interservice WG on Floods and Droughts Exchange of experiences Use of research results

The EC Research Framework Programme From FP-6 to FP-7

SIXTH FRAMEWORK PROGRAMME THE CURRENT SITUATION: Areas and list of ongoing projects funded under FP6 - Global change and ecosystems quantification and prediction of the components of the current and future global water cycles, evaluate uncertainties, vulnerability including societal impacts, economical aspects. Evaluates how the water cycle and its extremes respond to future drivers of global change (WATCH Project 2007-2011) improved understanding of specific flood processes and mechanisms and methodologies for flood risk analysis and management ranging from the high level management of risk at a river basin, estuary and coastal processes. (FLOODSITE Project 2004-2009) forecasting of flash floods through observations, analysis and modelling of lightning activity in thunderstorms (FLASH Project 2006-2009) predicts seasonal/inter-annual climate variations – implications for energy, agriculture, tourism and health (DEMETER project) Evaluation of key drivers of aquatic ecosystem change (land-use, nutrients, acid deposition and toxic substances) and examination of their interactions with climate change (EURO-LIMPACS project) Development of a conceptual framework for research and adaptive management of river basins that integrates natural science, engineering and social science concepts and methodologies (NEWATER project).

The 7th Research Framework Programme (2007-2013) Environment (incl. climate change): €1.90 billion 1st call, launched in December 2006, evaluated in July 2007, Funded projects to start in the coming months 2nd call, expected to be published mid autumn (November 2007) 3rd call expected to be published mid 2008

The 7th Research Framework Programme (2007-2013) While continuing existing climate-related research, FP7 will emphasize: Climate change impacts on atmosphere and on the water cycle and resources Downscaling of models to predict impacts on regional and local scales Natural and socio-economic impacts of CC and related hazards and extreme events Mitigation and adaptation strategies Awareness raising International cooperation

The 7th Research Framework Programme (2007-2013) Pressures on environment and climate Environnent and health Natural Hazards Climate Change, pollution and risks Sustainable management of resources Environmental Technologies Earth observation and assessment tools

-Pressures on environment and climate- Area 1: The Earth System and Climate: Functioning and abrupt changes Area 2: Emissions and Pressures: natural and anthropogenic Area 3: The Global Carbon cycle - GreenHouse Gas budgets Area 4: Future Climate Area 5: Climate Change Natural and Socio-economic Impacts Climate Change Area 6. Response strategies: Adaptation, Mitigation and Policies

Natural Hazards Area 1: Hazard assessment, triggering factors and forecasting Area 2: Vulnerability assessment and societal impacts Area 3: Risk assessment and management Area 4: Multi-risk evaluation and mitigation strategies

Climate Change, pollution and risks including natural hazards Topics on 1st call Climate change impacts and adaptation strategies in water policies (providing a coherent framework for adaptation strategies for cc impacts on water) Effectiveness of adaptation and mitigation measures related to change of the hydrological cycle and its extremes (quantitative assessment of the efficiency of current mitigation measures) Climate change impacts in vulnerable mountain regions (quantification of impacts and vulnerability assessment) Full cost of climate change (quantification of damage, adaptation and mitigation costs) Investigating Europe’s risk from droughts (short and long term vision on research needs)

Environment (incl. Climate Change) Climate Change, pollution and risks Focus for near future calls Better understand the potential risk that sea level rise will accelerate if global surface warming trends continue as projected (coastal areas) The need to improve the earth system models Drivers and impacts of deforestation Climate change impacts on ecosystems - regionalisation Climate change impacts and water resources in specific regions, including all elements influencing the water cycle, and wide analysis of responses - (2nd call focus on South Asia) Flash floods risks management and associated debris flow

Environment (incl. Climate Change) Climate Change, pollution and risks Focus for near future calls (cont) Social perception, behaviour and responses to natural hazards Preparedness and risk management for damaging water extremes Reinforce the coordination of research between European and national levels: Towards a European research agenda for disaster reduction. Climate change and social impacts on wild fires regimes and landscape recovery Budget: 2nd call similar or abowe 1st call: Raising for future

INTERNATIONAL SYMPOSIUM FUTURE CLIMATE, IMPACTS & RESPONSES The IPCC 4AR & EC Integrated Climate Research 19 & 20 November 2007 European Commission Charlemagne building, Brussels

INFORMATION EU research: http://ec.europa.eu/research/ Seventh Framework Programme: http://ec.europa.eu/research/future/index_en.cfm Information on research programmes and projects: http://cordis.europa.eu/ RTD info magazine: http://ec.europa.eu/research/rtdinfo/ Information requests: research@ec.europa.eu