Uncertainty - 12 Sep 2008 Forecasts – 30m

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Presentation transcript:

Uncertainty - 12 Sep 2008 Forecasts – 30m Standard Deviation Mean Temperature Mean and standard deviations computed from twelve 3-day forecasts for 12 Sep 2008 at 30m depth. The twelve forecasts represent 3 initial conditions with different initial transports in the Taiwan strait (1 Sv S, 0 Sv, 1 Sv N) each run with 4 sets of model parameters WDMIX = (5,5,10,10) BotFric=[(1.5,3000) (3,3000) (1.5,3000) (3,3000)]. Salinity

Uncertainty - 12 Sep 2008 Forecasts Standard Deviation Mean Temperature Salinity

Uncertainty - 12 Sep 2008 Forecasts – 50m Standard Deviation Mean Temperature Free Colorbar Mean and standard deviations computed from twelve 3-day forecasts for 12 Sep 2008 at 30m depth. The twelve forecasts represent 3 initial conditions with different initial transports in the Taiwan strait (1 Sv S, 0 Sv, 1 Sv N) each run with 4 sets of model parameters WDMIX = (5,5,10,10) BotFric=[(1.5,3000) (3,3000) (1.5,3000) (3,3000)]. Salinity

Uncertainty - 12 Sep 2008 Forecasts – 50m Standard Deviation Mean Temperature Fixed Colorbar dT=2C dS=0.24 Mean and standard deviations computed from twelve 3-day forecasts for 12 Sep 2008 at 30m depth. The twelve forecasts represent 3 initial conditions with different initial transports in the Taiwan strait (1 Sv S, 0 Sv, 1 Sv N) each run with 4 sets of model parameters WDMIX = (5,5,10,10) BotFric=[(1.5,3000) (3,3000) (1.5,3000) (3,3000)]. Salinity

Uncertainty - 12 Sep 2008 Forecasts – 50m Standard Deviation Mean Temperature Fixed Colorbar dT=1C dS=0.24 Mean and standard deviations computed from twelve 3-day forecasts for 12 Sep 2008 at 30m depth. The twelve forecasts represent 3 initial conditions with different initial transports in the Taiwan strait (1 Sv S, 0 Sv, 1 Sv N) each run with 4 sets of model parameters WDMIX = (5,5,10,10) BotFric=[(1.5,3000) (3,3000) (1.5,3000) (3,3000)]. Salinity

Uncertainty - 12 Sep 2008 Forecasts – 150m Standard Deviation Mean Temperature Free Colorbar Mean and standard deviations computed from twelve 3-day forecasts for 12 Sep 2008 at 30m depth. The twelve forecasts represent 3 initial conditions with different initial transports in the Taiwan strait (1 Sv S, 0 Sv, 1 Sv N) each run with 4 sets of model parameters WDMIX = (5,5,10,10) BotFric=[(1.5,3000) (3,3000) (1.5,3000) (3,3000)]. Salinity

Uncertainty - 12 Sep 2008 Forecasts – 150m Standard Deviation Mean Temperature Fixed Colorbar dT=2 dS=0.08 Mean and standard deviations computed from twelve 3-day forecasts for 12 Sep 2008 at 30m depth. The twelve forecasts represent 3 initial conditions with different initial transports in the Taiwan strait (1 Sv S, 0 Sv, 1 Sv N) each run with 4 sets of model parameters WDMIX = (5,5,10,10) BotFric=[(1.5,3000) (3,3000) (1.5,3000) (3,3000)]. Salinity

Uncertainty - 12 Sep 2008 Forecasts – 150m Standard Deviation Mean Temperature Fixed Colorbar dT=1 dS=0.08 Mean and standard deviations computed from twelve 3-day forecasts for 12 Sep 2008 at 30m depth. The twelve forecasts represent 3 initial conditions with different initial transports in the Taiwan strait (1 Sv S, 0 Sv, 1 Sv N) each run with 4 sets of model parameters WDMIX = (5,5,10,10) BotFric=[(1.5,3000) (3,3000) (1.5,3000) (3,3000)]. Salinity