Skills jobseekers need in the modern labour market Paul Bivand Associate Director of Analysis & Statistics Inclusion

What is the shape of the labour market as recession ebbs? Analysed recruitment patterns in London using Labour Force Survey Since 2011, 1.4 million people starting new jobs in London 600,000 a year – on average – 225,000 a year in Central London – 170,000 a year in the rest of Inner London – 205,000 a year in Outer London

The pattern by occupation

The pattern by skill level

Qualification level of the average recruit

Patterns of recruitment Some occupation groups for recruitment are high turnover – job growth is lower – Elementary jobs – Sales and customer service But, employers are recruiting at above entry level – More than half of recruits for elementary jobs have Level 3 (+) – Same for Caring etc, Sales & customer services in Central and Inner London

Employment rates by qualification

Qualifications of employed and workless

Vacancy trends ONS vacancy survey doesnt give London figures Jobcentre vacancy figures ended November 2012 Universal Jobmatch figures started straight after

Jobcentre vacancies to November 2012

Universal Jobmatch vacancies in London

JCP new vacancies – ratio to new JSA claims (to Nov 2012)

Same measure for occupations Date Elementa ry Agricultur al Occupatio ns Elementa ry Constructi on Occupatio ns Elementa ry Process Plant Occupatio ns Elementa ry Goods Storage Occupatio ns Elementa ry Administr ation Occupatio ns Elementa ry Personal Services Occupatio ns Elementa ry Cleaning Occupatio ns Elementa ry Security Occupatio ns Elementa ry Sales Occupatio ns Process Operative s Plant And Machine Operative s Assemble rs And Routine Operative s Constructi on Operative s Transport Drivers And Operative s Mobile Machine Drivers And Operative s Sales Assistants And Retail Cashiers Sales Related Occupatio ns Customer Service Occupatio ns Administr ative Occupatio ns Secretaria l and Related Occupatio ns Skilled Agricultur al Trades Skilled Metal and Electronic Trades Skilled Constructi on and Building Trades Textiles, Printing and Other Skilled Trades Caring Personal Service Occupatio ns Leisure and Other Personal Service Occupati ons Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct

And for local authorities Date Camden Hammer smith & FulhamHaringeyIslington Kensingt on & Chelsea Wandsw orth Westmin sterBarnetBrentEalingEnfieldHarrow Hillingdo n Hounslo wKingston Richmon d City of LondonHackneyLambeth Lewisha mNewham Southwa rk Tower Hamlets Barking & Dagenha mBexleyBromleyCroydon Greenwi chHaveringMerton Redbridg eSutton Waltham Forest Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov

Longer term changes Weve looked at changes in both the numbers employed and in the pay levels Reflecting employer responses to their labour market 5 years up to classification change in 2011 Occupations coloured by skill level of recruits

Next steps Not simply a story of employment growth only for highly skilled But occupation match to skill level confused by: – Students working in elementary and sales – Part-time jobs at similar levels – Part-timers often working below their own skill level