A User’s Perspective on Airborne Observations

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Presentation transcript:

A User’s Perspective on Airborne Observations Bruce Landsberg Senior Safety Advisor AOPA Air Safety Institute

Weather Accidents Turbines are doing nicely Technology is better But …

Wx Acc. Trend – Mostly Flat VFR into IMC 63 in ‘2003 50 in ‘2012 80% Fatal

2012 – 50 Wx Accidents Total VFR into IMC = 46%

How Many Came Close???

AIRMETs!!

“VFR Not Recommended” Just take the Bus !! Not now Not tomorrow Not next week Just take the Bus !!

Crying Wolf ? Is it Really IMC? … Over the entire forecast area … Over the entire time … Really???? Forecasts amended timely ?????

Failure to WARN

IMC in the Sunny South

Only two PIREPs, but …

METARs = Confirm

Lotta ice: 020-FL180???

Well, maybe not so much …

Ice – SFC to 140 ?

Not so much, but …

Y’all be Careful … Orographic lifting Moisture aloft Temperature fluctuations

Datalink Great for some things But not all… Pix of datalink Wx.

Move GA into the 1990s Where is this Going? Observations – Ground & Aloft Training – Pilots & Forecasters It’s about GOOD forecasts It’s about timely updates/changes It’s about verification Move GA into the 1990s

PIREPS … “FAA should put a much higher priority on acquiring PIREPs …” NATCA Need a pilot cockpit shot w/ headset….

New World – Old World

Icing & IMC … Tops? Bases? Is there really ice? What’s the Viz?

Hundreds of PIREPs needed! Downlink via ADS-B - using EFB? Eliminate the middle-person Near Real Time Null reports vital …

Cut the Chit-Chat Direct to the system – All Users Pilots, ATC, AWC, AFSS VFR aircraft can play Freqs uncluttered Real time

Waiting for Airborne Obs …

Good Info = Good Decisions Important for forecasters Critical for pilots Confirm or Deny Failure to Warn greatly reduced Improve Utility Save Lives.

A User’s Perspective on Airborne Observations Thank You!