POST TROPICAL STORM HERMINE STRENGTHENS AND BECOMES HURRICANE AGAIN September 3-?, 2016 Walter Hays, Global Alliance for Disaster Reduction, Vienna, Virginia, USA lecture by Walter Hays Uploading date: September 4, 2016 Updated September 5, 2016 More lectures at Disasters Supercourse - http://www.pitt.edu/~super1/disasters/BADisasterSupercourse.htm PPT original - http://www.pitt.edu/~super7/54011-55001/54751.ppt URL: http://www.pitt.edu/~super1/lecture/lec54751/index.htm

2016 ATLANTIC BASIN STORM TRACKS (Hermine inc. SEPT 4)

HERMINE BECAME HURRICANE AGAIN; SEPT. 3

SHORT HISTORY OF HEWRMINE; 8TH NAMED STORM OF 2016 HERMINE – TD 9 became Tropical storm Hermine on August 31; Hurricane HERMINE on Sept 1; Post Tropical storm on September 2, and Hurricane Hermine again after strengthening in the warm waters of the Atlantic.

HURRICANE GASTON (far right): HERMINE (TD 9--far left)

HERMINE MADE LANDFALL IN FLORIDA AND LEFT BEHIND A TRAIL OF POWER OUTAGES AS IT MOVED ALONG ATLANTIC COASTAL STATES

HERMINE’S FORECAST

SEPT. 3: ...HERMINE, NOW MOVING EAST-NORTHEASTWARD AS A POWERFUL POST-TROPICAL STORM HURRICANE IS DANGEROUS AGAIN, PUTTING MILLIONS AT RISK FROM STORM SURGE ALONG THE EAST COAST FROM VIRGINIA TO NEW JERSEY

SEPTEMBER 4: HERMINE, NOW MOVING A LITTLE MORE EASTWARD THAN EXPECTED, WHICH LESSENS THE RAINFALL THREAT TO NEW JERSEY

AND - - - If the easterly track holds up on Sunday, New Jersey will still face dangerously high seas and strong rip currents, tropical storm-force winds near the coast and a large storm surge that will likely cause coastal flooding.

SEPT 5: BAD NEWS Hermine is stalled in the Atlantic Ocean

SEPT. 5: STALLED

SEPT. 5: INCREASING POTENTIAL FOR A RAIN MAKER

THE FEAR: ANOTHER STORM LIKE HURRICANE SANDY

IF HERMINE REPEATS HURRICANE SANDY’S IMPACTS:

SANDY– A Super Hurricane; October 22 NAMED STORMS IN 2012 OSCAR – Tropical Storm; Oct. 4 PATTY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 11 RAFAEL – Hurricane; October 12 SANDY– A Super Hurricane; October 22 TONY – Tropical Storm; Oct. 24

SANDY: A $300 BILLION STORM; OCTOBER 24, 2012 Sandy, 2012’s ninth hurricane, became a huge storm with wind and rain bands reaching out 500 km or more from the storm center, producing 15-50 cm of rain and flooding in Jamaica, Bermuda, Haiti, Dominican Republic, Cuba, New Jersey, and New York

CAT I HURRICANE SANDY: OCTOBER 24

SUPER STORM SANDY: OCT. 29-30, 2012

NEW JERSEY: ATLANTIC CITY UNDER WATER

NEW JERSEY: OCEAN FRONT FLOODING

NEW JERSEY: STREETS FLOODED

FLOODING IN BROOKLYN, NY

$360 MILLION STORM SURGE, NEW HAVEN, CT: OCT. 30

LIKELY NEXT STORM COR-RIDOR (Credit ACU Weather)